Prediction 2488
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 1 for PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 313.0 | 54.00 | 68.00 | 98.0 | 169.00 | 615.00 | 1187.0 | 1901.20 | 2991.68 |
| 2022-10-16 | 325.0 | 50.00 | 70.00 | 101.0 | 172.00 | 619.00 | 1157.2 | 1810.35 | 3104.38 |
| 2022-10-23 | 310.5 | 56.00 | 70.95 | 96.0 | 168.00 | 609.25 | 1121.3 | 1792.40 | 3021.55 |
| 2022-10-30 | 296.0 | 56.00 | 72.00 | 98.9 | 165.75 | 569.25 | 1045.1 | 1656.10 | 2831.85 |
| 2022-11-06 | 311.0 | 51.95 | 68.95 | 96.0 | 170.75 | 588.00 | 1089.2 | 1674.35 | 2733.75 |
| 2022-11-13 | 303.5 | 51.95 | 71.00 | 99.9 | 165.75 | 574.25 | 1127.1 | 1689.65 | 2552.88 |
| 2022-11-20 | 309.0 | 47.98 | 67.00 | 97.0 | 159.75 | 616.75 | 1182.1 | 1829.35 | 2904.90 |
| 2022-11-27 | 306.0 | 47.98 | 69.00 | 94.0 | 163.00 | 597.25 | 1066.3 | 1659.40 | 2820.50 |
| 2022-12-04 | 279.5 | 52.98 | 70.95 | 96.9 | 161.00 | 541.00 | 1048.5 | 1591.00 | 2557.18 |
| 2022-12-11 | 293.0 | 46.98 | 61.95 | 91.0 | 158.00 | 537.50 | 1044.4 | 1702.50 | 2684.20 |
| 2022-12-18 | 272.0 | 50.00 | 66.00 | 91.9 | 158.00 | 519.00 | 1059.1 | 1757.05 | 2817.38 |
| 2022-12-25 | 278.5 | 49.00 | 64.00 | 88.0 | 148.75 | 545.50 | 1004.0 | 1587.10 | 2292.12 |
| 2023-01-01 | 285.0 | 47.00 | 62.00 | 87.0 | 152.00 | 551.00 | 1035.3 | 1562.10 | 2418.18 |
| 2023-01-08 | 297.0 | 46.98 | 64.00 | 91.0 | 166.00 | 564.00 | 1100.0 | 1729.70 | 2654.30 |
| 2023-01-15 | 292.5 | 55.00 | 71.95 | 95.0 | 159.00 | 569.75 | 1079.2 | 1635.45 | 2593.60 |
| 2023-01-22 | 298.0 | 53.00 | 68.00 | 93.9 | 165.00 | 586.75 | 1145.3 | 2038.20 | 3097.43 |
| 2023-01-29 | 318.0 | 58.98 | 76.95 | 102.9 | 175.00 | 622.00 | 1176.4 | 1769.35 | 2754.05 |
| 2023-02-05 | 355.0 | 68.00 | 83.00 | 112.0 | 193.00 | 674.75 | 1301.0 | 2094.55 | 3018.35 |
| 2023-02-12 | 368.0 | 63.00 | 83.95 | 120.0 | 195.00 | 702.00 | 1346.4 | 2337.80 | 3769.32 |
| 2023-02-19 | 403.0 | 72.00 | 95.00 | 133.9 | 231.00 | 783.25 | 1491.7 | 2378.10 | 3601.45 |
| 2023-02-26 | 437.0 | 84.95 | 106.95 | 145.9 | 243.00 | 800.25 | 1468.3 | 2360.30 | 3681.47 |
| 2023-03-05 | 439.0 | 81.00 | 105.00 | 143.0 | 247.00 | 815.00 | 1557.3 | 2719.60 | 4137.05 |
| 2023-03-12 | 478.5 | 84.00 | 111.95 | 154.0 | 266.75 | 885.00 | 1681.1 | 2581.45 | 3944.20 |
| 2023-03-19 | 505.5 | 92.97 | 122.95 | 164.0 | 280.75 | 952.00 | 1818.3 | 2715.65 | 4564.30 |
| 2023-03-26 | 539.0 | 101.95 | 133.90 | 184.0 | 312.00 | 1010.25 | 1994.8 | 2965.05 | 5165.57 |
| 2023-04-02 | 595.0 | 110.95 | 146.00 | 197.0 | 340.00 | 1106.00 | 2015.9 | 3271.10 | 4817.55 |
| 2023-04-09 | 662.5 | 111.95 | 156.95 | 218.0 | 353.00 | 1258.50 | 2291.0 | 3383.00 | 5454.12 |
| 2023-04-16 | 703.5 | 129.00 | 169.85 | 228.0 | 385.75 | 1309.25 | 2566.3 | 3817.95 | 6668.05 |
| 2023-04-23 | 740.0 | 138.00 | 178.95 | 249.0 | 424.00 | 1372.25 | 2525.0 | 4113.95 | 6650.70 |
| 2023-04-30 | 793.0 | 160.95 | 203.95 | 273.0 | 458.75 | 1409.25 | 2601.4 | 3808.30 | 6293.98 |
| 2023-05-07 | 818.0 | 153.95 | 206.00 | 291.0 | 464.00 | 1461.25 | 2876.5 | 4753.65 | 8388.73 |
| 2023-05-14 | 832.0 | 148.97 | 203.90 | 278.0 | 474.75 | 1454.25 | 2836.1 | 4711.65 | 7347.73 |
| 2023-05-21 | 838.0 | 145.00 | 186.00 | 278.9 | 463.50 | 1524.00 | 2861.0 | 4432.25 | 7419.62 |
| 2023-05-28 | 835.5 | 144.95 | 191.85 | 274.9 | 454.00 | 1508.00 | 2762.0 | 4610.75 | 6460.93 |
| 2023-06-04 | 786.5 | 141.97 | 200.00 | 272.0 | 440.75 | 1445.25 | 2525.9 | 4286.30 | 6982.12 |
| 2023-06-11 | 772.0 | 129.97 | 181.95 | 251.0 | 423.50 | 1429.25 | 2792.6 | 4262.55 | 6343.80 |
| 2023-06-18 | 692.0 | 131.00 | 170.95 | 246.0 | 398.75 | 1293.00 | 2595.0 | 3892.70 | 6547.25 |
| 2023-06-25 | 676.0 | 120.97 | 165.95 | 223.0 | 378.00 | 1298.25 | 2390.1 | 3791.45 | 5889.68 |
| 2023-07-02 | 645.5 | 114.00 | 153.90 | 209.9 | 350.75 | 1204.00 | 2262.0 | 3466.15 | 5838.40 |
| 2023-07-09 | 589.0 | 94.97 | 125.00 | 184.9 | 332.75 | 1103.50 | 2086.3 | 3286.70 | 5761.35 |
| 2023-07-16 | 575.5 | 94.95 | 126.00 | 181.0 | 314.00 | 1086.25 | 2002.4 | 3399.00 | 5422.90 |
| 2023-07-23 | 501.5 | 88.97 | 119.00 | 159.9 | 277.75 | 990.25 | 1956.7 | 3197.05 | 4344.68 |
| 2023-07-30 | 489.0 | 78.00 | 107.95 | 155.0 | 254.00 | 906.25 | 1706.2 | 2790.05 | 4596.10 |
| 2023-08-06 | 462.0 | 85.97 | 110.95 | 148.9 | 240.75 | 867.25 | 1685.3 | 2428.25 | 4241.27 |
| 2023-08-13 | 443.0 | 73.97 | 102.95 | 140.0 | 235.00 | 823.75 | 1531.8 | 2249.40 | 3424.93 |
| 2023-08-20 | 421.0 | 64.95 | 95.00 | 134.0 | 237.75 | 835.00 | 1536.1 | 2266.60 | 3545.62 |
| 2023-08-27 | 386.0 | 60.00 | 83.95 | 119.0 | 211.00 | 768.25 | 1502.2 | 2417.00 | 3654.20 |
| 2023-09-03 | 370.0 | 60.98 | 82.00 | 112.0 | 204.00 | 728.50 | 1419.2 | 2197.00 | 3742.00 |
| 2023-09-10 | 350.5 | 56.00 | 78.00 | 108.9 | 192.75 | 698.00 | 1376.1 | 2345.70 | 3850.07 |
| 2023-09-17 | 349.0 | 57.00 | 76.00 | 109.0 | 184.00 | 668.25 | 1248.3 | 1877.10 | 2997.45 |
| 2023-09-24 | 335.5 | 55.00 | 75.00 | 103.0 | 176.00 | 656.25 | 1271.8 | 1938.00 | 2945.15 |
| 2023-10-01 | 314.0 | 58.00 | 77.00 | 103.0 | 171.00 | 631.00 | 1299.1 | 2082.75 | 3218.62 |
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