Prediction 2496
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 1 for SC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 49.0 | 96.00 | 166.03 |
| 2022-10-16 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 22.00 | 57.0 | 113.05 | 220.22 |
| 2022-10-23 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 23.00 | 57.1 | 119.10 | 234.00 |
| 2022-10-30 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 27.00 | 66.0 | 129.05 | 265.12 |
| 2022-11-06 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 29.00 | 81.1 | 162.05 | 296.43 |
| 2022-11-13 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 34.00 | 86.0 | 178.15 | 368.00 |
| 2022-11-20 | 17.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 39.00 | 104.0 | 223.00 | 468.27 |
| 2022-11-27 | 19.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 44.25 | 120.1 | 228.00 | 464.05 |
| 2022-12-04 | 21.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 49.00 | 135.2 | 258.00 | 584.33 |
| 2022-12-11 | 25.0 | 2.98 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 54.00 | 140.1 | 270.10 | 526.08 |
| 2022-12-18 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 65.00 | 168.1 | 334.10 | 672.33 |
| 2022-12-25 | 31.0 | 3.98 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 73.00 | 183.1 | 380.35 | 849.00 |
| 2023-01-01 | 34.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 16.00 | 81.25 | 220.0 | 449.30 | 1113.22 |
| 2023-01-08 | 38.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 17.00 | 90.00 | 241.1 | 500.20 | 1043.88 |
| 2023-01-15 | 42.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 20.00 | 99.25 | 263.4 | 598.10 | 1174.45 |
| 2023-01-22 | 48.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 22.00 | 124.00 | 369.3 | 742.00 | 1736.15 |
| 2023-01-29 | 56.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 25.00 | 136.00 | 405.0 | 869.05 | 2212.03 |
| 2023-02-05 | 67.0 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 16.0 | 30.00 | 172.00 | 482.1 | 1109.60 | 1964.33 |
| 2023-02-12 | 80.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 36.00 | 215.00 | 585.0 | 1432.45 | 3400.22 |
| 2023-02-19 | 95.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 44.00 | 263.50 | 854.1 | 2023.20 | 4801.25 |
| 2023-02-26 | 116.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 50.75 | 323.50 | 973.0 | 2212.90 | 5268.18 |
| 2023-03-05 | 147.0 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 31.0 | 62.00 | 394.25 | 1272.1 | 2959.20 | 5962.20 |
| 2023-03-12 | 166.5 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 35.0 | 73.00 | 469.75 | 1520.1 | 3700.25 | 7194.32 |
| 2023-03-19 | 211.0 | 23.00 | 32.00 | 46.0 | 91.00 | 609.00 | 1839.2 | 3845.15 | 8408.45 |
| 2023-03-26 | 239.0 | 25.00 | 37.95 | 56.0 | 108.00 | 669.25 | 2027.1 | 4352.15 | 10798.00 |
| 2023-04-02 | 302.5 | 28.00 | 39.00 | 61.9 | 126.75 | 787.50 | 2241.5 | 5546.00 | 11582.27 |
| 2023-04-09 | 334.0 | 33.00 | 49.00 | 70.0 | 136.75 | 865.00 | 2708.5 | 6955.05 | 14762.23 |
| 2023-04-16 | 339.5 | 36.98 | 50.00 | 77.0 | 149.00 | 1010.50 | 3021.2 | 6393.00 | 15837.90 |
| 2023-04-23 | 330.5 | 39.00 | 53.00 | 74.0 | 144.00 | 930.25 | 2684.9 | 6234.70 | 12753.33 |
| 2023-04-30 | 321.5 | 37.00 | 52.00 | 73.0 | 143.00 | 861.50 | 2651.5 | 5838.85 | 13127.32 |
| 2023-05-07 | 288.0 | 31.00 | 45.00 | 63.0 | 132.75 | 689.00 | 2299.2 | 5856.70 | 13922.65 |
| 2023-05-14 | 240.5 | 26.00 | 35.00 | 51.0 | 101.00 | 642.50 | 2117.1 | 5144.45 | 11735.00 |
| 2023-05-21 | 190.5 | 19.98 | 29.00 | 43.0 | 85.00 | 508.25 | 1623.0 | 3635.60 | 9600.40 |
| 2023-05-28 | 143.0 | 14.97 | 21.95 | 31.0 | 63.00 | 389.25 | 1106.5 | 2687.60 | 6492.88 |
| 2023-06-04 | 107.0 | 11.97 | 17.00 | 25.0 | 47.00 | 284.00 | 881.5 | 2069.00 | 5821.65 |
| 2023-06-11 | 81.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 37.00 | 222.00 | 757.0 | 1721.55 | 3444.47 |
| 2023-06-18 | 64.0 | 7.00 | 9.95 | 14.0 | 28.00 | 166.00 | 514.0 | 1263.10 | 3051.20 |
| 2023-06-25 | 49.5 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 22.00 | 125.00 | 416.1 | 911.40 | 1925.97 |
| 2023-07-02 | 38.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 9.0 | 17.00 | 92.00 | 286.3 | 687.30 | 1283.47 |
| 2023-07-09 | 27.0 | 2.98 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 70.00 | 220.0 | 445.20 | 1051.50 |
| 2023-07-16 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 57.00 | 163.1 | 374.00 | 789.15 |
| 2023-07-23 | 17.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 41.00 | 113.0 | 236.10 | 512.05 |
| 2023-07-30 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 36.00 | 100.1 | 215.00 | 460.00 |
| 2023-08-06 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 30.00 | 84.0 | 152.05 | 343.00 |
| 2023-08-13 | 11.0 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 27.25 | 68.1 | 145.05 | 331.07 |
| 2023-08-20 | 11.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 25.00 | 64.1 | 142.05 | 274.15 |
| 2023-08-27 | 10.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 24.00 | 64.0 | 136.00 | 293.00 |
| 2023-09-03 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 53.0 | 110.00 | 207.10 |
| 2023-09-10 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 53.0 | 103.05 | 202.35 |
| 2023-09-17 | 9.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 51.1 | 106.05 | 212.10 |
| 2023-09-24 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 52.0 | 104.10 | 201.00 |
| 2023-10-01 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 19.00 | 48.1 | 106.10 | 192.10 |
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