Prediction 2486
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 1 for PA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 45.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 21.0 | 31.00 | 64.00 | 92.0 | 115.00 | 144.03 |
| 2022-10-16 | 46.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 32.00 | 66.00 | 94.0 | 123.05 | 168.03 |
| 2022-10-23 | 48.0 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 24.0 | 34.00 | 70.00 | 100.0 | 127.05 | 159.03 |
| 2022-10-30 | 52.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 36.00 | 75.00 | 108.0 | 136.05 | 175.03 |
| 2022-11-06 | 57.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 39.00 | 81.00 | 121.1 | 167.00 | 194.00 |
| 2022-11-13 | 64.0 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 31.0 | 44.00 | 92.00 | 134.1 | 172.00 | 213.00 |
| 2022-11-20 | 68.0 | 22.98 | 28.00 | 33.0 | 47.00 | 101.00 | 147.1 | 193.00 | 235.20 |
| 2022-11-27 | 73.0 | 23.00 | 28.00 | 35.0 | 50.00 | 110.00 | 156.0 | 211.00 | 278.05 |
| 2022-12-04 | 78.0 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 37.0 | 52.00 | 115.00 | 168.0 | 214.25 | 279.05 |
| 2022-12-11 | 78.0 | 25.00 | 31.00 | 39.0 | 53.00 | 115.00 | 176.0 | 221.10 | 295.12 |
| 2022-12-18 | 81.0 | 24.98 | 31.00 | 39.0 | 56.00 | 121.00 | 178.1 | 238.00 | 305.00 |
| 2022-12-25 | 90.0 | 29.00 | 35.00 | 44.0 | 62.00 | 131.00 | 190.0 | 256.05 | 335.07 |
| 2023-01-01 | 105.0 | 34.00 | 41.95 | 51.0 | 72.00 | 153.00 | 232.0 | 294.05 | 372.02 |
| 2023-01-08 | 132.0 | 44.00 | 54.00 | 65.0 | 91.00 | 190.00 | 278.1 | 358.00 | 452.00 |
| 2023-01-15 | 160.0 | 54.00 | 64.00 | 78.0 | 108.00 | 234.00 | 345.0 | 456.00 | 627.23 |
| 2023-01-22 | 192.0 | 65.97 | 79.00 | 97.0 | 134.00 | 285.25 | 426.0 | 554.00 | 686.05 |
| 2023-01-29 | 218.0 | 74.97 | 91.00 | 108.0 | 149.00 | 328.25 | 476.2 | 584.15 | 761.02 |
| 2023-02-05 | 224.0 | 74.97 | 87.00 | 110.0 | 157.75 | 331.00 | 481.0 | 609.05 | 775.05 |
| 2023-02-12 | 233.0 | 75.00 | 91.90 | 114.0 | 160.00 | 334.25 | 484.2 | 636.05 | 772.25 |
| 2023-02-19 | 226.0 | 76.00 | 92.00 | 114.0 | 155.75 | 329.00 | 478.1 | 631.10 | 774.23 |
| 2023-02-26 | 224.0 | 76.00 | 89.00 | 112.0 | 155.75 | 316.25 | 465.0 | 632.00 | 847.05 |
| 2023-03-05 | 222.0 | 75.00 | 86.95 | 110.0 | 152.00 | 319.00 | 459.0 | 593.05 | 786.30 |
| 2023-03-12 | 207.0 | 66.00 | 82.00 | 102.9 | 141.00 | 310.00 | 440.1 | 580.00 | 770.10 |
| 2023-03-19 | 194.0 | 62.00 | 77.00 | 95.0 | 135.75 | 289.00 | 431.2 | 574.15 | 700.02 |
| 2023-03-26 | 187.5 | 62.00 | 73.00 | 91.0 | 128.00 | 275.00 | 411.1 | 538.20 | 683.15 |
| 2023-04-02 | 174.5 | 61.00 | 72.00 | 86.0 | 123.00 | 264.00 | 400.1 | 517.20 | 673.12 |
| 2023-04-09 | 170.0 | 55.98 | 68.00 | 84.0 | 117.00 | 249.00 | 375.0 | 482.10 | 661.08 |
| 2023-04-16 | 159.0 | 51.95 | 64.00 | 81.0 | 110.00 | 240.00 | 351.0 | 454.05 | 606.17 |
| 2023-04-23 | 152.0 | 50.00 | 62.95 | 75.0 | 106.00 | 223.00 | 332.0 | 429.00 | 567.30 |
| 2023-04-30 | 143.5 | 45.00 | 55.95 | 69.0 | 97.00 | 214.00 | 324.0 | 421.15 | 535.15 |
| 2023-05-07 | 131.0 | 40.00 | 50.00 | 64.0 | 90.00 | 193.00 | 298.0 | 387.20 | 494.05 |
| 2023-05-14 | 115.5 | 40.00 | 46.00 | 57.0 | 79.00 | 169.00 | 252.0 | 329.20 | 422.02 |
| 2023-05-21 | 103.0 | 32.98 | 39.95 | 51.0 | 70.75 | 151.00 | 226.0 | 295.20 | 392.02 |
| 2023-05-28 | 90.0 | 29.98 | 35.00 | 44.0 | 62.00 | 133.00 | 190.0 | 251.05 | 330.27 |
| 2023-06-04 | 79.0 | 26.00 | 31.95 | 39.0 | 54.00 | 115.00 | 168.1 | 222.00 | 282.05 |
| 2023-06-11 | 70.0 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 34.0 | 48.00 | 100.00 | 150.0 | 184.05 | 235.15 |
| 2023-06-18 | 63.0 | 19.00 | 24.00 | 30.0 | 43.00 | 90.00 | 130.0 | 168.15 | 244.03 |
| 2023-06-25 | 57.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 38.00 | 83.00 | 119.1 | 157.00 | 205.03 |
| 2023-07-02 | 52.0 | 16.98 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 36.00 | 76.00 | 112.0 | 147.05 | 187.00 |
| 2023-07-09 | 47.0 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 24.0 | 33.00 | 69.00 | 102.0 | 134.00 | 180.07 |
| 2023-07-16 | 45.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 23.0 | 32.00 | 67.00 | 96.0 | 123.00 | 154.03 |
| 2023-07-23 | 46.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 32.00 | 66.00 | 96.0 | 123.00 | 157.00 |
| 2023-07-30 | 45.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 65.00 | 92.0 | 119.05 | 159.00 |
| 2023-08-06 | 46.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 66.00 | 93.0 | 119.05 | 149.00 |
| 2023-08-13 | 45.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 64.00 | 92.0 | 119.10 | 154.03 |
| 2023-08-20 | 43.0 | 14.97 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 30.00 | 64.00 | 88.0 | 114.00 | 139.03 |
| 2023-08-27 | 43.0 | 14.00 | 16.00 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 62.00 | 89.0 | 110.05 | 142.00 |
| 2023-09-03 | 41.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 20.0 | 29.00 | 60.00 | 86.0 | 111.00 | 136.03 |
| 2023-09-10 | 40.0 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 20.0 | 29.00 | 58.00 | 84.0 | 107.05 | 130.00 |
| 2023-09-17 | 41.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 20.0 | 29.00 | 58.00 | 82.0 | 103.05 | 135.00 |
| 2023-09-24 | 42.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 59.00 | 84.0 | 107.05 | 138.00 |
| 2023-10-01 | 42.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 21.0 | 30.00 | 61.00 | 87.0 | 107.00 | 140.00 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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