Prediction 2503
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Validation test 2 for AP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 12.00 | 24.0 | 37.00 | 55.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 12.00 | 22.0 | 36.00 | 54.08 |
| 2023-10-22 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 23.0 | 33.00 | 55.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 21.0 | 34.00 | 48.02 |
| 2023-11-05 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 19.0 | 30.00 | 46.00 |
| 2023-11-12 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 18.0 | 27.00 | 41.02 |
| 2023-11-19 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 26.05 | 39.00 |
| 2023-11-26 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 25.00 | 43.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 25.05 | 35.02 |
| 2023-12-10 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 17.0 | 25.00 | 37.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 9.00 | 19.0 | 29.00 | 49.02 |
| 2023-12-24 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 21.0 | 33.00 | 53.02 |
| 2023-12-31 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 14.00 | 27.0 | 39.00 | 62.00 |
| 2024-01-07 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 32.0 | 48.00 | 70.05 |
| 2024-01-14 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 20.00 | 37.0 | 54.05 | 91.00 |
| 2024-01-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 44.0 | 70.00 | 104.00 |
| 2024-01-28 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 24.00 | 48.0 | 74.00 | 111.03 |
| 2024-02-04 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 26.00 | 52.0 | 77.00 | 111.15 |
| 2024-02-11 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 27.00 | 53.0 | 79.05 | 131.03 |
| 2024-02-18 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 27.00 | 54.0 | 89.05 | 138.00 |
| 2024-02-25 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 28.00 | 57.0 | 87.05 | 126.00 |
| 2024-03-03 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 30.00 | 61.0 | 90.15 | 138.03 |
| 2024-03-10 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 28.00 | 56.1 | 92.05 | 138.05 |
| 2024-03-17 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 28.00 | 55.0 | 82.05 | 127.08 |
| 2024-03-24 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 25.00 | 53.0 | 87.00 | 134.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 25.00 | 48.1 | 83.10 | 121.00 |
| 2024-04-07 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 24.25 | 49.0 | 75.00 | 111.00 |
| 2024-04-14 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 22.00 | 49.0 | 78.00 | 115.03 |
| 2024-04-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.00 | 42.0 | 62.05 | 96.00 |
| 2024-04-28 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 19.00 | 37.0 | 62.00 | 94.05 |
| 2024-05-05 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.75 | 18.00 | 38.0 | 56.00 | 84.03 |
| 2024-05-12 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 17.00 | 35.0 | 53.05 | 82.00 |
| 2024-05-19 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 15.00 | 32.1 | 49.00 | 69.03 |
| 2024-05-26 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 14.00 | 28.0 | 43.00 | 63.00 |
| 2024-06-02 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 13.00 | 28.0 | 42.00 | 56.00 |
| 2024-06-09 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 12.00 | 23.0 | 37.00 | 58.00 |
| 2024-06-16 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 49.05 |
| 2024-06-23 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 19.1 | 29.05 | 44.00 |
| 2024-06-30 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 19.0 | 29.00 | 43.02 |
| 2024-07-07 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 19.0 | 29.00 | 42.00 |
| 2024-07-14 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 19.0 | 29.00 | 46.00 |
| 2024-07-21 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 17.0 | 26.05 | 44.05 |
| 2024-07-28 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 18.0 | 26.00 | 43.00 |
| 2024-08-04 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 20.1 | 32.05 | 46.00 |
| 2024-08-11 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 19.0 | 30.00 | 47.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 21.0 | 31.00 | 47.00 |
| 2024-08-25 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 22.0 | 33.05 | 47.00 |
| 2024-09-01 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 49.00 |
| 2024-09-08 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 12.00 | 23.0 | 37.00 | 55.02 |
| 2024-09-15 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 11.00 | 23.0 | 36.00 | 58.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 12.00 | 25.0 | 37.05 | 61.02 |
| 2024-09-29 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 12.00 | 24.0 | 38.00 | 56.02 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
