Prediction 2491

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Beat it
Author Leo Bastos
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

Validation test 1 for RJ


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 57.0 3.00 5.00 10.0 23.00 136.25 299.1 467.10 735.27
2022-10-16 64.0 3.00 6.00 10.0 26.00 139.00 332.1 552.05 841.02
2022-10-23 63.5 3.00 6.00 11.0 27.00 161.00 373.0 630.00 966.45
2022-10-30 74.0 4.00 7.00 13.0 30.00 171.00 398.1 641.05 955.90
2022-11-06 83.0 4.00 7.00 12.0 32.00 209.00 435.5 687.10 1165.05
2022-11-13 96.0 5.00 9.00 17.0 39.00 212.25 463.1 784.90 1255.70
2022-11-20 103.0 5.00 9.00 18.0 42.00 237.25 518.0 912.05 1361.05
2022-11-27 117.5 6.00 11.00 19.0 46.00 267.00 615.1 1005.35 1617.35
2022-12-04 122.0 5.00 11.00 20.0 53.00 290.00 703.2 1151.05 1656.70
2022-12-11 140.0 6.00 11.00 24.0 57.75 329.00 747.0 1218.60 2179.45
2022-12-18 148.5 9.00 14.00 24.0 60.00 345.00 764.0 1217.15 2110.03
2022-12-25 168.0 7.97 15.00 26.0 64.00 382.00 835.7 1455.45 2142.85
2023-01-01 184.0 9.00 16.95 30.0 73.00 427.25 979.1 1573.50 2560.62
2023-01-08 208.0 11.00 19.00 33.9 85.00 487.00 1105.1 1747.05 2726.55
2023-01-15 223.0 10.00 19.00 36.0 91.00 503.50 1181.0 1950.05 3019.93
2023-01-22 233.0 12.00 21.00 41.0 101.75 557.25 1269.3 2037.10 3070.45
2023-01-29 256.0 15.00 25.00 41.9 101.00 616.25 1313.6 2112.20 3410.20
2023-02-05 259.5 14.00 23.95 45.9 108.75 603.25 1440.0 2357.05 3601.00
2023-02-12 279.0 14.00 26.95 48.0 117.00 656.00 1388.3 2232.05 3431.03
2023-02-19 297.0 16.00 27.00 51.0 122.75 692.75 1552.8 2554.35 3785.12
2023-02-26 317.0 17.00 30.00 57.0 133.75 742.75 1573.0 2681.05 4526.43
2023-03-05 350.5 20.98 30.00 58.9 140.75 798.00 1754.3 2850.90 4921.85
2023-03-12 383.5 22.98 36.95 65.9 164.75 893.25 1957.5 3317.00 5147.57
2023-03-19 413.5 22.00 43.00 73.0 174.00 974.00 2093.5 3759.10 5969.95
2023-03-26 410.0 21.98 37.00 71.9 166.00 1029.25 2328.0 3740.60 5851.57
2023-04-02 456.0 26.00 45.95 75.0 185.00 1089.75 2371.5 4114.45 6312.38
2023-04-09 462.0 20.98 44.00 80.0 187.00 1143.25 2643.8 4528.50 6833.55
2023-04-16 500.0 23.98 43.95 79.9 204.00 1131.00 2598.1 4505.25 6116.73
2023-04-23 498.0 24.00 41.00 77.9 200.75 1132.00 2441.5 4043.80 6565.85
2023-04-30 466.5 28.00 44.00 83.9 188.00 1136.75 2568.6 4403.55 6850.85
2023-05-07 468.0 25.00 41.95 82.0 195.00 1071.50 2333.3 3852.25 6421.57
2023-05-14 425.0 22.00 40.00 69.0 178.75 1032.00 2154.2 3684.20 5757.07
2023-05-21 368.5 22.00 35.00 63.0 153.00 841.50 1942.9 3187.35 4959.20
2023-05-28 327.5 19.00 31.00 55.9 136.00 784.25 1696.0 2536.45 4256.30
2023-06-04 272.5 14.00 27.00 47.0 114.00 665.50 1480.0 2584.35 3849.70
2023-06-11 235.0 12.00 21.00 37.0 91.00 547.75 1185.0 1927.15 2903.12
2023-06-18 191.5 12.00 18.00 32.0 77.00 460.00 1003.2 1806.55 2495.32
2023-06-25 166.5 8.00 14.00 27.9 64.00 368.25 854.1 1283.05 1951.10
2023-07-02 135.0 7.00 12.95 23.0 51.00 313.00 690.0 1122.15 1846.67
2023-07-09 110.0 5.00 9.00 18.0 44.00 257.25 577.3 995.20 1553.25
2023-07-16 91.0 4.00 8.00 15.0 38.00 213.00 462.1 812.25 1224.33
2023-07-23 81.0 4.00 8.00 13.0 33.00 191.25 445.0 665.05 1124.00
2023-07-30 70.0 3.00 6.00 11.0 29.00 160.25 392.4 659.35 1011.30
2023-08-06 62.0 3.00 6.00 10.0 25.00 143.00 333.1 590.10 887.12
2023-08-13 57.5 2.00 5.00 9.0 24.00 132.00 289.3 521.20 781.20
2023-08-20 49.0 2.00 4.00 8.0 21.00 116.00 262.0 422.25 768.30
2023-08-27 49.0 2.00 4.00 7.0 20.00 116.00 250.2 403.10 629.02
2023-09-03 48.0 2.00 4.00 7.0 19.00 112.00 232.1 382.10 554.02
2023-09-10 46.0 2.00 4.00 7.0 18.75 106.00 245.1 393.05 682.05
2023-09-17 44.0 2.00 4.00 7.0 20.00 108.00 236.5 422.10 640.10
2023-09-24 48.0 2.00 4.00 7.0 19.00 116.25 250.0 398.75 640.33
2023-10-01 52.0 2.00 5.00 9.0 21.00 122.25 281.1 468.10 638.02
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