Prediction 2485
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation test 1 for MT
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 94.0 | 28.98 | 35.95 | 43.0 | 62.00 | 148.00 | 243.1 | 353.05 | 579.30 |
| 2022-10-16 | 106.0 | 33.00 | 38.00 | 48.0 | 70.00 | 168.00 | 266.2 | 369.10 | 541.10 |
| 2022-10-23 | 118.0 | 38.00 | 44.00 | 54.0 | 77.00 | 190.00 | 328.0 | 490.00 | 680.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 138.0 | 44.98 | 52.00 | 64.0 | 87.00 | 223.00 | 367.0 | 520.10 | 811.10 |
| 2022-11-06 | 163.5 | 51.00 | 59.00 | 72.0 | 105.00 | 254.25 | 426.1 | 590.35 | 904.17 |
| 2022-11-13 | 185.0 | 55.00 | 66.00 | 83.0 | 121.00 | 308.00 | 503.0 | 722.15 | 993.10 |
| 2022-11-20 | 215.0 | 67.97 | 81.00 | 96.0 | 140.00 | 357.00 | 613.2 | 887.50 | 1378.40 |
| 2022-11-27 | 251.0 | 70.97 | 89.00 | 112.0 | 164.00 | 403.50 | 708.0 | 1046.10 | 1525.33 |
| 2022-12-04 | 274.0 | 88.00 | 108.00 | 133.0 | 185.00 | 453.25 | 776.3 | 1086.05 | 1571.25 |
| 2022-12-11 | 310.0 | 97.97 | 118.00 | 146.0 | 206.75 | 501.25 | 831.3 | 1221.15 | 1791.28 |
| 2022-12-18 | 357.5 | 109.00 | 134.00 | 161.0 | 228.00 | 562.00 | 931.1 | 1414.50 | 2249.80 |
| 2022-12-25 | 393.0 | 125.00 | 142.00 | 179.0 | 262.75 | 624.25 | 1063.0 | 1640.30 | 2456.12 |
| 2023-01-01 | 430.5 | 139.00 | 172.00 | 209.0 | 293.00 | 690.25 | 1168.0 | 1699.90 | 2588.35 |
| 2023-01-08 | 484.0 | 158.97 | 188.00 | 235.9 | 327.00 | 811.00 | 1313.0 | 1839.05 | 2596.88 |
| 2023-01-15 | 542.0 | 184.00 | 219.00 | 268.0 | 359.75 | 847.25 | 1402.9 | 2043.25 | 2957.85 |
| 2023-01-22 | 583.5 | 200.00 | 239.00 | 286.0 | 400.00 | 956.25 | 1585.2 | 2194.55 | 3353.32 |
| 2023-01-29 | 640.0 | 212.97 | 250.95 | 300.9 | 429.50 | 1004.25 | 1776.3 | 2417.25 | 3412.57 |
| 2023-02-05 | 666.0 | 215.97 | 252.00 | 316.0 | 446.00 | 1031.25 | 1681.8 | 2425.35 | 3578.40 |
| 2023-02-12 | 689.5 | 219.97 | 270.00 | 329.0 | 458.00 | 1064.00 | 1795.6 | 2528.10 | 3720.80 |
| 2023-02-19 | 687.0 | 234.93 | 280.00 | 341.0 | 466.00 | 1089.50 | 1798.9 | 2570.85 | 4007.57 |
| 2023-02-26 | 666.5 | 223.97 | 268.95 | 329.0 | 459.00 | 1079.25 | 1750.5 | 2431.10 | 3581.30 |
| 2023-03-05 | 655.5 | 226.93 | 268.00 | 326.9 | 443.75 | 1023.00 | 1685.3 | 2270.35 | 3316.07 |
| 2023-03-12 | 638.0 | 223.00 | 255.95 | 310.9 | 427.75 | 1003.50 | 1647.5 | 2414.40 | 3496.55 |
| 2023-03-19 | 618.5 | 202.97 | 237.95 | 298.0 | 419.00 | 1000.25 | 1626.5 | 2299.05 | 3298.45 |
| 2023-03-26 | 613.5 | 188.95 | 233.95 | 294.0 | 411.00 | 979.00 | 1564.5 | 2223.10 | 3408.35 |
| 2023-04-02 | 589.0 | 196.00 | 234.00 | 286.9 | 399.00 | 944.50 | 1554.5 | 2219.25 | 3123.15 |
| 2023-04-09 | 580.0 | 186.95 | 225.00 | 272.9 | 386.75 | 918.00 | 1530.0 | 2178.45 | 2948.25 |
| 2023-04-16 | 561.0 | 190.00 | 219.00 | 270.0 | 375.00 | 882.00 | 1465.5 | 2098.80 | 3145.05 |
| 2023-04-23 | 547.5 | 171.93 | 205.95 | 257.9 | 367.75 | 862.75 | 1434.8 | 2039.10 | 3294.68 |
| 2023-04-30 | 518.5 | 165.97 | 201.00 | 249.0 | 342.75 | 821.75 | 1426.7 | 2007.75 | 3325.32 |
| 2023-05-07 | 502.0 | 158.95 | 181.95 | 223.0 | 325.75 | 806.25 | 1342.3 | 2093.10 | 2942.32 |
| 2023-05-14 | 465.5 | 144.97 | 171.00 | 211.9 | 305.75 | 727.25 | 1237.1 | 1728.55 | 2596.80 |
| 2023-05-21 | 424.5 | 139.00 | 161.00 | 196.9 | 281.75 | 692.00 | 1166.3 | 1772.50 | 2682.47 |
| 2023-05-28 | 382.0 | 116.97 | 141.00 | 179.0 | 250.00 | 606.25 | 1071.2 | 1528.25 | 2294.93 |
| 2023-06-04 | 340.0 | 105.97 | 122.00 | 154.9 | 221.00 | 557.50 | 941.0 | 1362.20 | 2016.83 |
| 2023-06-11 | 302.0 | 91.00 | 107.95 | 136.0 | 193.00 | 491.25 | 835.2 | 1184.85 | 2022.38 |
| 2023-06-18 | 259.0 | 76.95 | 91.95 | 118.9 | 169.00 | 413.50 | 693.2 | 1044.30 | 1452.12 |
| 2023-06-25 | 229.0 | 71.00 | 84.00 | 104.0 | 146.00 | 365.00 | 614.1 | 941.65 | 1389.00 |
| 2023-07-02 | 192.0 | 60.00 | 71.00 | 85.9 | 124.75 | 320.50 | 529.1 | 764.90 | 1221.70 |
| 2023-07-09 | 166.0 | 51.00 | 60.95 | 76.0 | 110.00 | 265.25 | 488.0 | 664.20 | 1017.08 |
| 2023-07-16 | 146.0 | 39.98 | 51.00 | 64.0 | 92.00 | 229.00 | 391.2 | 559.10 | 840.02 |
| 2023-07-23 | 129.0 | 40.00 | 47.00 | 61.9 | 85.75 | 210.00 | 353.0 | 525.00 | 772.15 |
| 2023-07-30 | 114.0 | 32.00 | 38.00 | 50.0 | 75.00 | 186.00 | 312.0 | 461.10 | 678.02 |
| 2023-08-06 | 105.0 | 33.00 | 39.00 | 49.0 | 68.75 | 172.00 | 287.1 | 413.05 | 642.12 |
| 2023-08-13 | 97.0 | 29.00 | 35.00 | 45.0 | 64.00 | 151.00 | 255.0 | 369.10 | 545.15 |
| 2023-08-20 | 89.5 | 28.00 | 34.00 | 43.0 | 60.00 | 145.00 | 247.0 | 361.05 | 516.05 |
| 2023-08-27 | 85.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 38.0 | 56.75 | 138.00 | 225.1 | 327.15 | 561.05 |
| 2023-09-03 | 83.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 38.0 | 56.00 | 133.00 | 212.0 | 321.05 | 476.05 |
| 2023-09-10 | 81.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 37.0 | 54.00 | 129.00 | 215.1 | 321.25 | 427.12 |
| 2023-09-17 | 83.0 | 25.98 | 31.00 | 37.9 | 55.00 | 131.00 | 221.0 | 322.00 | 446.07 |
| 2023-09-24 | 83.0 | 26.00 | 31.95 | 38.0 | 54.00 | 129.25 | 219.0 | 324.05 | 497.23 |
| 2023-10-01 | 89.0 | 26.00 | 33.00 | 40.0 | 57.00 | 140.00 | 221.0 | 325.20 | 487.20 |
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