Prediction 2489
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 1 for PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 21.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 12.00 | 37.00 | 67.0 | 100.00 | 151.07 |
| 2022-10-16 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 35.00 | 58.0 | 83.05 | 116.03 |
| 2022-10-23 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 32.00 | 58.0 | 84.00 | 120.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 18.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 32.00 | 59.1 | 84.00 | 114.03 |
| 2022-11-06 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 32.00 | 58.0 | 83.05 | 121.12 |
| 2022-11-13 | 18.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 36.00 | 60.0 | 85.00 | 120.00 |
| 2022-11-20 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.75 | 34.00 | 62.1 | 89.05 | 136.00 |
| 2022-11-27 | 19.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.75 | 37.00 | 66.0 | 103.05 | 148.00 |
| 2022-12-04 | 21.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 39.00 | 70.1 | 105.05 | 151.07 |
| 2022-12-11 | 23.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.9 | 12.00 | 42.00 | 76.0 | 107.00 | 153.18 |
| 2022-12-18 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 13.00 | 46.00 | 77.0 | 118.00 | 179.00 |
| 2022-12-25 | 28.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 52.00 | 91.0 | 127.00 | 180.12 |
| 2023-01-01 | 32.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 58.00 | 101.1 | 144.10 | 227.03 |
| 2023-01-08 | 40.5 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.0 | 22.00 | 70.00 | 125.1 | 177.00 | 253.07 |
| 2023-01-15 | 46.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 16.0 | 27.00 | 81.00 | 141.0 | 197.05 | 284.18 |
| 2023-01-22 | 55.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 20.9 | 33.00 | 98.00 | 170.1 | 258.05 | 363.05 |
| 2023-01-29 | 65.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 39.00 | 112.00 | 200.1 | 280.05 | 392.18 |
| 2023-02-05 | 79.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 29.0 | 46.00 | 132.00 | 227.1 | 339.00 | 464.10 |
| 2023-02-12 | 90.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 34.0 | 54.00 | 150.00 | 261.1 | 372.10 | 506.05 |
| 2023-02-19 | 99.0 | 21.00 | 28.95 | 38.0 | 61.75 | 171.00 | 300.1 | 450.00 | 598.10 |
| 2023-02-26 | 117.0 | 27.00 | 35.00 | 44.0 | 70.00 | 199.00 | 340.1 | 478.40 | 681.00 |
| 2023-03-05 | 135.0 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 52.0 | 83.00 | 216.00 | 377.1 | 528.00 | 779.17 |
| 2023-03-12 | 157.0 | 35.98 | 47.00 | 60.0 | 93.00 | 258.00 | 436.0 | 637.35 | 937.25 |
| 2023-03-19 | 181.0 | 41.98 | 51.00 | 67.0 | 110.00 | 301.25 | 505.1 | 708.10 | 1002.12 |
| 2023-03-26 | 206.0 | 50.00 | 62.00 | 82.0 | 124.00 | 352.00 | 585.0 | 833.10 | 1135.25 |
| 2023-04-02 | 231.0 | 55.00 | 73.00 | 94.0 | 141.00 | 388.00 | 662.2 | 883.10 | 1317.30 |
| 2023-04-09 | 254.0 | 67.00 | 82.00 | 104.9 | 161.00 | 422.25 | 727.1 | 977.05 | 1339.25 |
| 2023-04-16 | 277.5 | 67.97 | 83.00 | 111.0 | 169.75 | 470.00 | 752.4 | 1069.35 | 1403.15 |
| 2023-04-23 | 291.0 | 70.00 | 93.00 | 117.0 | 181.75 | 480.25 | 801.1 | 1121.05 | 1706.03 |
| 2023-04-30 | 305.0 | 76.95 | 94.00 | 125.0 | 194.00 | 497.00 | 853.3 | 1189.25 | 1761.50 |
| 2023-05-07 | 308.0 | 70.00 | 99.00 | 132.0 | 196.00 | 501.25 | 820.5 | 1182.45 | 1703.20 |
| 2023-05-14 | 295.0 | 73.00 | 91.00 | 117.9 | 184.00 | 483.00 | 797.1 | 1111.30 | 1574.12 |
| 2023-05-21 | 277.0 | 71.97 | 88.00 | 112.0 | 175.00 | 459.25 | 757.0 | 1077.05 | 1607.03 |
| 2023-05-28 | 264.5 | 65.00 | 80.00 | 105.0 | 163.00 | 432.25 | 713.1 | 950.00 | 1509.17 |
| 2023-06-04 | 231.0 | 60.00 | 74.00 | 95.0 | 142.00 | 380.00 | 618.1 | 911.45 | 1286.85 |
| 2023-06-11 | 213.5 | 51.00 | 66.95 | 84.0 | 133.00 | 357.25 | 586.1 | 812.65 | 1229.28 |
| 2023-06-18 | 189.0 | 48.00 | 61.00 | 76.9 | 116.00 | 308.25 | 503.4 | 707.05 | 1036.55 |
| 2023-06-25 | 168.0 | 40.00 | 51.00 | 66.0 | 104.00 | 280.00 | 471.1 | 622.10 | 855.10 |
| 2023-07-02 | 149.0 | 36.00 | 46.00 | 61.0 | 91.75 | 242.00 | 404.3 | 599.05 | 841.05 |
| 2023-07-09 | 135.0 | 35.00 | 43.00 | 54.0 | 83.00 | 220.25 | 377.2 | 531.15 | 788.00 |
| 2023-07-16 | 120.0 | 28.00 | 39.00 | 49.0 | 74.00 | 198.00 | 321.1 | 498.00 | 721.20 |
| 2023-07-23 | 112.0 | 26.00 | 32.00 | 44.0 | 67.00 | 187.00 | 301.0 | 415.05 | 581.08 |
| 2023-07-30 | 104.0 | 23.00 | 30.00 | 39.0 | 62.00 | 167.25 | 286.2 | 413.15 | 587.23 |
| 2023-08-06 | 92.0 | 21.00 | 27.00 | 36.0 | 55.00 | 158.00 | 268.0 | 374.00 | 550.15 |
| 2023-08-13 | 78.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 47.00 | 132.00 | 237.0 | 345.05 | 505.18 |
| 2023-08-20 | 67.0 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 25.9 | 41.00 | 114.25 | 191.0 | 285.20 | 408.12 |
| 2023-08-27 | 57.0 | 12.97 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 35.00 | 96.00 | 165.0 | 249.00 | 368.10 |
| 2023-09-03 | 48.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 28.00 | 83.00 | 145.0 | 211.05 | 318.02 |
| 2023-09-10 | 39.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 25.00 | 68.00 | 125.1 | 187.10 | 267.02 |
| 2023-09-17 | 33.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 20.00 | 58.00 | 100.0 | 142.00 | 233.07 |
| 2023-09-24 | 29.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 17.00 | 47.25 | 87.0 | 121.10 | 189.03 |
| 2023-10-01 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 41.00 | 73.0 | 114.05 | 168.05 |
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