Prediction 2479
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation test 1 for DF
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 58.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 24.00 | 137.00 | 333.2 | 523.00 | 1006.00 |
| 2022-10-16 | 58.0 | 2.98 | 5.00 | 10.0 | 23.00 | 135.00 | 316.3 | 562.25 | 962.30 |
| 2022-10-23 | 58.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 9.0 | 22.00 | 132.00 | 309.3 | 487.10 | 856.27 |
| 2022-10-30 | 60.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 23.00 | 143.00 | 316.2 | 600.00 | 1089.08 |
| 2022-11-06 | 62.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 10.0 | 26.00 | 151.25 | 339.0 | 569.35 | 1055.50 |
| 2022-11-13 | 66.0 | 4.00 | 6.95 | 12.0 | 27.00 | 157.00 | 385.1 | 620.80 | 1163.00 |
| 2022-11-20 | 73.5 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 29.00 | 181.50 | 413.1 | 705.55 | 1330.90 |
| 2022-11-27 | 84.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 32.75 | 197.00 | 447.0 | 838.00 | 1387.45 |
| 2022-12-04 | 92.5 | 5.97 | 9.00 | 15.0 | 38.00 | 222.50 | 488.1 | 893.75 | 1695.88 |
| 2022-12-11 | 106.0 | 6.00 | 10.95 | 18.0 | 43.00 | 256.00 | 583.0 | 994.60 | 1569.78 |
| 2022-12-18 | 121.0 | 6.97 | 11.00 | 20.0 | 50.00 | 291.25 | 651.8 | 1152.10 | 2158.32 |
| 2022-12-25 | 137.5 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 25.0 | 55.75 | 334.25 | 779.3 | 1353.40 | 2712.00 |
| 2023-01-01 | 165.0 | 9.97 | 16.00 | 29.0 | 71.00 | 401.25 | 874.0 | 1453.10 | 2811.47 |
| 2023-01-08 | 196.0 | 11.97 | 19.00 | 34.0 | 80.00 | 524.50 | 1162.4 | 2138.10 | 3690.47 |
| 2023-01-15 | 240.0 | 13.00 | 24.00 | 42.0 | 99.00 | 593.75 | 1346.5 | 2419.50 | 4210.98 |
| 2023-01-22 | 283.0 | 15.00 | 30.00 | 53.0 | 120.00 | 727.25 | 1652.6 | 2823.80 | 4744.18 |
| 2023-01-29 | 343.0 | 19.00 | 33.00 | 56.0 | 133.75 | 779.25 | 1784.5 | 3081.70 | 5776.60 |
| 2023-02-05 | 398.0 | 23.98 | 39.00 | 69.0 | 165.75 | 937.75 | 2043.4 | 3591.50 | 6453.48 |
| 2023-02-12 | 441.5 | 27.95 | 43.95 | 74.9 | 177.00 | 1025.75 | 2252.2 | 4056.90 | 6350.77 |
| 2023-02-19 | 490.0 | 28.00 | 47.95 | 85.9 | 204.00 | 1147.00 | 2736.1 | 4339.40 | 7610.75 |
| 2023-02-26 | 487.0 | 30.98 | 54.95 | 85.9 | 210.75 | 1145.25 | 2898.7 | 4803.30 | 9352.50 |
| 2023-03-05 | 548.5 | 31.98 | 52.95 | 97.0 | 228.75 | 1373.75 | 3063.2 | 5712.65 | 10315.22 |
| 2023-03-12 | 596.5 | 32.00 | 58.85 | 104.0 | 234.75 | 1436.50 | 3293.4 | 5934.40 | 10422.75 |
| 2023-03-19 | 640.0 | 43.00 | 64.00 | 103.9 | 256.75 | 1536.75 | 3441.2 | 5940.20 | 11032.15 |
| 2023-03-26 | 654.5 | 33.00 | 64.95 | 111.9 | 278.00 | 1538.00 | 3555.0 | 6597.90 | 11632.35 |
| 2023-04-02 | 693.0 | 39.00 | 67.00 | 114.0 | 294.75 | 1590.00 | 3740.9 | 6667.65 | 11656.50 |
| 2023-04-09 | 757.0 | 38.00 | 72.00 | 131.9 | 312.00 | 1718.25 | 3610.6 | 6423.15 | 10702.55 |
| 2023-04-16 | 722.0 | 44.00 | 71.00 | 127.0 | 297.50 | 1685.00 | 3842.8 | 6829.60 | 12000.20 |
| 2023-04-23 | 778.5 | 50.98 | 76.00 | 126.9 | 304.75 | 1781.50 | 4143.4 | 7628.05 | 12758.92 |
| 2023-04-30 | 701.5 | 41.00 | 67.00 | 122.0 | 305.75 | 1704.75 | 4103.6 | 6849.35 | 12169.77 |
| 2023-05-07 | 717.0 | 43.98 | 73.00 | 118.0 | 293.75 | 1749.50 | 3858.2 | 6712.65 | 12573.20 |
| 2023-05-14 | 704.0 | 44.95 | 72.00 | 121.0 | 293.75 | 1721.75 | 3848.4 | 6793.55 | 10708.65 |
| 2023-05-21 | 647.0 | 35.98 | 64.00 | 117.0 | 272.00 | 1515.50 | 3718.5 | 6220.75 | 11325.17 |
| 2023-05-28 | 575.5 | 36.00 | 57.00 | 97.0 | 235.00 | 1355.25 | 3118.5 | 5551.20 | 9403.00 |
| 2023-06-04 | 513.0 | 30.98 | 49.00 | 86.0 | 205.00 | 1149.50 | 2672.3 | 4658.35 | 8054.77 |
| 2023-06-11 | 397.5 | 24.00 | 43.00 | 69.0 | 161.00 | 981.00 | 2267.6 | 3911.95 | 6792.20 |
| 2023-06-18 | 316.5 | 16.00 | 30.00 | 51.9 | 128.00 | 757.50 | 1705.0 | 2971.00 | 4861.30 |
| 2023-06-25 | 251.0 | 15.00 | 24.00 | 44.0 | 105.00 | 608.50 | 1349.1 | 2347.25 | 3735.32 |
| 2023-07-02 | 185.0 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 34.0 | 78.00 | 430.50 | 1036.0 | 1856.55 | 3400.95 |
| 2023-07-09 | 154.5 | 8.00 | 15.95 | 27.0 | 61.75 | 375.25 | 842.3 | 1449.55 | 2912.45 |
| 2023-07-16 | 119.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 20.0 | 48.00 | 280.00 | 620.3 | 1106.05 | 1924.85 |
| 2023-07-23 | 95.0 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 17.0 | 40.00 | 229.25 | 513.1 | 903.15 | 1758.33 |
| 2023-07-30 | 84.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 15.0 | 35.00 | 199.25 | 435.1 | 751.35 | 1330.38 |
| 2023-08-06 | 72.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 29.00 | 172.25 | 381.1 | 664.10 | 1284.15 |
| 2023-08-13 | 70.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 28.00 | 164.00 | 384.2 | 607.05 | 1039.62 |
| 2023-08-20 | 65.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 26.75 | 156.00 | 351.0 | 615.10 | 1250.05 |
| 2023-08-27 | 63.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 26.00 | 155.25 | 348.0 | 584.05 | 1148.03 |
| 2023-09-03 | 63.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 26.00 | 153.25 | 346.0 | 570.00 | 1147.30 |
| 2023-09-10 | 64.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 27.00 | 148.00 | 335.1 | 620.35 | 1102.05 |
| 2023-09-17 | 65.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 26.00 | 151.00 | 333.0 | 620.05 | 1097.33 |
| 2023-09-24 | 60.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 25.00 | 144.00 | 346.0 | 594.05 | 992.25 |
| 2023-10-01 | 56.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 24.00 | 141.00 | 331.1 | 549.00 | 943.35 |
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