Prediction 25
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2304400 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2304400 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 311.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 926.34 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 989.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2139.73 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 1550.55 | - | 104.71 | - | - | - | - | 2996.39 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 368.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2020.11 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 286.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1977.92 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 1038.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3065.60 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 689.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2314.80 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 188.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1767.31 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 161.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1571.23 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 200.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1336.93 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 215.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1515.07 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 518.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1791.76 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 742.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1816.23 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 801.27 | - | 483.23 | - | - | - | - | 1119.31 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 860.50 | - | 641.09 | - | - | - | - | 1079.91 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 1214.08 | - | 889.11 | - | - | - | - | 1539.05 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 1763.05 | - | 1279.29 | - | - | - | - | 2246.81 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 2949.52 | - | 2573.37 | - | - | - | - | 3325.67 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 3143.55 | - | 2692.60 | - | - | - | - | 3594.50 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 2889.48 | - | 2380.04 | - | - | - | - | 3398.92 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 2864.94 | - | 2195.85 | - | - | - | - | 3534.03 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 1931.35 | - | 1053.01 | - | - | - | - | 2809.69 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 2258.86 | - | 978.17 | - | - | - | - | 3539.55 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 2145.76 | - | 642.40 | - | - | - | - | 3649.12 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 1982.78 | - | 258.82 | - | - | - | - | 3706.74 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 1012.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3956.86 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 1537.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 4937.58 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 1514.05 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 5244.04 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 916.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 4288.54 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 836.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 4212.16 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 865.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3667.94 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 473.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2280.36 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 524.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2384.78 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 571.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2170.47 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 668.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2069.73 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 1361.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3369.30 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 776.33 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2597.35 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 325.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2030.08 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 350.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2111.61 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 248.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1125.55 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 252.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 868.76 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 283.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1000.80 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 229.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 611.47 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 297.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 672.60 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 289.44 | - | 83.19 | - | - | - | - | 495.69 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 113.48 | - | 40.55 | - | - | - | - | 186.41 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 114.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 437.73 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 113.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 417.79 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 108.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 500.60 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 139.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 838.51 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 422.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1223.09 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 198.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1125.86 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 197.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 955.03 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 167.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1045.46 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 131.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 811.37 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 146.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 885.34 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 178.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1169.53 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 456.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1185.66 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 306.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1203.72 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 521.72 | - | 148.46 | - | - | - | - | 894.98 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 617.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1295.52 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 450.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 970.78 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 575.39 | - | 127.50 | - | - | - | - | 1023.28 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 560.62 | - | 176.19 | - | - | - | - | 945.05 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 1467.71 | - | 933.04 | - | - | - | - | 2002.38 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 1864.86 | - | 936.55 | - | - | - | - | 2793.17 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 2007.72 | - | 1132.79 | - | - | - | - | 2882.65 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 1731.54 | - | 949.73 | - | - | - | - | 2513.35 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 1242.66 | - | 22.51 | - | - | - | - | 2462.81 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 731.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2186.76 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 531.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2298.44 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 583.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2370.02 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 448.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2061.46 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 382.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2029.39 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 639.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2146.69 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 441.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1738.59 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 448.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1786.65 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 395.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1357.22 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 414.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1414.99 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
