Prediction 2492
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 1 for RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 120.0 | 15.00 | 21.00 | 31.0 | 60.75 | 238.00 | 451.1 | 737.65 | 1190.25 |
| 2022-10-16 | 108.5 | 13.00 | 19.00 | 29.0 | 56.00 | 212.25 | 431.2 | 636.20 | 946.38 |
| 2022-10-23 | 103.0 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 27.0 | 51.00 | 206.00 | 406.1 | 595.15 | 912.75 |
| 2022-10-30 | 92.0 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 23.0 | 45.00 | 178.00 | 390.0 | 599.60 | 878.05 |
| 2022-11-06 | 92.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 44.75 | 187.00 | 380.0 | 573.00 | 819.02 |
| 2022-11-13 | 90.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 43.00 | 187.00 | 369.1 | 555.05 | 816.17 |
| 2022-11-20 | 84.5 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 21.0 | 44.00 | 170.00 | 362.1 | 591.05 | 867.12 |
| 2022-11-27 | 85.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 21.0 | 41.00 | 179.00 | 350.1 | 540.30 | 887.05 |
| 2022-12-04 | 85.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 20.0 | 39.00 | 175.00 | 356.1 | 544.15 | 847.23 |
| 2022-12-11 | 85.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 21.0 | 42.00 | 186.00 | 347.3 | 568.15 | 878.12 |
| 2022-12-18 | 86.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 20.0 | 42.00 | 179.00 | 356.0 | 567.10 | 774.20 |
| 2022-12-25 | 91.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 45.00 | 198.00 | 390.1 | 647.30 | 966.90 |
| 2023-01-01 | 106.0 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 24.0 | 50.00 | 224.00 | 477.3 | 736.85 | 1123.08 |
| 2023-01-08 | 117.0 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 29.0 | 55.75 | 256.00 | 540.6 | 820.30 | 1292.20 |
| 2023-01-15 | 142.0 | 12.00 | 21.00 | 33.0 | 67.00 | 303.50 | 623.0 | 1003.10 | 1461.58 |
| 2023-01-22 | 179.0 | 17.00 | 25.00 | 41.0 | 83.00 | 357.25 | 763.3 | 1207.20 | 1761.50 |
| 2023-01-29 | 204.0 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 49.0 | 95.00 | 428.00 | 967.2 | 1460.25 | 2303.15 |
| 2023-02-05 | 242.0 | 20.00 | 36.00 | 57.0 | 113.00 | 511.25 | 1100.2 | 1746.50 | 2488.55 |
| 2023-02-12 | 286.0 | 28.98 | 45.95 | 69.0 | 140.00 | 598.50 | 1268.4 | 2161.40 | 3166.10 |
| 2023-02-19 | 335.0 | 33.98 | 50.95 | 79.0 | 154.00 | 686.25 | 1341.4 | 2403.50 | 3543.47 |
| 2023-02-26 | 389.5 | 42.00 | 61.00 | 87.9 | 179.00 | 758.25 | 1495.0 | 2536.55 | 3831.03 |
| 2023-03-05 | 383.5 | 41.95 | 61.00 | 100.0 | 188.75 | 793.25 | 1610.4 | 2425.40 | 4280.07 |
| 2023-03-12 | 405.5 | 45.98 | 66.95 | 104.0 | 197.00 | 816.25 | 1635.5 | 2587.10 | 4228.57 |
| 2023-03-19 | 421.0 | 44.98 | 68.00 | 109.9 | 213.00 | 864.25 | 1729.3 | 2639.00 | 4316.07 |
| 2023-03-26 | 443.0 | 44.00 | 72.00 | 109.0 | 209.00 | 909.50 | 1846.1 | 2843.05 | 4569.32 |
| 2023-04-02 | 450.0 | 46.98 | 77.95 | 113.0 | 218.00 | 926.00 | 1821.5 | 2703.30 | 4219.07 |
| 2023-04-09 | 470.0 | 47.00 | 75.95 | 126.0 | 243.75 | 948.00 | 1872.5 | 3070.30 | 5476.02 |
| 2023-04-16 | 495.0 | 55.98 | 82.00 | 122.9 | 250.75 | 1065.00 | 2159.2 | 3520.15 | 5160.55 |
| 2023-04-23 | 535.0 | 59.98 | 89.95 | 139.9 | 267.75 | 1072.75 | 2245.4 | 3403.75 | 5258.27 |
| 2023-04-30 | 570.0 | 63.00 | 89.95 | 139.0 | 270.00 | 1165.25 | 2362.9 | 3927.60 | 5725.75 |
| 2023-05-07 | 556.5 | 63.95 | 94.00 | 144.9 | 274.00 | 1128.00 | 2494.6 | 3832.20 | 5814.23 |
| 2023-05-14 | 590.0 | 66.00 | 89.95 | 142.0 | 288.75 | 1151.75 | 2211.1 | 3779.95 | 5570.02 |
| 2023-05-21 | 584.5 | 67.97 | 101.00 | 148.0 | 284.00 | 1197.00 | 2425.1 | 3865.80 | 5801.75 |
| 2023-05-28 | 574.5 | 64.00 | 101.00 | 149.9 | 291.00 | 1130.75 | 2241.6 | 3738.30 | 6156.52 |
| 2023-06-04 | 565.5 | 62.00 | 86.00 | 134.0 | 264.00 | 1164.25 | 2117.1 | 3296.30 | 4704.85 |
| 2023-06-11 | 523.5 | 55.98 | 85.00 | 136.0 | 262.75 | 1025.25 | 2094.8 | 3291.75 | 4825.80 |
| 2023-06-18 | 472.0 | 58.95 | 87.95 | 125.0 | 232.00 | 989.25 | 2016.4 | 3037.20 | 4662.02 |
| 2023-06-25 | 433.5 | 53.00 | 76.95 | 113.9 | 215.00 | 858.00 | 1722.8 | 2800.55 | 4166.85 |
| 2023-07-02 | 392.0 | 44.98 | 65.00 | 99.0 | 200.00 | 793.25 | 1485.0 | 2337.05 | 3254.62 |
| 2023-07-09 | 366.5 | 44.98 | 65.95 | 97.0 | 190.00 | 732.00 | 1367.3 | 2266.60 | 3582.15 |
| 2023-07-16 | 349.5 | 41.98 | 67.95 | 93.9 | 185.00 | 697.50 | 1358.2 | 2050.75 | 2944.15 |
| 2023-07-23 | 323.0 | 36.00 | 57.00 | 86.9 | 165.00 | 612.75 | 1180.3 | 1777.65 | 2893.05 |
| 2023-07-30 | 291.0 | 37.00 | 59.00 | 83.0 | 153.75 | 596.25 | 1159.3 | 1656.15 | 2248.30 |
| 2023-08-06 | 274.0 | 35.98 | 53.00 | 73.0 | 136.00 | 557.75 | 1105.0 | 1710.60 | 2392.28 |
| 2023-08-13 | 252.0 | 33.00 | 47.00 | 68.0 | 127.75 | 493.25 | 1005.1 | 1492.65 | 2279.80 |
| 2023-08-20 | 227.0 | 24.98 | 38.00 | 59.0 | 112.00 | 452.00 | 909.3 | 1384.15 | 2198.35 |
| 2023-08-27 | 210.0 | 24.00 | 35.00 | 51.0 | 105.75 | 404.25 | 815.1 | 1205.25 | 1776.60 |
| 2023-09-03 | 185.0 | 24.00 | 33.00 | 54.0 | 95.00 | 360.00 | 727.9 | 1123.80 | 1798.20 |
| 2023-09-10 | 171.0 | 19.98 | 28.95 | 45.0 | 86.00 | 340.50 | 658.2 | 1043.50 | 1572.92 |
| 2023-09-17 | 159.0 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 38.9 | 77.75 | 317.25 | 622.1 | 937.20 | 1398.75 |
| 2023-09-24 | 144.0 | 16.00 | 25.00 | 39.0 | 75.00 | 298.00 | 571.2 | 854.05 | 1319.10 |
| 2023-10-01 | 132.0 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 34.0 | 68.00 | 253.00 | 532.1 | 858.00 | 1243.28 |
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