Prediction 2487
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation test 1 for PB
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 128.0 | 22.98 | 29.95 | 44.0 | 73.00 | 237.25 | 401.0 | 580.10 | 863.35 |
| 2022-10-16 | 116.0 | 19.98 | 28.00 | 39.0 | 68.00 | 211.25 | 387.1 | 582.35 | 858.00 |
| 2022-10-23 | 110.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 35.0 | 61.00 | 191.00 | 339.3 | 520.00 | 775.55 |
| 2022-10-30 | 97.0 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 33.0 | 56.00 | 173.00 | 296.2 | 470.20 | 705.15 |
| 2022-11-06 | 94.0 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 32.0 | 53.00 | 168.25 | 290.0 | 411.10 | 645.25 |
| 2022-11-13 | 93.0 | 15.00 | 21.00 | 31.0 | 52.00 | 161.25 | 292.1 | 449.05 | 734.48 |
| 2022-11-20 | 87.5 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 49.00 | 153.00 | 271.1 | 403.00 | 567.08 |
| 2022-11-27 | 91.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 52.00 | 157.00 | 272.2 | 393.00 | 569.10 |
| 2022-12-04 | 89.0 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 50.00 | 162.25 | 280.2 | 431.05 | 614.02 |
| 2022-12-11 | 93.0 | 16.00 | 23.95 | 33.0 | 53.00 | 155.00 | 295.0 | 433.15 | 681.35 |
| 2022-12-18 | 96.0 | 16.98 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 55.00 | 169.00 | 300.0 | 468.10 | 729.05 |
| 2022-12-25 | 97.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 33.9 | 56.00 | 178.00 | 317.1 | 491.45 | 778.00 |
| 2023-01-01 | 111.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 39.0 | 64.00 | 194.00 | 354.0 | 524.10 | 780.52 |
| 2023-01-08 | 122.0 | 22.00 | 32.00 | 44.0 | 71.00 | 215.25 | 391.1 | 604.00 | 889.60 |
| 2023-01-15 | 136.0 | 26.00 | 35.00 | 48.0 | 78.00 | 245.00 | 431.2 | 674.00 | 955.08 |
| 2023-01-22 | 150.5 | 29.00 | 38.00 | 53.0 | 87.00 | 274.00 | 488.3 | 740.60 | 1203.10 |
| 2023-01-29 | 180.0 | 35.00 | 44.95 | 63.0 | 106.00 | 320.25 | 546.3 | 872.05 | 1307.22 |
| 2023-02-05 | 203.0 | 38.00 | 54.00 | 74.0 | 120.00 | 369.25 | 620.2 | 919.05 | 1438.40 |
| 2023-02-12 | 239.0 | 47.98 | 60.95 | 81.0 | 135.75 | 416.00 | 758.1 | 1184.65 | 1628.55 |
| 2023-02-19 | 264.0 | 50.00 | 65.95 | 88.0 | 151.00 | 457.25 | 785.2 | 1211.30 | 1745.47 |
| 2023-02-26 | 290.5 | 55.98 | 74.00 | 101.0 | 167.75 | 509.00 | 965.1 | 1420.55 | 2085.53 |
| 2023-03-05 | 309.0 | 57.00 | 78.00 | 102.0 | 176.00 | 560.00 | 967.1 | 1544.20 | 2076.32 |
| 2023-03-12 | 332.0 | 66.97 | 86.00 | 116.0 | 189.75 | 588.25 | 1091.1 | 1599.85 | 2580.00 |
| 2023-03-19 | 348.5 | 69.00 | 90.00 | 124.0 | 203.00 | 628.00 | 1123.6 | 1655.75 | 2582.15 |
| 2023-03-26 | 380.0 | 74.00 | 95.95 | 127.0 | 212.00 | 676.50 | 1190.1 | 1901.20 | 2836.85 |
| 2023-04-02 | 412.5 | 73.97 | 97.95 | 136.9 | 239.00 | 734.25 | 1352.1 | 2117.30 | 3348.18 |
| 2023-04-09 | 456.5 | 83.00 | 120.00 | 156.9 | 261.00 | 815.25 | 1528.3 | 2154.00 | 3585.53 |
| 2023-04-16 | 468.0 | 93.00 | 118.95 | 162.9 | 268.00 | 814.50 | 1436.0 | 2295.20 | 3643.47 |
| 2023-04-23 | 502.5 | 99.97 | 131.00 | 172.0 | 293.00 | 875.00 | 1574.4 | 2402.05 | 3782.18 |
| 2023-04-30 | 537.0 | 98.00 | 137.95 | 189.0 | 314.00 | 941.25 | 1624.0 | 2438.15 | 4119.98 |
| 2023-05-07 | 560.0 | 97.00 | 144.95 | 189.0 | 324.00 | 970.00 | 1827.2 | 2792.60 | 4162.85 |
| 2023-05-14 | 549.0 | 106.00 | 142.95 | 193.9 | 330.75 | 1011.00 | 1874.1 | 2949.50 | 4191.02 |
| 2023-05-21 | 562.5 | 115.97 | 150.00 | 202.9 | 330.00 | 979.25 | 1767.2 | 2589.10 | 4435.55 |
| 2023-05-28 | 564.0 | 102.90 | 138.90 | 201.8 | 338.00 | 1009.50 | 1706.1 | 2539.90 | 4029.88 |
| 2023-06-04 | 537.0 | 103.97 | 138.00 | 190.9 | 314.00 | 973.25 | 1724.6 | 2619.10 | 3905.32 |
| 2023-06-11 | 531.0 | 96.00 | 128.00 | 178.0 | 301.75 | 908.25 | 1616.1 | 2453.65 | 3726.28 |
| 2023-06-18 | 497.0 | 90.00 | 118.95 | 167.0 | 283.75 | 863.25 | 1596.1 | 2518.45 | 3908.20 |
| 2023-06-25 | 480.0 | 85.97 | 116.00 | 157.0 | 265.00 | 801.25 | 1500.1 | 2252.35 | 3044.97 |
| 2023-07-02 | 435.0 | 79.00 | 101.00 | 143.0 | 253.00 | 770.25 | 1362.7 | 2065.65 | 3298.53 |
| 2023-07-09 | 421.0 | 80.00 | 107.00 | 145.0 | 249.75 | 735.50 | 1289.7 | 1935.25 | 2923.80 |
| 2023-07-16 | 399.5 | 81.95 | 102.00 | 140.0 | 226.00 | 671.25 | 1191.3 | 1828.25 | 2946.00 |
| 2023-07-23 | 379.5 | 67.00 | 90.00 | 125.0 | 223.00 | 670.00 | 1220.0 | 1744.85 | 2877.10 |
| 2023-07-30 | 349.5 | 66.00 | 90.00 | 126.0 | 199.00 | 602.25 | 1139.2 | 1686.65 | 2598.07 |
| 2023-08-06 | 323.0 | 64.97 | 86.00 | 114.9 | 188.00 | 573.00 | 1033.2 | 1557.70 | 2326.38 |
| 2023-08-13 | 305.0 | 60.00 | 77.00 | 111.0 | 178.00 | 537.50 | 943.1 | 1372.55 | 1976.12 |
| 2023-08-20 | 275.5 | 51.00 | 66.95 | 94.9 | 165.75 | 486.25 | 874.1 | 1314.10 | 2012.38 |
| 2023-08-27 | 257.0 | 51.00 | 65.00 | 88.9 | 147.00 | 449.00 | 803.7 | 1289.10 | 1846.00 |
| 2023-09-03 | 238.0 | 42.98 | 61.00 | 83.9 | 141.00 | 419.00 | 738.2 | 1162.35 | 1633.03 |
| 2023-09-10 | 213.5 | 41.00 | 56.95 | 77.0 | 130.00 | 373.00 | 716.2 | 1003.50 | 1452.80 |
| 2023-09-17 | 194.5 | 36.98 | 47.00 | 65.0 | 109.00 | 337.25 | 590.0 | 852.45 | 1406.38 |
| 2023-09-24 | 169.0 | 32.98 | 43.00 | 60.0 | 100.00 | 308.00 | 532.4 | 786.20 | 1008.40 |
| 2023-10-01 | 149.0 | 27.00 | 36.00 | 50.0 | 85.00 | 271.00 | 465.0 | 668.25 | 1079.10 |
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