Prediction 2477
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation test 1 for BA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 270.0 | 77.97 | 92.00 | 117.9 | 171.75 | 481.25 | 851.2 | 1231.65 | 1916.17 |
| 2022-10-16 | 279.5 | 77.00 | 92.00 | 116.9 | 179.00 | 491.25 | 870.2 | 1268.15 | 1800.80 |
| 2022-10-23 | 300.5 | 83.92 | 97.00 | 118.0 | 176.00 | 495.00 | 852.2 | 1369.15 | 2046.22 |
| 2022-10-30 | 298.5 | 78.00 | 98.00 | 122.0 | 185.00 | 525.25 | 943.5 | 1457.55 | 2333.03 |
| 2022-11-06 | 313.5 | 84.95 | 107.00 | 132.9 | 193.00 | 532.00 | 965.2 | 1437.05 | 2106.32 |
| 2022-11-13 | 310.0 | 87.00 | 105.95 | 131.9 | 197.00 | 525.25 | 958.1 | 1498.10 | 2417.25 |
| 2022-11-20 | 321.0 | 93.00 | 112.95 | 138.9 | 204.00 | 548.00 | 1006.3 | 1426.90 | 2300.60 |
| 2022-11-27 | 333.5 | 101.97 | 119.95 | 147.9 | 210.00 | 571.00 | 1034.0 | 1524.35 | 2537.53 |
| 2022-12-04 | 353.0 | 94.97 | 122.00 | 150.9 | 222.00 | 609.00 | 1092.3 | 1664.30 | 2354.75 |
| 2022-12-11 | 349.0 | 103.97 | 124.95 | 155.0 | 228.00 | 609.25 | 1102.1 | 1518.45 | 2393.05 |
| 2022-12-18 | 366.5 | 109.00 | 133.00 | 160.0 | 236.00 | 602.00 | 1080.2 | 1688.95 | 2554.00 |
| 2022-12-25 | 405.0 | 119.97 | 148.00 | 185.0 | 260.00 | 712.00 | 1241.7 | 1913.30 | 2931.72 |
| 2023-01-01 | 444.5 | 139.97 | 163.95 | 207.0 | 289.00 | 744.50 | 1327.1 | 1913.15 | 2586.65 |
| 2023-01-08 | 517.0 | 162.97 | 192.95 | 240.0 | 334.75 | 871.75 | 1536.0 | 2303.20 | 3330.95 |
| 2023-01-15 | 582.5 | 185.95 | 224.90 | 275.0 | 389.00 | 991.25 | 1739.5 | 2701.20 | 3724.03 |
| 2023-01-22 | 690.5 | 212.95 | 256.95 | 318.0 | 448.00 | 1181.75 | 2017.2 | 2956.00 | 4471.73 |
| 2023-01-29 | 787.0 | 260.00 | 306.90 | 377.0 | 528.75 | 1301.00 | 2222.1 | 3315.85 | 5263.62 |
| 2023-02-05 | 898.5 | 278.95 | 339.90 | 427.9 | 610.00 | 1520.25 | 2584.6 | 3813.00 | 5324.00 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1010.0 | 319.82 | 397.00 | 469.0 | 673.00 | 1648.75 | 2834.2 | 3972.35 | 5608.82 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1114.0 | 360.98 | 422.00 | 515.9 | 729.00 | 1851.25 | 3121.2 | 4793.10 | 7351.10 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1175.0 | 370.98 | 434.90 | 542.0 | 789.00 | 1935.00 | 3347.1 | 5009.90 | 7135.62 |
| 2023-03-05 | 1217.0 | 400.00 | 471.00 | 562.9 | 802.75 | 1993.25 | 3666.7 | 5390.85 | 7689.15 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1273.5 | 419.90 | 492.90 | 602.0 | 830.00 | 2077.75 | 3485.5 | 5125.30 | 7468.27 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1344.0 | 418.85 | 490.00 | 612.9 | 875.00 | 2209.75 | 3609.4 | 5161.50 | 7572.00 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1377.5 | 444.88 | 529.85 | 632.9 | 906.75 | 2217.00 | 3788.0 | 5834.70 | 7925.00 |
| 2023-04-02 | 1423.0 | 463.00 | 550.90 | 662.0 | 942.50 | 2276.50 | 3908.3 | 5867.15 | 8526.17 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1457.0 | 474.90 | 557.00 | 686.0 | 942.75 | 2363.50 | 4066.2 | 5915.80 | 8872.88 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1468.5 | 473.98 | 567.80 | 678.0 | 949.75 | 2352.50 | 4281.5 | 6118.30 | 9001.15 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1471.5 | 452.00 | 556.95 | 701.0 | 983.00 | 2372.00 | 3957.8 | 5826.90 | 8291.00 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1467.5 | 477.98 | 564.90 | 691.9 | 966.75 | 2321.25 | 4038.2 | 5754.15 | 9278.67 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1412.5 | 433.93 | 552.00 | 707.0 | 943.00 | 2375.50 | 3891.6 | 5651.20 | 7985.62 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1362.5 | 434.00 | 531.95 | 655.0 | 903.00 | 2261.50 | 3915.8 | 5644.00 | 8181.62 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1264.5 | 434.00 | 500.95 | 609.9 | 853.75 | 2022.50 | 3342.5 | 5024.50 | 7466.23 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1179.5 | 415.98 | 481.00 | 568.0 | 770.75 | 1907.25 | 3179.1 | 4711.45 | 6761.45 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1069.5 | 334.95 | 415.95 | 498.0 | 709.00 | 1710.75 | 2881.9 | 4426.60 | 6198.02 |
| 2023-06-11 | 935.5 | 289.93 | 363.95 | 441.0 | 609.00 | 1498.00 | 2605.3 | 3607.85 | 5508.07 |
| 2023-06-18 | 827.0 | 269.00 | 316.95 | 390.9 | 547.75 | 1321.75 | 2409.1 | 3557.05 | 5526.98 |
| 2023-06-25 | 730.5 | 225.97 | 271.95 | 334.9 | 475.75 | 1202.50 | 2123.2 | 3186.00 | 4391.68 |
| 2023-07-02 | 637.0 | 211.95 | 250.95 | 301.9 | 419.75 | 1051.75 | 1912.8 | 2752.05 | 3892.18 |
| 2023-07-09 | 574.0 | 165.00 | 215.00 | 262.0 | 364.75 | 939.25 | 1781.6 | 2759.30 | 3920.18 |
| 2023-07-16 | 497.5 | 160.97 | 190.00 | 231.9 | 325.75 | 845.00 | 1473.0 | 2213.45 | 3231.60 |
| 2023-07-23 | 457.0 | 132.00 | 160.95 | 205.9 | 301.00 | 752.25 | 1390.8 | 2176.05 | 3113.62 |
| 2023-07-30 | 417.0 | 120.97 | 147.00 | 182.0 | 267.75 | 694.00 | 1218.3 | 1877.00 | 2762.18 |
| 2023-08-06 | 386.5 | 113.97 | 135.95 | 167.9 | 241.00 | 673.00 | 1161.1 | 1812.35 | 2610.72 |
| 2023-08-13 | 350.5 | 97.97 | 118.00 | 151.0 | 218.75 | 594.00 | 1082.1 | 1689.05 | 2333.12 |
| 2023-08-20 | 324.5 | 90.97 | 110.00 | 139.9 | 198.75 | 536.00 | 981.2 | 1514.80 | 2200.53 |
| 2023-08-27 | 298.0 | 86.00 | 105.95 | 132.0 | 191.75 | 508.00 | 978.1 | 1477.05 | 2142.30 |
| 2023-09-03 | 279.0 | 82.00 | 101.00 | 124.0 | 177.75 | 486.00 | 874.1 | 1263.45 | 1993.20 |
| 2023-09-10 | 275.0 | 81.00 | 94.00 | 119.9 | 173.00 | 480.00 | 838.6 | 1262.35 | 2051.07 |
| 2023-09-17 | 267.0 | 77.97 | 93.00 | 115.0 | 168.00 | 466.00 | 837.1 | 1281.35 | 1788.90 |
| 2023-09-24 | 273.0 | 74.97 | 91.95 | 117.0 | 174.00 | 484.00 | 867.0 | 1347.45 | 1967.42 |
| 2023-10-01 | 277.0 | 77.00 | 91.00 | 111.0 | 171.00 | 474.50 | 856.8 | 1247.15 | 1858.47 |
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