Prediction 2441
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in MA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 342.00 | 791.6 | 1169.35 | 1525.55 |
| 2023-10-15 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.75 | 295.25 | 817.8 | 1285.40 | 1896.58 |
| 2023-10-22 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 343.75 | 851.1 | 1323.00 | 1939.33 |
| 2023-10-29 | 72.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 358.00 | 953.6 | 1442.05 | 1798.35 |
| 2023-11-05 | 71.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 322.50 | 768.3 | 1181.10 | 1731.15 |
| 2023-11-12 | 74.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 361.25 | 830.5 | 1314.65 | 1831.05 |
| 2023-11-19 | 83.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 9.75 | 357.25 | 863.8 | 1379.10 | 1806.23 |
| 2023-11-26 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.75 | 367.75 | 949.8 | 1366.60 | 1837.33 |
| 2023-12-03 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 356.50 | 892.1 | 1404.10 | 1847.05 |
| 2023-12-10 | 108.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 11.00 | 422.50 | 1043.4 | 1540.80 | 2065.75 |
| 2023-12-17 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 384.25 | 941.6 | 1487.10 | 1935.20 |
| 2023-12-24 | 108.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 16.00 | 442.50 | 1064.3 | 1602.80 | 2105.35 |
| 2023-12-31 | 128.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 21.00 | 454.25 | 1074.2 | 1806.10 | 2300.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 151.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 26.00 | 460.25 | 983.1 | 1336.90 | 1701.53 |
| 2024-01-14 | 155.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 22.00 | 501.50 | 1128.1 | 1756.80 | 2175.00 |
| 2024-01-21 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 24.75 | 544.50 | 1160.9 | 1643.30 | 2448.70 |
| 2024-01-28 | 183.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 30.00 | 591.50 | 1173.1 | 1661.15 | 1965.60 |
| 2024-02-04 | 145.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 32.00 | 515.75 | 1054.6 | 1506.10 | 2096.93 |
| 2024-02-11 | 193.0 | 0.0 | 1.95 | 4.9 | 35.00 | 576.50 | 1264.4 | 1653.65 | 2229.80 |
| 2024-02-18 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 38.00 | 574.50 | 1337.0 | 1922.15 | 2421.02 |
| 2024-02-25 | 199.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 41.75 | 642.75 | 1432.8 | 2039.00 | 2538.50 |
| 2024-03-03 | 207.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 45.75 | 630.00 | 1325.6 | 1856.20 | 2374.75 |
| 2024-03-10 | 224.5 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 55.50 | 646.00 | 1293.9 | 1820.35 | 2233.12 |
| 2024-03-17 | 215.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 52.75 | 632.75 | 1344.1 | 1931.75 | 2596.12 |
| 2024-03-24 | 233.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 8.9 | 51.00 | 649.75 | 1402.9 | 1873.05 | 2437.25 |
| 2024-03-31 | 225.5 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 62.75 | 678.25 | 1430.3 | 1991.60 | 2555.45 |
| 2024-04-07 | 245.0 | 1.0 | 2.95 | 11.0 | 58.75 | 684.00 | 1300.1 | 1907.00 | 2545.60 |
| 2024-04-14 | 255.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 10.9 | 55.75 | 654.00 | 1395.5 | 1951.55 | 2395.38 |
| 2024-04-21 | 198.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 43.75 | 584.25 | 1228.1 | 1778.40 | 2599.28 |
| 2024-04-28 | 232.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 8.9 | 56.75 | 639.75 | 1306.2 | 2007.60 | 2549.05 |
| 2024-05-05 | 200.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 43.75 | 644.00 | 1255.0 | 1920.65 | 2345.10 |
| 2024-05-12 | 227.5 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 39.00 | 643.00 | 1413.2 | 2092.50 | 2567.00 |
| 2024-05-19 | 192.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 47.75 | 637.50 | 1230.6 | 1754.75 | 2392.20 |
| 2024-05-26 | 187.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 34.75 | 596.25 | 1381.0 | 1840.90 | 2472.60 |
| 2024-06-02 | 156.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 28.75 | 517.00 | 1058.4 | 1596.50 | 2336.38 |
| 2024-06-09 | 169.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 28.00 | 593.00 | 1153.4 | 1672.05 | 2014.20 |
| 2024-06-16 | 145.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 24.75 | 523.00 | 1280.6 | 1770.00 | 2167.08 |
| 2024-06-23 | 137.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 25.00 | 500.25 | 1142.4 | 1698.80 | 2242.55 |
| 2024-06-30 | 161.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 23.00 | 522.50 | 1050.0 | 1535.65 | 2145.85 |
| 2024-07-07 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 20.00 | 515.00 | 1162.2 | 1632.50 | 2267.15 |
| 2024-07-14 | 110.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.75 | 406.00 | 982.5 | 1536.75 | 2166.05 |
| 2024-07-21 | 118.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 389.00 | 1022.3 | 1576.20 | 2157.73 |
| 2024-07-28 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 404.50 | 1008.1 | 1440.25 | 1913.23 |
| 2024-08-04 | 90.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 362.25 | 879.1 | 1314.25 | 1720.25 |
| 2024-08-11 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 403.25 | 1055.6 | 1544.00 | 1897.10 |
| 2024-08-18 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.75 | 372.75 | 993.5 | 1561.45 | 2198.88 |
| 2024-08-25 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 331.25 | 880.2 | 1291.45 | 1780.78 |
| 2024-09-01 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 395.25 | 960.5 | 1392.00 | 1950.13 |
| 2024-09-08 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 367.00 | 913.4 | 1409.35 | 1977.78 |
| 2024-09-15 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 300.25 | 821.3 | 1214.35 | 1816.25 |
| 2024-09-22 | 63.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 309.00 | 863.1 | 1224.30 | 1733.48 |
| 2024-09-29 | 57.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 299.75 | 863.0 | 1476.80 | 1974.68 |
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