Prediction 2505
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 2 for CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 147.5 | 43.00 | 50.00 | 64.0 | 95.00 | 231.25 | 379.0 | 526.05 | 731.02 |
| 2023-10-15 | 134.0 | 40.00 | 46.95 | 58.0 | 87.00 | 225.00 | 356.1 | 497.05 | 687.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 130.0 | 36.00 | 45.00 | 56.0 | 82.00 | 212.00 | 351.1 | 496.15 | 673.05 |
| 2023-10-29 | 128.0 | 37.00 | 45.00 | 55.9 | 82.00 | 201.00 | 330.1 | 470.00 | 628.15 |
| 2023-11-05 | 125.0 | 36.00 | 44.00 | 54.0 | 82.00 | 203.00 | 336.0 | 490.10 | 635.20 |
| 2023-11-12 | 126.0 | 32.00 | 43.00 | 55.0 | 80.00 | 205.25 | 337.1 | 478.05 | 619.02 |
| 2023-11-19 | 122.0 | 33.00 | 39.00 | 51.0 | 79.00 | 200.00 | 323.1 | 455.20 | 641.02 |
| 2023-11-26 | 114.0 | 32.00 | 40.00 | 50.0 | 73.00 | 192.25 | 314.2 | 465.10 | 605.62 |
| 2023-12-03 | 115.0 | 32.00 | 39.00 | 49.0 | 72.00 | 186.25 | 308.0 | 459.00 | 662.02 |
| 2023-12-10 | 112.0 | 29.00 | 36.00 | 46.9 | 71.00 | 186.00 | 324.0 | 451.10 | 617.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 109.0 | 29.00 | 38.00 | 47.0 | 70.00 | 186.00 | 307.0 | 412.10 | 644.00 |
| 2023-12-24 | 115.0 | 30.00 | 38.00 | 48.0 | 73.00 | 192.00 | 321.0 | 478.10 | 642.20 |
| 2023-12-31 | 129.0 | 35.00 | 43.95 | 55.9 | 79.00 | 207.25 | 339.0 | 479.10 | 673.17 |
| 2024-01-07 | 145.0 | 39.00 | 48.00 | 60.0 | 91.00 | 239.00 | 412.0 | 574.15 | 788.02 |
| 2024-01-14 | 167.0 | 49.00 | 59.00 | 76.9 | 113.00 | 275.00 | 477.0 | 658.10 | 886.12 |
| 2024-01-21 | 205.5 | 62.98 | 75.95 | 92.0 | 131.00 | 327.00 | 544.2 | 824.55 | 1077.35 |
| 2024-01-28 | 254.0 | 72.97 | 86.00 | 112.0 | 159.00 | 402.25 | 677.0 | 886.15 | 1262.12 |
| 2024-02-04 | 299.0 | 86.97 | 108.00 | 136.0 | 195.75 | 489.25 | 795.4 | 1097.80 | 1563.08 |
| 2024-02-11 | 360.0 | 105.00 | 129.00 | 160.0 | 228.00 | 562.00 | 943.2 | 1287.50 | 1852.05 |
| 2024-02-18 | 422.0 | 122.97 | 148.00 | 190.0 | 275.00 | 668.00 | 1022.1 | 1466.35 | 2025.10 |
| 2024-02-25 | 503.5 | 153.00 | 182.00 | 232.0 | 324.00 | 789.00 | 1218.5 | 1798.45 | 2444.82 |
| 2024-03-03 | 559.0 | 166.00 | 206.95 | 250.9 | 372.75 | 895.00 | 1493.0 | 2091.65 | 3116.35 |
| 2024-03-10 | 640.5 | 191.93 | 231.00 | 279.0 | 421.00 | 1001.25 | 1644.4 | 2356.60 | 3087.05 |
| 2024-03-17 | 730.0 | 209.97 | 253.00 | 325.0 | 472.00 | 1135.00 | 1822.6 | 2565.05 | 3573.15 |
| 2024-03-24 | 801.0 | 251.00 | 290.95 | 361.0 | 508.75 | 1271.00 | 2046.4 | 2836.15 | 3656.28 |
| 2024-03-31 | 886.5 | 269.98 | 325.95 | 402.0 | 571.00 | 1439.00 | 2431.4 | 3257.05 | 4711.38 |
| 2024-04-07 | 967.5 | 292.90 | 367.00 | 448.4 | 639.50 | 1520.25 | 2457.6 | 3543.45 | 5106.88 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1037.0 | 310.95 | 373.95 | 470.8 | 696.75 | 1637.50 | 2727.9 | 3868.20 | 5491.07 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1093.0 | 340.98 | 410.90 | 503.0 | 725.00 | 1719.25 | 2782.3 | 4217.05 | 5877.90 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1109.0 | 358.77 | 419.90 | 517.8 | 735.00 | 1801.50 | 2884.6 | 3981.85 | 5531.10 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1117.5 | 347.93 | 421.85 | 526.8 | 751.75 | 1705.25 | 2882.3 | 4084.40 | 5866.80 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1094.0 | 343.93 | 415.00 | 517.0 | 746.00 | 1741.50 | 2875.2 | 3853.80 | 5965.10 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1070.5 | 344.95 | 408.95 | 495.9 | 715.00 | 1686.00 | 2726.3 | 3712.55 | 5471.30 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1021.0 | 321.98 | 391.00 | 491.0 | 693.75 | 1611.25 | 2578.4 | 3571.45 | 5174.15 |
| 2024-06-02 | 984.0 | 303.00 | 362.00 | 445.0 | 632.00 | 1533.50 | 2538.2 | 3717.10 | 5358.45 |
| 2024-06-09 | 912.0 | 284.88 | 351.95 | 423.9 | 611.75 | 1484.75 | 2445.3 | 3595.60 | 5252.48 |
| 2024-06-16 | 847.0 | 256.98 | 314.95 | 389.0 | 558.75 | 1344.50 | 2212.4 | 3147.15 | 4317.62 |
| 2024-06-23 | 798.0 | 249.97 | 294.90 | 376.9 | 534.00 | 1275.25 | 2058.4 | 2752.40 | 3991.22 |
| 2024-06-30 | 753.0 | 237.97 | 283.00 | 342.0 | 495.00 | 1203.25 | 1904.0 | 2590.95 | 3596.15 |
| 2024-07-07 | 692.5 | 215.82 | 258.95 | 318.9 | 452.75 | 1089.25 | 1776.6 | 2427.75 | 3542.07 |
| 2024-07-14 | 641.5 | 191.97 | 231.95 | 286.9 | 418.00 | 1016.25 | 1626.0 | 2318.05 | 2998.70 |
| 2024-07-21 | 578.5 | 172.00 | 208.00 | 260.0 | 373.00 | 944.50 | 1498.4 | 2022.10 | 2854.10 |
| 2024-07-28 | 513.5 | 157.97 | 193.95 | 237.0 | 336.00 | 809.50 | 1387.6 | 1996.70 | 2656.43 |
| 2024-08-04 | 464.0 | 139.97 | 171.00 | 213.0 | 301.00 | 751.00 | 1195.8 | 1797.60 | 2644.12 |
| 2024-08-11 | 411.5 | 121.97 | 150.00 | 186.0 | 269.00 | 645.25 | 1024.1 | 1381.20 | 2009.25 |
| 2024-08-18 | 366.0 | 109.00 | 133.00 | 161.0 | 240.00 | 569.25 | 957.2 | 1351.10 | 1824.33 |
| 2024-08-25 | 317.5 | 90.92 | 115.00 | 143.0 | 211.00 | 505.00 | 839.3 | 1121.20 | 1565.67 |
| 2024-09-01 | 275.0 | 81.00 | 97.95 | 123.0 | 179.00 | 438.50 | 727.2 | 1040.50 | 1427.25 |
| 2024-09-08 | 240.0 | 78.00 | 91.00 | 112.0 | 157.00 | 385.00 | 634.1 | 905.15 | 1348.15 |
| 2024-09-15 | 210.0 | 64.00 | 76.00 | 97.0 | 140.00 | 345.00 | 573.2 | 819.35 | 1172.35 |
| 2024-09-22 | 185.0 | 55.98 | 68.00 | 85.0 | 123.00 | 288.25 | 472.0 | 671.05 | 900.02 |
| 2024-09-29 | 162.0 | 45.00 | 56.95 | 72.0 | 105.00 | 253.25 | 404.0 | 564.10 | 806.20 |
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