Prediction 2499
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 1 for TO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 30.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 16.00 | 56.00 | 114.0 | 167.05 | 243.00 |
| 2022-10-16 | 33.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 17.00 | 62.25 | 121.0 | 172.15 | 242.00 |
| 2022-10-23 | 39.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 20.00 | 71.00 | 134.1 | 195.00 | 267.07 |
| 2022-10-30 | 45.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 24.00 | 82.00 | 164.0 | 228.05 | 343.10 |
| 2022-11-06 | 53.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 27.00 | 98.00 | 173.1 | 287.10 | 415.02 |
| 2022-11-13 | 62.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 32.75 | 114.00 | 206.1 | 301.05 | 447.00 |
| 2022-11-20 | 74.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 40.00 | 137.00 | 250.1 | 371.15 | 566.25 |
| 2022-11-27 | 83.0 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 25.0 | 45.00 | 153.00 | 293.0 | 422.00 | 618.45 |
| 2022-12-04 | 94.0 | 14.97 | 20.00 | 28.9 | 49.00 | 180.00 | 349.1 | 516.10 | 867.05 |
| 2022-12-11 | 109.0 | 15.00 | 22.00 | 32.0 | 57.00 | 205.00 | 381.3 | 568.30 | 786.35 |
| 2022-12-18 | 113.0 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 33.0 | 60.00 | 223.00 | 406.3 | 601.00 | 880.08 |
| 2022-12-25 | 125.0 | 17.00 | 23.95 | 36.0 | 66.75 | 235.25 | 457.0 | 720.20 | 1142.33 |
| 2023-01-01 | 141.0 | 18.00 | 25.00 | 38.0 | 73.00 | 262.00 | 510.3 | 780.10 | 1105.40 |
| 2023-01-08 | 157.0 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 47.0 | 83.00 | 304.00 | 568.2 | 845.05 | 1293.72 |
| 2023-01-15 | 178.0 | 28.98 | 37.00 | 53.0 | 95.00 | 340.25 | 626.1 | 894.05 | 1361.47 |
| 2023-01-22 | 189.0 | 25.98 | 39.00 | 57.0 | 103.00 | 359.00 | 687.0 | 1093.25 | 1718.10 |
| 2023-01-29 | 207.0 | 30.98 | 44.00 | 62.0 | 109.75 | 384.00 | 706.0 | 1079.20 | 1627.35 |
| 2023-02-05 | 219.0 | 33.00 | 47.00 | 68.0 | 119.00 | 402.25 | 754.1 | 1181.30 | 1915.38 |
| 2023-02-12 | 224.0 | 32.98 | 52.00 | 72.0 | 120.75 | 406.25 | 740.1 | 1109.30 | 1564.00 |
| 2023-02-19 | 220.0 | 32.98 | 46.95 | 68.0 | 118.75 | 400.25 | 744.2 | 1084.05 | 1612.38 |
| 2023-02-26 | 229.5 | 33.00 | 51.00 | 73.0 | 123.00 | 424.50 | 780.9 | 1224.05 | 1759.03 |
| 2023-03-05 | 221.0 | 33.00 | 46.00 | 70.0 | 123.75 | 396.25 | 754.2 | 1067.55 | 1730.08 |
| 2023-03-12 | 222.0 | 34.00 | 47.95 | 70.0 | 121.75 | 407.50 | 736.0 | 1045.25 | 1596.22 |
| 2023-03-19 | 221.0 | 33.98 | 47.00 | 66.0 | 119.00 | 418.25 | 764.4 | 1117.05 | 1648.03 |
| 2023-03-26 | 224.0 | 34.00 | 50.00 | 70.0 | 121.00 | 413.50 | 759.0 | 1152.50 | 1615.00 |
| 2023-04-02 | 217.0 | 33.00 | 46.95 | 70.0 | 121.00 | 411.25 | 761.1 | 1153.10 | 1622.22 |
| 2023-04-09 | 211.0 | 34.98 | 48.00 | 65.0 | 115.00 | 398.00 | 741.1 | 1127.10 | 1607.00 |
| 2023-04-16 | 207.0 | 33.00 | 45.95 | 65.0 | 115.00 | 385.25 | 714.1 | 1083.05 | 1596.28 |
| 2023-04-23 | 207.0 | 31.00 | 43.00 | 64.9 | 110.00 | 394.25 | 702.1 | 987.20 | 1482.05 |
| 2023-04-30 | 196.0 | 29.00 | 41.00 | 60.0 | 107.00 | 358.00 | 662.1 | 978.70 | 1405.47 |
| 2023-05-07 | 178.5 | 27.98 | 38.00 | 57.0 | 99.00 | 335.00 | 606.2 | 875.55 | 1247.80 |
| 2023-05-14 | 161.0 | 25.98 | 35.00 | 50.0 | 85.00 | 298.00 | 544.5 | 765.70 | 1142.10 |
| 2023-05-21 | 142.0 | 24.00 | 32.95 | 44.0 | 78.00 | 260.00 | 463.0 | 672.10 | 1074.05 |
| 2023-05-28 | 127.0 | 18.00 | 26.95 | 38.0 | 65.75 | 226.00 | 411.2 | 627.30 | 870.60 |
| 2023-06-04 | 106.0 | 16.00 | 23.95 | 31.0 | 58.00 | 198.00 | 353.1 | 543.10 | 756.35 |
| 2023-06-11 | 88.0 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 48.00 | 169.00 | 314.0 | 432.00 | 662.02 |
| 2023-06-18 | 77.5 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 41.00 | 147.00 | 292.0 | 397.05 | 612.15 |
| 2023-06-25 | 67.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 20.0 | 35.00 | 131.00 | 244.1 | 374.15 | 590.10 |
| 2023-07-02 | 59.0 | 8.97 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 31.00 | 109.00 | 200.0 | 309.10 | 439.27 |
| 2023-07-09 | 51.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 28.00 | 93.00 | 179.1 | 281.05 | 460.10 |
| 2023-07-16 | 45.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 24.00 | 90.25 | 175.2 | 247.05 | 380.55 |
| 2023-07-23 | 42.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 22.00 | 84.00 | 149.1 | 238.20 | 342.15 |
| 2023-07-30 | 39.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 20.00 | 75.00 | 138.0 | 200.20 | 300.05 |
| 2023-08-06 | 36.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 19.00 | 68.00 | 131.1 | 193.05 | 294.05 |
| 2023-08-13 | 35.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 17.00 | 63.00 | 113.1 | 186.05 | 279.00 |
| 2023-08-20 | 31.0 | 4.00 | 5.95 | 9.0 | 17.00 | 59.00 | 116.1 | 179.00 | 246.07 |
| 2023-08-27 | 29.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 59.00 | 106.0 | 157.05 | 227.10 |
| 2023-09-03 | 29.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 16.00 | 55.00 | 104.0 | 162.05 | 248.12 |
| 2023-09-10 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 54.00 | 99.1 | 145.05 | 232.18 |
| 2023-09-17 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 54.00 | 105.0 | 154.00 | 240.12 |
| 2023-09-24 | 27.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 53.00 | 101.0 | 143.00 | 237.28 |
| 2023-10-01 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 52.00 | 101.1 | 151.00 | 228.00 |
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