Prediction 2509
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 2 for MA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 26.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 47.00 | 80.1 | 121.00 | 174.03 |
| 2023-10-15 | 24.5 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 13.00 | 46.00 | 81.0 | 124.00 | 196.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 24.5 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 13.00 | 44.00 | 85.0 | 123.00 | 174.03 |
| 2023-10-29 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 45.00 | 83.1 | 126.00 | 178.00 |
| 2023-11-05 | 26.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 45.25 | 85.0 | 123.00 | 162.07 |
| 2023-11-12 | 27.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 49.00 | 86.1 | 122.05 | 189.12 |
| 2023-11-19 | 26.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 47.00 | 84.0 | 124.05 | 169.00 |
| 2023-11-26 | 27.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 50.00 | 88.1 | 133.10 | 185.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | 28.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 16.00 | 50.00 | 86.0 | 118.00 | 189.05 |
| 2023-12-10 | 32.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 18.00 | 54.00 | 90.0 | 123.10 | 169.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 35.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 19.00 | 63.00 | 105.1 | 155.00 | 215.05 |
| 2023-12-24 | 45.0 | 7.97 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 26.00 | 77.00 | 131.0 | 183.10 | 242.05 |
| 2023-12-31 | 57.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 33.00 | 104.00 | 175.0 | 247.20 | 344.10 |
| 2024-01-07 | 80.5 | 12.97 | 18.95 | 27.0 | 45.00 | 138.25 | 258.1 | 361.05 | 502.15 |
| 2024-01-14 | 102.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 36.0 | 59.00 | 181.25 | 322.0 | 467.10 | 658.12 |
| 2024-01-21 | 130.0 | 24.00 | 32.00 | 44.0 | 76.00 | 224.00 | 374.0 | 542.30 | 735.15 |
| 2024-01-28 | 159.0 | 30.00 | 41.00 | 56.0 | 91.75 | 284.00 | 479.1 | 734.05 | 957.15 |
| 2024-02-04 | 185.0 | 34.98 | 47.00 | 64.0 | 108.00 | 319.25 | 547.0 | 783.20 | 1052.20 |
| 2024-02-11 | 210.5 | 43.00 | 56.00 | 79.0 | 123.00 | 363.25 | 612.0 | 876.60 | 1255.40 |
| 2024-02-18 | 227.0 | 41.00 | 55.00 | 77.0 | 133.00 | 401.00 | 686.0 | 1013.10 | 1505.42 |
| 2024-02-25 | 235.5 | 46.00 | 62.00 | 87.0 | 136.75 | 407.00 | 684.1 | 948.05 | 1372.12 |
| 2024-03-03 | 235.5 | 48.00 | 62.95 | 83.0 | 137.00 | 422.00 | 688.2 | 943.00 | 1240.22 |
| 2024-03-10 | 220.0 | 43.00 | 57.00 | 79.9 | 131.00 | 376.25 | 626.0 | 892.50 | 1167.12 |
| 2024-03-17 | 216.5 | 43.00 | 57.00 | 75.0 | 128.00 | 373.00 | 613.2 | 891.10 | 1187.80 |
| 2024-03-24 | 214.0 | 42.00 | 62.00 | 80.0 | 127.00 | 372.25 | 624.3 | 910.05 | 1261.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 200.5 | 41.98 | 53.00 | 70.0 | 122.00 | 356.25 | 621.1 | 868.00 | 1217.35 |
| 2024-04-07 | 214.0 | 41.00 | 55.95 | 73.0 | 121.00 | 366.25 | 583.1 | 810.05 | 1161.08 |
| 2024-04-14 | 206.0 | 42.00 | 57.00 | 75.9 | 120.00 | 363.25 | 609.1 | 821.45 | 1159.12 |
| 2024-04-21 | 197.0 | 39.00 | 52.00 | 72.0 | 117.75 | 343.00 | 583.2 | 817.05 | 1079.00 |
| 2024-04-28 | 182.5 | 38.00 | 48.00 | 64.0 | 107.00 | 328.00 | 560.1 | 784.05 | 1176.38 |
| 2024-05-05 | 172.0 | 35.00 | 46.00 | 62.0 | 101.00 | 302.00 | 512.1 | 707.20 | 918.40 |
| 2024-05-12 | 156.0 | 31.00 | 41.95 | 56.0 | 90.00 | 267.25 | 452.2 | 655.20 | 901.05 |
| 2024-05-19 | 129.0 | 26.00 | 34.00 | 47.9 | 78.00 | 233.00 | 398.1 | 557.55 | 788.30 |
| 2024-05-26 | 119.0 | 24.00 | 32.00 | 43.0 | 72.00 | 202.00 | 347.2 | 513.00 | 653.05 |
| 2024-06-02 | 102.0 | 18.00 | 25.00 | 36.0 | 60.00 | 177.00 | 297.1 | 442.00 | 654.10 |
| 2024-06-09 | 88.5 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 33.0 | 53.00 | 162.00 | 278.1 | 409.15 | 560.02 |
| 2024-06-16 | 78.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 27.0 | 45.00 | 139.00 | 242.0 | 326.10 | 478.00 |
| 2024-06-23 | 70.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 40.00 | 124.00 | 218.1 | 310.00 | 425.02 |
| 2024-06-30 | 61.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 36.00 | 111.00 | 195.2 | 287.00 | 388.10 |
| 2024-07-07 | 55.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 32.00 | 100.00 | 178.1 | 255.05 | 355.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 51.0 | 9.00 | 11.00 | 17.0 | 29.00 | 92.00 | 166.0 | 242.10 | 358.02 |
| 2024-07-21 | 47.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 16.0 | 27.00 | 86.00 | 158.0 | 226.00 | 331.12 |
| 2024-07-28 | 44.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 24.00 | 78.00 | 142.0 | 211.05 | 324.10 |
| 2024-08-04 | 39.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.0 | 23.00 | 75.00 | 141.0 | 214.00 | 313.02 |
| 2024-08-11 | 38.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 12.0 | 21.00 | 70.00 | 126.0 | 187.20 | 282.10 |
| 2024-08-18 | 35.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 62.00 | 122.0 | 177.05 | 246.05 |
| 2024-08-25 | 32.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 18.00 | 60.00 | 111.0 | 167.05 | 260.02 |
| 2024-09-01 | 31.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 18.00 | 56.00 | 114.0 | 165.05 | 240.03 |
| 2024-09-08 | 28.0 | 5.00 | 6.95 | 9.0 | 16.00 | 53.00 | 109.1 | 149.00 | 249.07 |
| 2024-09-15 | 28.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 51.00 | 91.1 | 144.00 | 202.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 26.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 48.00 | 91.0 | 129.10 | 197.00 |
| 2024-09-29 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 47.00 | 86.0 | 132.00 | 195.05 |
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