Prediction 2504
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation test 2 for BA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 269.0 | 79.00 | 93.95 | 116.0 | 172.00 | 444.00 | 708.0 | 1078.05 | 1447.40 |
| 2023-10-15 | 261.0 | 81.00 | 93.00 | 116.0 | 169.00 | 415.25 | 713.3 | 1050.20 | 1521.92 |
| 2023-10-22 | 262.0 | 80.00 | 95.00 | 119.0 | 173.00 | 422.25 | 707.0 | 1011.25 | 1477.42 |
| 2023-10-29 | 267.0 | 82.00 | 98.95 | 122.0 | 174.00 | 424.25 | 727.0 | 1096.05 | 1599.03 |
| 2023-11-05 | 277.0 | 86.97 | 106.00 | 125.0 | 182.00 | 445.25 | 737.1 | 1226.00 | 1588.50 |
| 2023-11-12 | 279.0 | 93.00 | 110.00 | 133.0 | 185.75 | 451.25 | 745.1 | 1120.10 | 1547.08 |
| 2023-11-19 | 287.0 | 91.97 | 107.95 | 138.0 | 190.00 | 459.00 | 797.0 | 1138.35 | 1632.17 |
| 2023-11-26 | 291.0 | 93.97 | 112.00 | 136.0 | 195.75 | 459.25 | 785.0 | 1118.05 | 1704.67 |
| 2023-12-03 | 300.5 | 101.00 | 118.00 | 140.8 | 198.00 | 482.75 | 827.2 | 1253.10 | 1590.08 |
| 2023-12-10 | 326.0 | 107.00 | 124.00 | 149.0 | 214.75 | 512.25 | 891.4 | 1287.55 | 1927.55 |
| 2023-12-17 | 343.5 | 110.95 | 129.00 | 160.0 | 229.00 | 542.00 | 892.1 | 1316.15 | 1869.03 |
| 2023-12-24 | 375.5 | 129.00 | 150.95 | 180.0 | 254.00 | 588.25 | 1025.4 | 1434.15 | 2010.03 |
| 2023-12-31 | 440.0 | 144.93 | 164.90 | 205.9 | 285.00 | 689.00 | 1210.1 | 1673.20 | 2409.00 |
| 2024-01-07 | 511.5 | 177.00 | 205.00 | 251.0 | 347.00 | 803.00 | 1308.0 | 1757.10 | 2468.07 |
| 2024-01-14 | 607.5 | 207.97 | 244.00 | 292.9 | 401.00 | 937.50 | 1472.2 | 2069.15 | 3001.72 |
| 2024-01-21 | 695.5 | 251.97 | 295.95 | 354.9 | 488.75 | 1094.25 | 1684.0 | 2464.35 | 3560.18 |
| 2024-01-28 | 811.5 | 290.98 | 328.00 | 407.0 | 570.75 | 1225.25 | 2028.2 | 2838.00 | 4130.60 |
| 2024-02-04 | 936.5 | 310.95 | 369.95 | 458.0 | 642.00 | 1429.25 | 2319.1 | 3395.80 | 5060.07 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1028.5 | 362.93 | 422.95 | 519.9 | 721.00 | 1557.50 | 2464.7 | 3627.65 | 5530.82 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1122.5 | 390.98 | 461.85 | 555.9 | 784.75 | 1696.25 | 2774.3 | 3818.20 | 5358.12 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1202.5 | 414.98 | 491.00 | 599.8 | 821.00 | 1797.00 | 2962.6 | 4371.50 | 6413.10 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1223.5 | 436.93 | 506.00 | 610.7 | 855.75 | 1860.00 | 3114.3 | 4211.45 | 6006.18 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1284.5 | 466.88 | 542.00 | 648.9 | 890.50 | 1943.50 | 3138.1 | 4501.40 | 7411.88 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1351.0 | 467.95 | 558.95 | 673.8 | 909.75 | 2009.50 | 3136.1 | 4335.25 | 6865.23 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1354.5 | 494.90 | 573.95 | 692.9 | 931.50 | 2105.25 | 3205.3 | 4873.60 | 6648.02 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1386.0 | 501.98 | 578.00 | 695.0 | 970.75 | 2139.00 | 3339.2 | 4819.80 | 6851.77 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1418.5 | 507.93 | 585.00 | 691.0 | 984.00 | 2139.50 | 3375.5 | 4787.35 | 7159.73 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1452.5 | 524.98 | 625.95 | 730.0 | 1000.50 | 2205.50 | 3595.9 | 5223.05 | 7049.77 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1467.5 | 533.98 | 615.95 | 759.7 | 1022.75 | 2153.50 | 3484.0 | 4772.15 | 7411.88 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1460.0 | 498.00 | 588.95 | 733.8 | 1017.00 | 2224.25 | 3627.6 | 5123.55 | 7292.70 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1421.0 | 482.95 | 599.95 | 728.9 | 992.00 | 2154.50 | 3362.2 | 4829.45 | 6633.93 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1337.0 | 479.95 | 560.00 | 682.0 | 931.75 | 2060.50 | 3445.0 | 4909.15 | 6865.77 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1268.5 | 449.00 | 529.90 | 650.0 | 874.00 | 1969.25 | 3093.4 | 4467.40 | 6635.20 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1180.5 | 392.95 | 458.95 | 560.9 | 799.75 | 1814.75 | 2895.8 | 4088.00 | 6026.93 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1065.5 | 354.90 | 443.80 | 519.0 | 731.00 | 1586.25 | 2545.2 | 4006.60 | 5656.50 |
| 2024-06-09 | 934.5 | 326.00 | 389.95 | 458.9 | 634.00 | 1451.50 | 2417.2 | 3542.05 | 5074.10 |
| 2024-06-16 | 830.0 | 290.90 | 344.95 | 408.9 | 556.00 | 1290.25 | 2064.2 | 2972.10 | 3892.43 |
| 2024-06-23 | 739.5 | 252.90 | 299.95 | 356.0 | 503.00 | 1144.00 | 1907.8 | 2694.80 | 3721.35 |
| 2024-06-30 | 648.0 | 221.97 | 263.95 | 312.0 | 439.00 | 1020.25 | 1749.5 | 2483.40 | 3485.65 |
| 2024-07-07 | 567.0 | 188.97 | 227.95 | 274.0 | 391.75 | 900.00 | 1513.1 | 2192.70 | 3249.90 |
| 2024-07-14 | 510.0 | 172.00 | 199.00 | 243.0 | 344.00 | 806.25 | 1331.0 | 1967.55 | 2994.30 |
| 2024-07-21 | 466.0 | 148.00 | 180.00 | 220.9 | 302.75 | 721.00 | 1255.0 | 1847.30 | 2646.68 |
| 2024-07-28 | 413.0 | 141.97 | 163.00 | 190.0 | 279.00 | 667.00 | 1109.0 | 1606.00 | 2479.18 |
| 2024-08-04 | 381.0 | 124.00 | 147.00 | 179.0 | 256.00 | 628.00 | 1013.2 | 1575.15 | 2223.22 |
| 2024-08-11 | 351.0 | 109.00 | 129.00 | 159.0 | 226.00 | 569.00 | 911.3 | 1309.05 | 2071.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 313.5 | 99.00 | 119.00 | 144.9 | 205.75 | 516.50 | 859.2 | 1272.00 | 1806.28 |
| 2024-08-25 | 311.5 | 100.97 | 114.00 | 140.9 | 198.00 | 489.00 | 852.2 | 1223.15 | 1756.42 |
| 2024-09-01 | 293.0 | 92.97 | 112.00 | 133.0 | 183.75 | 462.25 | 770.5 | 1232.25 | 1759.15 |
| 2024-09-08 | 278.5 | 89.97 | 105.00 | 126.0 | 182.00 | 444.00 | 759.5 | 1150.50 | 1698.38 |
| 2024-09-15 | 272.0 | 86.97 | 100.00 | 121.0 | 172.00 | 426.00 | 728.2 | 1052.55 | 1606.33 |
| 2024-09-22 | 265.5 | 78.97 | 96.00 | 123.0 | 176.00 | 413.00 | 697.3 | 1059.05 | 1466.22 |
| 2024-09-29 | 263.0 | 78.97 | 94.00 | 118.0 | 172.00 | 428.00 | 731.4 | 1057.05 | 1605.08 |
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