Prediction 2443
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in SE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 155.25 | 356.5 | 552.00 | 701.05 |
| 2023-10-15 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 154.00 | 338.2 | 495.25 | 678.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 168.50 | 347.1 | 510.00 | 698.13 |
| 2023-10-29 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 137.50 | 315.1 | 488.05 | 619.03 |
| 2023-11-05 | 38.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.9 | 5.00 | 134.00 | 338.0 | 447.40 | 588.15 |
| 2023-11-12 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 152.00 | 307.0 | 521.05 | 672.18 |
| 2023-11-19 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.9 | 6.00 | 138.00 | 337.1 | 487.00 | 701.23 |
| 2023-11-26 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 148.25 | 324.2 | 472.60 | 636.10 |
| 2023-12-03 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 130.00 | 312.1 | 487.10 | 621.10 |
| 2023-12-10 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 138.25 | 315.2 | 546.10 | 665.33 |
| 2023-12-17 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 135.00 | 308.0 | 495.10 | 698.18 |
| 2023-12-24 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 140.00 | 320.8 | 483.05 | 633.08 |
| 2023-12-31 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.75 | 133.00 | 329.1 | 537.30 | 743.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 144.25 | 329.0 | 518.85 | 661.10 |
| 2024-01-14 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 161.00 | 375.1 | 547.20 | 726.08 |
| 2024-01-21 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.75 | 144.50 | 343.4 | 520.25 | 715.30 |
| 2024-01-28 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.9 | 6.00 | 146.25 | 327.3 | 535.00 | 666.20 |
| 2024-02-04 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 162.25 | 365.7 | 557.15 | 702.03 |
| 2024-02-11 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 167.50 | 380.0 | 546.50 | 742.73 |
| 2024-02-18 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 157.00 | 324.2 | 499.40 | 705.10 |
| 2024-02-25 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 161.25 | 372.5 | 552.10 | 776.18 |
| 2024-03-03 | 59.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 177.25 | 377.2 | 556.90 | 757.10 |
| 2024-03-10 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 201.00 | 371.2 | 508.15 | 760.10 |
| 2024-03-17 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 169.25 | 349.3 | 541.05 | 765.15 |
| 2024-03-24 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 172.25 | 371.3 | 548.20 | 716.38 |
| 2024-03-31 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 199.25 | 400.2 | 594.35 | 803.05 |
| 2024-04-07 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 14.00 | 194.00 | 353.1 | 504.00 | 664.20 |
| 2024-04-14 | 63.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 201.00 | 419.3 | 580.20 | 709.40 |
| 2024-04-21 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 196.25 | 419.2 | 565.05 | 854.05 |
| 2024-04-28 | 73.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 208.00 | 396.0 | 553.15 | 681.13 |
| 2024-05-05 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 176.00 | 374.0 | 558.65 | 712.25 |
| 2024-05-12 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 219.25 | 410.0 | 613.25 | 784.10 |
| 2024-05-19 | 75.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 14.75 | 206.00 | 424.2 | 604.50 | 764.08 |
| 2024-05-26 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 229.25 | 451.3 | 704.00 | 879.65 |
| 2024-06-02 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 15.00 | 230.00 | 470.1 | 654.10 | 808.38 |
| 2024-06-09 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 224.75 | 450.1 | 631.50 | 769.38 |
| 2024-06-16 | 71.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.75 | 207.25 | 431.2 | 628.10 | 817.05 |
| 2024-06-23 | 63.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 17.00 | 198.25 | 412.7 | 589.25 | 725.40 |
| 2024-06-30 | 64.5 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 218.50 | 463.1 | 690.25 | 882.25 |
| 2024-07-07 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.75 | 210.00 | 452.0 | 638.35 | 781.58 |
| 2024-07-14 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 180.50 | 370.1 | 547.50 | 774.05 |
| 2024-07-21 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 183.25 | 385.3 | 565.20 | 771.18 |
| 2024-07-28 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 12.00 | 180.00 | 398.1 | 566.75 | 799.40 |
| 2024-08-04 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 12.75 | 196.25 | 412.8 | 585.10 | 746.38 |
| 2024-08-11 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 191.25 | 399.0 | 561.00 | 763.80 |
| 2024-08-18 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 12.00 | 188.25 | 402.1 | 611.35 | 768.13 |
| 2024-08-25 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 153.00 | 326.0 | 451.15 | 584.18 |
| 2024-09-01 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 178.00 | 398.3 | 579.75 | 757.45 |
| 2024-09-08 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 148.25 | 322.5 | 477.80 | 677.30 |
| 2024-09-15 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 166.25 | 370.5 | 527.30 | 665.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 175.25 | 361.2 | 483.15 | 672.13 |
| 2024-09-29 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 166.25 | 356.2 | 537.35 | 766.03 |
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