Prediction 2507
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 2 for ES
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 173.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 36.75 | 942.25 | 4771.5 | 14280.95 | 38776.75 |
| 2023-10-15 | 187.0 | 2.00 | 4.95 | 12.0 | 45.00 | 1040.25 | 5540.7 | 14714.30 | 40935.85 |
| 2023-10-22 | 218.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 14.0 | 52.00 | 1126.50 | 5924.5 | 16846.45 | 48764.50 |
| 2023-10-29 | 243.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 18.0 | 55.00 | 1317.75 | 5571.9 | 16890.95 | 52696.97 |
| 2023-11-05 | 278.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 17.0 | 61.75 | 1532.50 | 7827.3 | 22328.10 | 58894.72 |
| 2023-11-12 | 300.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 17.0 | 66.00 | 1600.00 | 8021.7 | 26195.20 | 70311.95 |
| 2023-11-19 | 326.0 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 18.0 | 71.75 | 1714.75 | 8708.4 | 25639.95 | 73494.17 |
| 2023-11-26 | 373.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 22.0 | 79.75 | 1953.75 | 10190.8 | 28902.90 | 84981.97 |
| 2023-12-03 | 377.0 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 23.9 | 85.00 | 1864.00 | 10482.0 | 31860.00 | 94277.85 |
| 2023-12-10 | 391.5 | 5.97 | 10.00 | 24.9 | 84.00 | 2151.50 | 10934.5 | 29211.30 | 70698.67 |
| 2023-12-17 | 403.0 | 4.00 | 9.95 | 22.0 | 89.75 | 2015.25 | 10190.6 | 33643.70 | 89835.87 |
| 2023-12-24 | 457.5 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 24.0 | 96.00 | 2224.75 | 12621.9 | 32871.65 | 107703.35 |
| 2023-12-31 | 442.5 | 4.00 | 11.95 | 26.0 | 97.00 | 2257.25 | 12906.3 | 35971.80 | 92743.92 |
| 2024-01-07 | 456.5 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 26.0 | 97.00 | 2480.75 | 12398.3 | 34727.40 | 121284.45 |
| 2024-01-14 | 465.5 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 26.0 | 106.75 | 2287.00 | 13932.7 | 38259.65 | 87918.05 |
| 2024-01-21 | 470.0 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 31.0 | 110.00 | 2531.00 | 12506.3 | 40437.30 | 96414.90 |
| 2024-01-28 | 517.5 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 31.0 | 118.75 | 2793.75 | 14483.7 | 38530.55 | 111689.60 |
| 2024-02-04 | 514.0 | 6.00 | 13.95 | 32.0 | 118.00 | 2906.75 | 14431.9 | 42865.30 | 112948.50 |
| 2024-02-11 | 579.0 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 35.0 | 138.75 | 3029.25 | 15850.9 | 48627.40 | 122273.23 |
| 2024-02-18 | 593.0 | 7.00 | 14.00 | 37.0 | 127.00 | 3066.00 | 15287.2 | 43227.00 | 128721.72 |
| 2024-02-25 | 583.5 | 6.00 | 16.00 | 37.9 | 146.00 | 3447.75 | 15797.6 | 48642.10 | 114109.15 |
| 2024-03-03 | 623.5 | 7.00 | 16.95 | 37.0 | 134.75 | 3062.75 | 16433.1 | 43841.95 | 135047.72 |
| 2024-03-10 | 643.5 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 38.9 | 147.00 | 3322.50 | 17176.2 | 62512.35 | 142090.30 |
| 2024-03-17 | 600.5 | 9.00 | 18.00 | 36.0 | 140.00 | 3188.50 | 17312.9 | 43699.05 | 158767.82 |
| 2024-03-24 | 665.0 | 8.97 | 18.95 | 39.0 | 148.75 | 3385.50 | 14912.1 | 53703.30 | 129606.37 |
| 2024-03-31 | 649.5 | 7.97 | 16.00 | 39.0 | 139.00 | 3164.75 | 15682.8 | 50166.05 | 126813.27 |
| 2024-04-07 | 629.0 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 37.0 | 138.00 | 3035.50 | 15194.8 | 47881.90 | 113276.02 |
| 2024-04-14 | 569.5 | 9.00 | 16.00 | 34.0 | 125.75 | 3032.00 | 12643.7 | 41226.10 | 128894.82 |
| 2024-04-21 | 560.0 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 33.9 | 123.00 | 2812.00 | 13932.3 | 38496.90 | 112748.17 |
| 2024-04-28 | 538.5 | 7.00 | 14.00 | 35.0 | 122.50 | 2708.25 | 13612.8 | 35193.50 | 91876.75 |
| 2024-05-05 | 500.5 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 32.0 | 116.75 | 2657.50 | 14298.2 | 37525.65 | 116299.12 |
| 2024-05-12 | 475.5 | 7.00 | 14.95 | 30.9 | 101.00 | 2416.75 | 11539.1 | 31769.25 | 104211.37 |
| 2024-05-19 | 442.0 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 29.0 | 99.00 | 2380.00 | 12364.7 | 34992.80 | 104901.72 |
| 2024-05-26 | 423.5 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 26.0 | 93.00 | 2027.00 | 9740.6 | 26099.90 | 78245.70 |
| 2024-06-02 | 360.5 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 22.0 | 82.00 | 1918.00 | 8945.5 | 26630.80 | 82175.12 |
| 2024-06-09 | 311.0 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 21.0 | 69.00 | 1710.25 | 9487.1 | 26085.25 | 76892.05 |
| 2024-06-16 | 296.5 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 17.0 | 61.75 | 1432.25 | 7109.9 | 20494.70 | 58514.30 |
| 2024-06-23 | 250.5 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 16.0 | 63.00 | 1376.75 | 7396.0 | 18574.00 | 47358.52 |
| 2024-06-30 | 225.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 14.0 | 52.00 | 1251.50 | 6089.8 | 17921.00 | 43970.27 |
| 2024-07-07 | 210.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 13.0 | 49.00 | 984.25 | 5399.8 | 13667.05 | 34207.00 |
| 2024-07-14 | 182.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 41.00 | 908.25 | 4215.4 | 12982.90 | 34545.87 |
| 2024-07-21 | 158.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 36.00 | 736.50 | 4079.5 | 13782.00 | 31050.72 |
| 2024-07-28 | 154.0 | 1.00 | 3.95 | 8.0 | 32.00 | 693.00 | 3873.9 | 11922.95 | 33402.20 |
| 2024-08-04 | 125.5 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 30.00 | 657.25 | 3472.1 | 9077.90 | 27641.83 |
| 2024-08-11 | 122.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 27.00 | 644.25 | 2979.0 | 9148.80 | 26457.40 |
| 2024-08-18 | 117.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 26.00 | 572.50 | 3290.0 | 9476.50 | 29094.67 |
| 2024-08-25 | 114.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 25.00 | 573.75 | 2980.2 | 8546.90 | 22555.30 |
| 2024-09-01 | 115.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 24.00 | 517.00 | 2760.7 | 8711.25 | 23708.67 |
| 2024-09-08 | 106.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 24.00 | 587.00 | 3345.8 | 9787.40 | 23998.72 |
| 2024-09-15 | 115.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 25.00 | 623.50 | 3264.2 | 9066.10 | 21674.70 |
| 2024-09-22 | 128.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 28.00 | 672.00 | 3258.8 | 9967.75 | 32366.75 |
| 2024-09-29 | 154.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 33.00 | 762.50 | 4111.5 | 11573.80 | 33883.35 |
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