Prediction 2502
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 2 for AM
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 59.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 35.00 | 96.00 | 158.0 | 232.05 | 303.02 |
| 2023-10-15 | 58.0 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 36.00 | 102.00 | 168.1 | 247.10 | 345.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 58.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 23.9 | 37.00 | 101.00 | 160.0 | 222.10 | 326.02 |
| 2023-10-29 | 60.0 | 13.00 | 16.95 | 22.9 | 36.00 | 100.25 | 170.0 | 245.25 | 321.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 63.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 24.0 | 38.00 | 107.00 | 168.0 | 237.10 | 346.00 |
| 2023-11-12 | 67.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 26.0 | 41.00 | 112.00 | 178.1 | 243.00 | 324.02 |
| 2023-11-19 | 69.0 | 15.00 | 21.00 | 27.0 | 42.00 | 117.00 | 183.0 | 243.05 | 359.10 |
| 2023-11-26 | 71.0 | 17.00 | 21.00 | 28.0 | 43.00 | 115.00 | 191.0 | 269.10 | 389.02 |
| 2023-12-03 | 75.0 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 30.0 | 46.00 | 121.00 | 205.0 | 280.00 | 413.07 |
| 2023-12-10 | 79.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 29.0 | 47.00 | 130.00 | 198.2 | 283.15 | 412.02 |
| 2023-12-17 | 81.0 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 32.0 | 50.00 | 136.00 | 216.0 | 292.00 | 404.00 |
| 2023-12-24 | 89.0 | 20.98 | 27.00 | 35.0 | 54.00 | 146.25 | 233.2 | 318.10 | 445.00 |
| 2023-12-31 | 94.0 | 24.98 | 30.00 | 39.0 | 59.00 | 154.00 | 256.1 | 337.10 | 509.40 |
| 2024-01-07 | 103.0 | 28.00 | 34.00 | 42.9 | 66.00 | 167.00 | 276.1 | 369.15 | 500.18 |
| 2024-01-14 | 115.5 | 28.98 | 36.00 | 46.0 | 71.00 | 184.00 | 293.1 | 395.05 | 550.00 |
| 2024-01-21 | 124.0 | 33.00 | 40.00 | 53.0 | 78.75 | 198.00 | 311.2 | 444.00 | 614.08 |
| 2024-01-28 | 130.0 | 36.00 | 43.00 | 56.0 | 83.00 | 208.00 | 327.1 | 443.20 | 582.12 |
| 2024-02-04 | 139.0 | 35.00 | 44.00 | 59.0 | 89.00 | 221.00 | 356.0 | 472.05 | 665.15 |
| 2024-02-11 | 144.0 | 36.00 | 45.00 | 57.0 | 91.00 | 234.00 | 365.1 | 486.20 | 645.10 |
| 2024-02-18 | 146.0 | 38.98 | 46.00 | 62.0 | 94.00 | 240.00 | 379.0 | 526.10 | 742.27 |
| 2024-02-25 | 145.5 | 38.00 | 48.00 | 62.0 | 92.00 | 238.00 | 360.1 | 513.00 | 677.02 |
| 2024-03-03 | 142.0 | 40.00 | 49.95 | 62.0 | 91.00 | 227.25 | 366.1 | 473.20 | 628.08 |
| 2024-03-10 | 144.5 | 38.00 | 47.00 | 61.9 | 93.00 | 235.00 | 372.0 | 475.00 | 628.35 |
| 2024-03-17 | 142.0 | 34.98 | 44.00 | 57.0 | 88.75 | 231.00 | 374.0 | 475.05 | 645.17 |
| 2024-03-24 | 139.0 | 35.00 | 44.00 | 58.0 | 87.75 | 224.00 | 355.1 | 487.05 | 638.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 133.0 | 34.00 | 41.00 | 53.0 | 84.00 | 208.00 | 336.1 | 449.15 | 611.02 |
| 2024-04-07 | 126.0 | 30.00 | 41.00 | 52.0 | 80.00 | 203.00 | 339.1 | 442.05 | 604.02 |
| 2024-04-14 | 117.0 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 50.0 | 74.00 | 190.00 | 302.1 | 398.05 | 540.08 |
| 2024-04-21 | 111.0 | 25.00 | 34.95 | 46.0 | 71.00 | 180.00 | 284.1 | 378.00 | 517.05 |
| 2024-04-28 | 102.0 | 24.98 | 30.00 | 41.0 | 64.00 | 169.00 | 262.0 | 359.15 | 471.20 |
| 2024-05-05 | 98.0 | 22.00 | 29.00 | 39.9 | 61.00 | 159.00 | 243.1 | 326.05 | 419.02 |
| 2024-05-12 | 89.5 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 34.0 | 54.00 | 147.00 | 227.3 | 328.00 | 427.02 |
| 2024-05-19 | 82.0 | 19.00 | 24.00 | 33.0 | 51.00 | 133.00 | 213.1 | 283.05 | 374.12 |
| 2024-05-26 | 75.0 | 17.00 | 23.00 | 30.0 | 46.00 | 121.25 | 198.1 | 262.10 | 332.02 |
| 2024-06-02 | 71.0 | 15.97 | 21.00 | 29.0 | 44.00 | 117.00 | 188.0 | 263.00 | 329.23 |
| 2024-06-09 | 66.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 26.9 | 41.00 | 109.00 | 176.1 | 248.00 | 331.23 |
| 2024-06-16 | 62.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 24.9 | 38.00 | 103.25 | 165.0 | 225.00 | 301.02 |
| 2024-06-23 | 58.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 23.0 | 37.00 | 93.00 | 157.0 | 209.05 | 263.02 |
| 2024-06-30 | 55.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 34.00 | 89.00 | 146.1 | 200.15 | 282.02 |
| 2024-07-07 | 51.5 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 32.00 | 84.00 | 139.1 | 194.15 | 260.07 |
| 2024-07-14 | 50.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 30.00 | 81.00 | 127.0 | 176.05 | 231.05 |
| 2024-07-21 | 50.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 18.0 | 28.75 | 81.00 | 128.0 | 167.05 | 230.03 |
| 2024-07-28 | 46.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 27.00 | 74.00 | 122.1 | 169.00 | 233.00 |
| 2024-08-04 | 45.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 27.00 | 74.00 | 117.0 | 167.00 | 236.03 |
| 2024-08-11 | 46.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 75.00 | 124.0 | 166.05 | 223.03 |
| 2024-08-18 | 45.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 28.00 | 77.00 | 124.0 | 164.00 | 235.10 |
| 2024-08-25 | 47.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 29.00 | 77.00 | 127.1 | 177.00 | 231.03 |
| 2024-09-01 | 49.0 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 29.00 | 79.00 | 133.0 | 183.05 | 246.03 |
| 2024-09-08 | 49.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 30.00 | 85.00 | 141.1 | 208.00 | 292.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 53.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 32.00 | 89.00 | 147.0 | 206.00 | 298.20 |
| 2024-09-22 | 56.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 32.00 | 96.00 | 154.1 | 218.05 | 301.35 |
| 2024-09-29 | 56.0 | 13.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 96.00 | 159.0 | 218.15 | 309.05 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
