Prediction 2495
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 1 for RS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 14.00 | 37.1 | 67.00 | 117.08 |
| 2022-10-16 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 14.00 | 34.0 | 65.15 | 122.03 |
| 2022-10-23 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 15.00 | 35.0 | 74.05 | 128.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 39.1 | 84.00 | 142.00 |
| 2022-11-06 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 17.00 | 44.0 | 86.00 | 154.15 |
| 2022-11-13 | 8.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 51.1 | 90.05 | 151.10 |
| 2022-11-20 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 22.00 | 54.1 | 104.05 | 212.00 |
| 2022-11-27 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 26.00 | 63.0 | 132.05 | 272.12 |
| 2022-12-04 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 29.00 | 78.0 | 151.15 | 336.00 |
| 2022-12-11 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 33.00 | 80.1 | 153.05 | 287.10 |
| 2022-12-18 | 16.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 35.25 | 83.0 | 163.05 | 327.05 |
| 2022-12-25 | 18.0 | 1.98 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 42.25 | 105.0 | 215.20 | 416.20 |
| 2023-01-01 | 20.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 46.25 | 103.0 | 213.25 | 371.05 |
| 2023-01-08 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 52.00 | 125.0 | 223.15 | 521.08 |
| 2023-01-15 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 60.00 | 152.1 | 280.20 | 595.15 |
| 2023-01-22 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 65.00 | 164.3 | 284.15 | 600.23 |
| 2023-01-29 | 35.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 16.00 | 81.00 | 189.0 | 361.25 | 658.80 |
| 2023-02-05 | 46.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 21.00 | 103.00 | 277.1 | 507.05 | 1101.08 |
| 2023-02-12 | 62.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 28.00 | 139.00 | 367.0 | 666.10 | 1418.05 |
| 2023-02-19 | 80.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 35.00 | 184.00 | 441.2 | 869.00 | 1471.47 |
| 2023-02-26 | 116.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 28.0 | 53.00 | 268.25 | 619.2 | 1318.45 | 2547.28 |
| 2023-03-05 | 149.0 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 33.0 | 66.00 | 350.00 | 869.0 | 1636.05 | 3322.80 |
| 2023-03-12 | 191.0 | 19.00 | 28.00 | 43.0 | 89.00 | 464.00 | 1148.2 | 2091.65 | 4588.50 |
| 2023-03-19 | 224.0 | 26.00 | 36.00 | 54.9 | 102.00 | 570.00 | 1367.5 | 2563.00 | 5004.10 |
| 2023-03-26 | 291.0 | 27.98 | 41.00 | 63.0 | 129.00 | 683.50 | 1701.1 | 3076.55 | 6536.15 |
| 2023-04-02 | 313.0 | 35.00 | 52.00 | 73.0 | 139.75 | 723.25 | 1835.6 | 3117.05 | 5635.48 |
| 2023-04-09 | 314.5 | 34.00 | 48.00 | 70.0 | 145.00 | 756.75 | 1833.8 | 3404.80 | 7258.60 |
| 2023-04-16 | 317.0 | 41.00 | 53.00 | 75.0 | 142.00 | 739.50 | 1989.3 | 4174.20 | 9062.23 |
| 2023-04-23 | 286.0 | 32.00 | 45.95 | 64.0 | 130.00 | 694.25 | 1656.8 | 3594.25 | 7389.65 |
| 2023-04-30 | 237.0 | 27.98 | 38.00 | 58.0 | 111.00 | 580.50 | 1390.9 | 2965.00 | 6160.02 |
| 2023-05-07 | 180.0 | 21.98 | 31.00 | 42.0 | 84.00 | 446.25 | 1187.1 | 2467.20 | 4745.32 |
| 2023-05-14 | 129.0 | 15.00 | 20.00 | 30.0 | 59.00 | 323.00 | 797.1 | 1736.35 | 4081.00 |
| 2023-05-21 | 89.0 | 9.00 | 13.95 | 20.0 | 40.00 | 227.25 | 621.1 | 1232.05 | 2403.68 |
| 2023-05-28 | 61.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 27.00 | 144.25 | 387.0 | 808.65 | 1942.08 |
| 2023-06-04 | 41.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 19.00 | 105.00 | 285.1 | 552.45 | 1207.12 |
| 2023-06-11 | 30.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 73.00 | 223.3 | 433.10 | 805.30 |
| 2023-06-18 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 57.00 | 148.0 | 345.60 | 688.27 |
| 2023-06-25 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 44.00 | 115.1 | 245.10 | 558.12 |
| 2023-07-02 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 34.00 | 80.0 | 180.00 | 369.12 |
| 2023-07-09 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 25.00 | 64.1 | 136.20 | 276.07 |
| 2023-07-16 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 55.1 | 120.10 | 237.07 |
| 2023-07-23 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 19.00 | 49.0 | 112.10 | 211.18 |
| 2023-07-30 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 44.0 | 97.00 | 178.20 |
| 2023-08-06 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 14.00 | 35.0 | 73.10 | 153.15 |
| 2023-08-13 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 13.00 | 34.0 | 63.15 | 113.03 |
| 2023-08-20 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 13.00 | 32.0 | 62.00 | 123.08 |
| 2023-08-27 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 13.00 | 31.0 | 55.00 | 119.03 |
| 2023-09-03 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 13.00 | 33.0 | 62.10 | 126.03 |
| 2023-09-10 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 13.00 | 30.0 | 61.15 | 123.05 |
| 2023-09-17 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 13.00 | 31.1 | 65.00 | 119.03 |
| 2023-09-24 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 14.00 | 35.0 | 70.00 | 116.08 |
| 2023-10-01 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 13.00 | 33.0 | 63.05 | 129.07 |
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