Prediction 2490
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 1 for PR
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 143.0 | 16.00 | 24.00 | 35.0 | 68.00 | 326.50 | 719.1 | 1365.60 | 2620.68 |
| 2022-10-16 | 165.0 | 19.98 | 26.00 | 40.0 | 77.75 | 373.25 | 829.4 | 1519.15 | 2908.55 |
| 2022-10-23 | 184.0 | 18.00 | 29.00 | 42.0 | 85.00 | 429.25 | 870.1 | 1525.30 | 2972.50 |
| 2022-10-30 | 211.5 | 23.00 | 33.00 | 52.0 | 96.00 | 470.00 | 1053.1 | 1909.00 | 3302.97 |
| 2022-11-06 | 238.0 | 28.00 | 39.00 | 52.0 | 106.00 | 530.25 | 1246.3 | 2289.05 | 4232.80 |
| 2022-11-13 | 260.5 | 25.00 | 37.00 | 55.0 | 115.00 | 552.25 | 1359.2 | 2263.60 | 3885.10 |
| 2022-11-20 | 281.0 | 29.00 | 41.95 | 64.0 | 130.00 | 647.00 | 1488.3 | 2603.50 | 4487.07 |
| 2022-11-27 | 321.0 | 38.98 | 51.95 | 74.0 | 154.75 | 724.50 | 1684.0 | 2871.40 | 4616.82 |
| 2022-12-04 | 339.0 | 39.95 | 57.00 | 83.0 | 166.00 | 805.75 | 1854.6 | 3047.35 | 4419.70 |
| 2022-12-11 | 382.0 | 41.98 | 56.00 | 92.0 | 179.00 | 833.00 | 1909.3 | 3412.20 | 5641.68 |
| 2022-12-18 | 410.0 | 52.98 | 73.95 | 107.0 | 205.75 | 898.75 | 2037.2 | 3540.05 | 6512.82 |
| 2022-12-25 | 487.5 | 55.98 | 77.95 | 118.9 | 222.00 | 1019.25 | 2184.2 | 3759.85 | 6229.23 |
| 2023-01-01 | 541.0 | 65.97 | 93.00 | 142.0 | 262.75 | 1259.25 | 2915.0 | 5036.05 | 9057.42 |
| 2023-01-08 | 677.5 | 78.00 | 116.00 | 177.0 | 328.00 | 1498.75 | 3549.1 | 5964.05 | 10622.15 |
| 2023-01-15 | 780.0 | 90.97 | 126.00 | 198.8 | 383.00 | 1693.50 | 4146.1 | 6992.30 | 10638.73 |
| 2023-01-22 | 958.0 | 102.95 | 159.95 | 246.8 | 456.50 | 2115.50 | 4589.8 | 8890.10 | 14420.65 |
| 2023-01-29 | 1094.5 | 139.00 | 187.00 | 278.9 | 538.75 | 2539.50 | 6380.2 | 12058.10 | 19132.33 |
| 2023-02-05 | 1313.0 | 159.95 | 222.00 | 332.0 | 656.00 | 2811.50 | 6596.7 | 12831.85 | 21522.67 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1542.0 | 165.00 | 252.00 | 400.9 | 764.75 | 3396.25 | 7811.3 | 14316.15 | 25806.67 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1807.5 | 202.00 | 286.90 | 451.8 | 837.00 | 4019.25 | 9384.7 | 14878.30 | 23531.17 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1977.5 | 214.97 | 323.75 | 470.9 | 947.50 | 4415.75 | 10149.3 | 17698.35 | 28091.97 |
| 2023-03-05 | 2246.5 | 280.95 | 371.95 | 552.0 | 1067.75 | 5052.00 | 10654.3 | 18556.25 | 37697.55 |
| 2023-03-12 | 2379.5 | 294.00 | 392.95 | 586.0 | 1167.75 | 5017.75 | 10996.9 | 20547.10 | 36005.55 |
| 2023-03-19 | 2543.0 | 302.98 | 412.00 | 608.8 | 1191.50 | 5512.75 | 12606.5 | 21384.65 | 34407.62 |
| 2023-03-26 | 2624.0 | 256.90 | 420.75 | 642.8 | 1283.75 | 5757.00 | 12799.4 | 22757.80 | 39518.82 |
| 2023-04-02 | 2754.5 | 317.95 | 461.95 | 676.8 | 1314.25 | 6046.75 | 13687.0 | 22918.35 | 35603.95 |
| 2023-04-09 | 2667.0 | 335.90 | 452.00 | 643.8 | 1254.50 | 5707.00 | 12209.1 | 22029.85 | 38685.77 |
| 2023-04-16 | 2497.5 | 304.88 | 425.95 | 609.0 | 1145.75 | 5245.25 | 12720.5 | 22838.55 | 38863.02 |
| 2023-04-23 | 2314.0 | 275.90 | 372.70 | 562.9 | 1057.75 | 5020.25 | 11661.1 | 18874.30 | 32165.10 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1946.5 | 232.97 | 340.90 | 501.6 | 919.75 | 4492.50 | 9813.9 | 16632.05 | 29883.05 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1714.0 | 202.88 | 282.95 | 420.7 | 779.00 | 3606.50 | 8323.2 | 14714.60 | 24590.80 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1345.5 | 151.00 | 238.95 | 352.0 | 615.00 | 3124.50 | 7523.3 | 13479.45 | 19928.65 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1054.5 | 127.95 | 180.95 | 254.8 | 474.00 | 2301.25 | 5177.3 | 9561.80 | 14149.45 |
| 2023-05-28 | 820.0 | 101.00 | 145.95 | 206.0 | 388.00 | 1768.25 | 4320.4 | 6811.25 | 10313.40 |
| 2023-06-04 | 624.0 | 74.97 | 104.00 | 156.0 | 298.00 | 1400.50 | 3171.0 | 5366.00 | 8535.08 |
| 2023-06-11 | 465.5 | 54.00 | 78.95 | 118.0 | 221.00 | 1067.00 | 2316.8 | 3562.40 | 6080.27 |
| 2023-06-18 | 348.5 | 42.98 | 61.00 | 93.0 | 173.00 | 799.25 | 1790.9 | 3212.90 | 5615.10 |
| 2023-06-25 | 290.0 | 32.00 | 48.00 | 70.0 | 136.00 | 633.25 | 1481.4 | 2596.45 | 4226.35 |
| 2023-07-02 | 233.5 | 27.00 | 38.00 | 55.0 | 112.00 | 498.25 | 1114.5 | 1830.70 | 3029.43 |
| 2023-07-09 | 175.0 | 19.98 | 29.00 | 42.0 | 82.00 | 406.25 | 816.0 | 1371.10 | 2301.60 |
| 2023-07-16 | 140.5 | 17.00 | 25.00 | 35.0 | 69.00 | 310.00 | 682.3 | 1161.05 | 1955.25 |
| 2023-07-23 | 123.0 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 29.0 | 59.00 | 263.25 | 588.1 | 1117.25 | 1915.15 |
| 2023-07-30 | 109.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 26.0 | 50.00 | 234.00 | 543.5 | 945.15 | 1494.08 |
| 2023-08-06 | 101.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 24.0 | 46.00 | 224.00 | 505.2 | 807.45 | 1566.35 |
| 2023-08-13 | 94.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 43.00 | 208.25 | 476.2 | 896.70 | 1499.90 |
| 2023-08-20 | 91.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 43.00 | 206.00 | 467.1 | 823.00 | 1352.17 |
| 2023-08-27 | 92.5 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 21.9 | 43.00 | 209.50 | 463.0 | 790.10 | 1464.75 |
| 2023-09-03 | 93.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 22.9 | 44.00 | 221.00 | 489.1 | 891.10 | 1555.35 |
| 2023-09-10 | 103.0 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 24.0 | 49.00 | 236.00 | 553.1 | 1018.10 | 1698.40 |
| 2023-09-17 | 109.5 | 11.97 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 51.00 | 249.00 | 565.0 | 1029.15 | 1643.22 |
| 2023-09-24 | 118.0 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 28.0 | 55.00 | 265.00 | 662.1 | 1051.10 | 1851.95 |
| 2023-10-01 | 129.0 | 14.97 | 21.00 | 31.0 | 64.00 | 288.00 | 646.1 | 1206.10 | 2118.35 |
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