Prediction 2506
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation test 2 for DF
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 77.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 34.00 | 167.25 | 365.1 | 616.10 | 1050.10 |
| 2023-10-15 | 74.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 31.00 | 175.00 | 367.1 | 601.55 | 999.10 |
| 2023-10-22 | 75.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 31.00 | 170.00 | 353.4 | 612.20 | 1003.12 |
| 2023-10-29 | 73.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 33.00 | 160.00 | 360.0 | 591.10 | 974.12 |
| 2023-11-05 | 76.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 15.0 | 34.00 | 176.00 | 375.1 | 653.10 | 969.20 |
| 2023-11-12 | 85.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 37.00 | 191.00 | 416.4 | 708.20 | 1196.03 |
| 2023-11-19 | 95.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 18.0 | 42.00 | 205.00 | 444.1 | 751.20 | 1204.20 |
| 2023-11-26 | 100.0 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 19.0 | 44.00 | 230.25 | 484.5 | 822.05 | 1333.03 |
| 2023-12-03 | 114.0 | 7.00 | 12.95 | 22.0 | 50.00 | 253.25 | 560.1 | 937.20 | 1343.12 |
| 2023-12-10 | 125.0 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 24.0 | 54.00 | 278.00 | 603.4 | 1052.85 | 1690.45 |
| 2023-12-17 | 150.0 | 10.00 | 16.00 | 28.0 | 68.00 | 329.00 | 672.5 | 1129.15 | 1702.97 |
| 2023-12-24 | 166.5 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 31.0 | 68.00 | 360.25 | 786.1 | 1359.50 | 2330.62 |
| 2023-12-31 | 196.0 | 11.00 | 20.95 | 37.0 | 84.00 | 437.75 | 949.2 | 1486.00 | 2145.03 |
| 2024-01-07 | 225.5 | 14.00 | 24.00 | 44.0 | 96.00 | 499.25 | 1089.0 | 1767.70 | 3075.80 |
| 2024-01-14 | 283.5 | 17.00 | 30.00 | 50.0 | 114.00 | 618.25 | 1311.6 | 2296.90 | 3414.97 |
| 2024-01-21 | 322.5 | 20.00 | 34.95 | 60.0 | 136.75 | 721.00 | 1559.4 | 2662.10 | 3893.72 |
| 2024-01-28 | 370.0 | 24.00 | 44.00 | 69.0 | 157.75 | 835.25 | 1865.7 | 2958.50 | 4799.82 |
| 2024-02-04 | 429.5 | 23.98 | 41.95 | 80.0 | 180.00 | 964.75 | 2065.0 | 3162.50 | 5963.15 |
| 2024-02-11 | 461.5 | 33.98 | 52.00 | 95.0 | 203.75 | 1052.00 | 2163.1 | 3714.20 | 6273.88 |
| 2024-02-18 | 512.5 | 33.98 | 56.00 | 95.9 | 219.75 | 1086.25 | 2475.3 | 4394.60 | 6473.00 |
| 2024-02-25 | 545.0 | 38.00 | 62.00 | 107.0 | 243.00 | 1241.25 | 2597.3 | 4516.55 | 6917.43 |
| 2024-03-03 | 571.0 | 36.98 | 62.95 | 117.9 | 246.75 | 1293.50 | 2899.0 | 4732.00 | 7417.77 |
| 2024-03-10 | 625.5 | 44.98 | 71.00 | 126.9 | 279.00 | 1392.25 | 2973.2 | 4790.90 | 7854.52 |
| 2024-03-17 | 694.5 | 47.00 | 71.00 | 123.0 | 294.00 | 1477.00 | 3322.2 | 5806.20 | 8355.62 |
| 2024-03-24 | 706.5 | 48.00 | 82.00 | 132.0 | 299.00 | 1504.25 | 3304.2 | 5354.65 | 9087.45 |
| 2024-03-31 | 720.5 | 48.98 | 78.00 | 137.7 | 312.25 | 1672.25 | 3445.6 | 5958.50 | 9399.12 |
| 2024-04-07 | 733.5 | 50.00 | 82.95 | 141.0 | 321.50 | 1606.25 | 3630.6 | 6096.10 | 9184.98 |
| 2024-04-14 | 776.5 | 51.00 | 81.00 | 148.0 | 336.00 | 1660.75 | 3534.3 | 6179.25 | 9292.45 |
| 2024-04-21 | 747.5 | 51.00 | 87.95 | 148.0 | 324.00 | 1806.25 | 3755.3 | 6273.30 | 9504.90 |
| 2024-04-28 | 753.0 | 47.00 | 79.00 | 153.9 | 327.75 | 1704.50 | 3629.0 | 6028.35 | 8778.02 |
| 2024-05-05 | 740.0 | 55.00 | 87.00 | 140.9 | 331.00 | 1662.50 | 3651.9 | 5792.50 | 9680.58 |
| 2024-05-12 | 731.5 | 56.98 | 85.00 | 139.8 | 318.00 | 1661.50 | 3794.6 | 5963.30 | 9312.25 |
| 2024-05-19 | 682.0 | 43.98 | 80.95 | 140.8 | 284.00 | 1516.00 | 3336.9 | 5342.05 | 8861.88 |
| 2024-05-26 | 594.5 | 43.98 | 66.95 | 119.9 | 271.00 | 1335.00 | 3005.1 | 4694.55 | 7935.18 |
| 2024-06-02 | 510.0 | 32.00 | 55.00 | 97.0 | 231.75 | 1159.50 | 2545.2 | 4307.95 | 6452.85 |
| 2024-06-09 | 413.0 | 30.00 | 46.00 | 82.0 | 180.00 | 921.00 | 1991.7 | 3583.90 | 5556.27 |
| 2024-06-16 | 335.0 | 24.00 | 36.95 | 62.9 | 152.00 | 768.25 | 1630.4 | 2627.55 | 3968.70 |
| 2024-06-23 | 262.0 | 17.00 | 28.00 | 49.9 | 115.00 | 597.00 | 1294.0 | 2221.20 | 3330.20 |
| 2024-06-30 | 216.5 | 13.00 | 21.00 | 38.0 | 89.00 | 446.50 | 1030.5 | 1611.20 | 2545.30 |
| 2024-07-07 | 160.0 | 10.97 | 18.00 | 32.0 | 68.00 | 365.00 | 762.0 | 1191.45 | 1765.58 |
| 2024-07-14 | 124.0 | 9.00 | 14.95 | 23.0 | 55.00 | 294.50 | 627.3 | 1102.35 | 1676.40 |
| 2024-07-21 | 114.0 | 7.00 | 11.95 | 22.0 | 46.75 | 248.00 | 532.4 | 899.00 | 1414.67 |
| 2024-07-28 | 94.5 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 18.0 | 41.00 | 216.25 | 449.0 | 733.15 | 1196.08 |
| 2024-08-04 | 87.0 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 35.00 | 189.00 | 405.0 | 669.15 | 1014.60 |
| 2024-08-11 | 79.5 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 15.0 | 33.00 | 184.00 | 388.2 | 604.75 | 1022.05 |
| 2024-08-18 | 78.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 15.9 | 33.00 | 175.00 | 401.1 | 597.20 | 905.12 |
| 2024-08-25 | 76.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 15.0 | 35.00 | 168.00 | 356.0 | 609.05 | 1016.45 |
| 2024-09-01 | 78.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 31.00 | 175.25 | 385.0 | 595.05 | 959.55 |
| 2024-09-08 | 78.5 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 34.00 | 176.25 | 368.1 | 664.35 | 974.05 |
| 2024-09-15 | 77.5 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 34.00 | 181.25 | 379.2 | 646.10 | 1062.33 |
| 2024-09-22 | 81.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 16.0 | 36.00 | 181.00 | 384.1 | 579.10 | 822.77 |
| 2024-09-29 | 74.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 33.00 | 170.00 | 401.0 | 661.55 | 1013.12 |
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