Prediction 2473
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 1 for AC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 48.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 23.00 | 99.00 | 178.0 | 268.10 | 397.05 |
| 2022-10-16 | 54.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 27.00 | 110.00 | 202.2 | 299.00 | 418.43 |
| 2022-10-23 | 60.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 31.00 | 129.00 | 245.0 | 346.10 | 513.12 |
| 2022-10-30 | 74.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 37.00 | 148.00 | 276.1 | 387.15 | 585.17 |
| 2022-11-06 | 87.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 20.0 | 42.00 | 180.25 | 333.1 | 460.10 | 692.08 |
| 2022-11-13 | 94.0 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 23.0 | 48.00 | 188.00 | 363.0 | 580.10 | 785.42 |
| 2022-11-20 | 105.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 51.00 | 220.00 | 398.3 | 580.00 | 893.38 |
| 2022-11-27 | 114.5 | 10.00 | 18.00 | 29.0 | 56.75 | 229.00 | 432.5 | 663.10 | 937.10 |
| 2022-12-04 | 126.0 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 31.0 | 62.00 | 246.00 | 478.0 | 694.35 | 1046.65 |
| 2022-12-11 | 136.0 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 33.0 | 67.00 | 254.25 | 497.1 | 736.10 | 1006.17 |
| 2022-12-18 | 146.0 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 35.0 | 72.00 | 285.00 | 527.0 | 802.15 | 1121.30 |
| 2022-12-25 | 149.0 | 17.00 | 25.00 | 38.0 | 76.00 | 304.25 | 572.1 | 833.05 | 1190.10 |
| 2023-01-01 | 171.5 | 17.00 | 25.00 | 41.0 | 84.75 | 335.00 | 649.4 | 912.40 | 1316.10 |
| 2023-01-08 | 184.0 | 17.00 | 28.00 | 47.0 | 94.00 | 367.25 | 707.1 | 1010.25 | 1567.17 |
| 2023-01-15 | 203.0 | 23.00 | 35.00 | 52.0 | 103.00 | 413.50 | 734.1 | 1054.10 | 1344.20 |
| 2023-01-22 | 209.0 | 20.00 | 33.00 | 51.9 | 106.00 | 420.25 | 833.2 | 1178.00 | 1730.80 |
| 2023-01-29 | 218.0 | 19.98 | 33.95 | 53.9 | 110.75 | 428.00 | 819.0 | 1145.20 | 1702.78 |
| 2023-02-05 | 209.0 | 21.98 | 33.00 | 54.0 | 107.00 | 404.00 | 790.3 | 1207.40 | 1810.28 |
| 2023-02-12 | 196.0 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 48.9 | 96.75 | 386.00 | 734.2 | 1050.15 | 1686.75 |
| 2023-02-19 | 177.0 | 19.00 | 28.00 | 43.0 | 86.00 | 354.25 | 661.1 | 953.40 | 1405.15 |
| 2023-02-26 | 154.5 | 15.00 | 22.00 | 38.0 | 77.00 | 308.25 | 583.2 | 851.30 | 1268.08 |
| 2023-03-05 | 139.0 | 13.00 | 22.00 | 35.0 | 71.00 | 271.25 | 518.3 | 759.05 | 1109.17 |
| 2023-03-12 | 122.0 | 11.00 | 17.95 | 28.0 | 58.00 | 243.00 | 447.1 | 695.30 | 971.33 |
| 2023-03-19 | 106.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 27.0 | 54.00 | 202.25 | 400.1 | 580.30 | 885.08 |
| 2023-03-26 | 94.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 45.00 | 179.00 | 346.0 | 504.15 | 705.70 |
| 2023-04-02 | 80.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 19.0 | 40.00 | 160.00 | 304.2 | 449.00 | 610.08 |
| 2023-04-09 | 72.0 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 18.9 | 37.00 | 141.00 | 271.1 | 413.15 | 583.20 |
| 2023-04-16 | 67.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 34.00 | 132.00 | 256.0 | 367.25 | 514.02 |
| 2023-04-23 | 59.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 29.00 | 117.00 | 220.1 | 327.05 | 477.00 |
| 2023-04-30 | 54.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 13.9 | 26.00 | 111.00 | 211.1 | 307.25 | 441.02 |
| 2023-05-07 | 51.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 26.00 | 99.00 | 186.0 | 275.05 | 386.12 |
| 2023-05-14 | 47.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 22.75 | 90.00 | 169.0 | 240.05 | 360.20 |
| 2023-05-21 | 43.0 | 3.98 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 20.00 | 84.00 | 161.0 | 233.00 | 325.00 |
| 2023-05-28 | 37.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 18.00 | 73.00 | 146.1 | 212.05 | 291.12 |
| 2023-06-04 | 33.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.9 | 16.00 | 69.00 | 123.0 | 176.00 | 248.10 |
| 2023-06-11 | 31.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 61.00 | 114.0 | 168.10 | 244.03 |
| 2023-06-18 | 27.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 55.00 | 100.0 | 149.10 | 217.03 |
| 2023-06-25 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 51.00 | 96.0 | 138.00 | 197.00 |
| 2023-07-02 | 23.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 47.00 | 91.0 | 137.00 | 200.10 |
| 2023-07-09 | 23.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 45.00 | 83.0 | 122.15 | 172.00 |
| 2023-07-16 | 21.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 42.00 | 82.0 | 115.00 | 157.00 |
| 2023-07-23 | 21.0 | 1.98 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 42.00 | 80.0 | 118.00 | 170.05 |
| 2023-07-30 | 21.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 40.00 | 75.0 | 109.05 | 149.00 |
| 2023-08-06 | 20.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 40.00 | 74.1 | 109.05 | 150.05 |
| 2023-08-13 | 20.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 43.00 | 79.0 | 116.05 | 174.05 |
| 2023-08-20 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 42.00 | 76.0 | 113.05 | 177.00 |
| 2023-08-27 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 44.00 | 85.0 | 128.05 | 184.03 |
| 2023-09-03 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 12.00 | 50.00 | 98.0 | 145.00 | 208.00 |
| 2023-09-10 | 28.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 14.00 | 55.00 | 100.0 | 150.00 | 206.03 |
| 2023-09-17 | 31.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 15.00 | 61.00 | 121.0 | 174.00 | 259.00 |
| 2023-09-24 | 36.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 9.0 | 18.00 | 74.00 | 142.0 | 212.05 | 286.00 |
| 2023-10-01 | 42.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 21.00 | 87.00 | 161.0 | 231.05 | 304.05 |
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