Prediction 2444
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in AP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 60.00 | 133.0 | 195.25 | 247.05 |
| 2023-10-15 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 59.00 | 125.0 | 195.10 | 258.15 |
| 2023-10-22 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 61.00 | 134.1 | 188.00 | 232.03 |
| 2023-10-29 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 58.00 | 129.0 | 183.10 | 229.00 |
| 2023-11-05 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 59.00 | 137.1 | 193.10 | 244.15 |
| 2023-11-12 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 65.25 | 143.0 | 198.05 | 250.03 |
| 2023-11-19 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 62.00 | 125.0 | 174.05 | 238.05 |
| 2023-11-26 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 67.00 | 136.2 | 193.05 | 255.33 |
| 2023-12-03 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.00 | 65.25 | 133.0 | 200.00 | 266.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 62.00 | 117.1 | 178.00 | 228.05 |
| 2023-12-17 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 65.25 | 129.1 | 193.30 | 251.05 |
| 2023-12-24 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 72.00 | 137.2 | 205.10 | 280.08 |
| 2023-12-31 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 77.25 | 153.0 | 225.35 | 310.20 |
| 2024-01-07 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 73.00 | 142.3 | 212.00 | 272.18 |
| 2024-01-14 | 25.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 74.00 | 144.0 | 212.05 | 270.23 |
| 2024-01-21 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 73.00 | 146.1 | 211.15 | 264.03 |
| 2024-01-28 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 84.25 | 168.1 | 244.00 | 307.05 |
| 2024-02-04 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 80.00 | 159.2 | 221.10 | 264.00 |
| 2024-02-11 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 74.25 | 146.0 | 190.20 | 251.03 |
| 2024-02-18 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 83.00 | 174.1 | 244.05 | 305.13 |
| 2024-02-25 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 84.25 | 155.0 | 213.05 | 251.10 |
| 2024-03-03 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 83.00 | 165.1 | 228.10 | 298.08 |
| 2024-03-10 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 91.25 | 175.0 | 235.00 | 307.40 |
| 2024-03-17 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 88.25 | 160.2 | 221.05 | 298.00 |
| 2024-03-24 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 81.00 | 157.5 | 221.00 | 299.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 84.00 | 160.1 | 208.00 | 269.05 |
| 2024-04-07 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.00 | 79.00 | 157.1 | 224.25 | 289.00 |
| 2024-04-14 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 84.00 | 160.0 | 222.00 | 288.05 |
| 2024-04-21 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.00 | 79.00 | 156.1 | 203.05 | 266.08 |
| 2024-04-28 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 86.25 | 148.0 | 224.05 | 267.10 |
| 2024-05-05 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 77.00 | 156.2 | 221.00 | 298.00 |
| 2024-05-12 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 79.00 | 153.0 | 217.20 | 280.20 |
| 2024-05-19 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.00 | 85.00 | 162.0 | 215.10 | 271.10 |
| 2024-05-26 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 78.00 | 160.0 | 238.15 | 313.10 |
| 2024-06-02 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 77.00 | 148.1 | 212.05 | 273.03 |
| 2024-06-09 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 81.25 | 148.1 | 219.00 | 290.13 |
| 2024-06-16 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 73.00 | 151.0 | 223.05 | 281.05 |
| 2024-06-23 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 72.00 | 132.2 | 200.10 | 259.18 |
| 2024-06-30 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.75 | 75.25 | 155.0 | 211.20 | 258.05 |
| 2024-07-07 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 70.00 | 140.1 | 191.30 | 253.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 69.00 | 146.0 | 196.15 | 262.00 |
| 2024-07-21 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 78.00 | 149.1 | 207.15 | 276.05 |
| 2024-07-28 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 69.00 | 147.3 | 206.05 | 295.18 |
| 2024-08-04 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 67.00 | 133.1 | 195.10 | 254.03 |
| 2024-08-11 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 68.00 | 147.2 | 220.25 | 299.03 |
| 2024-08-18 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 70.00 | 131.0 | 183.00 | 235.03 |
| 2024-08-25 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.75 | 56.00 | 123.1 | 182.05 | 251.28 |
| 2024-09-01 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 56.00 | 121.0 | 170.25 | 241.63 |
| 2024-09-08 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 58.00 | 130.1 | 188.05 | 254.05 |
| 2024-09-15 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 58.00 | 122.0 | 183.00 | 263.03 |
| 2024-09-22 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 58.00 | 130.0 | 172.10 | 233.05 |
| 2024-09-29 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 65.25 | 141.2 | 203.00 | 274.03 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
