Prediction 2510
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 2 for MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 452.0 | 149.00 | 174.00 | 215.9 | 296.00 | 762.00 | 1365.4 | 2131.25 | 3597.70 |
| 2023-10-15 | 467.0 | 159.95 | 183.00 | 227.9 | 317.75 | 752.50 | 1379.8 | 2385.10 | 4143.38 |
| 2023-10-22 | 486.5 | 168.97 | 198.00 | 237.0 | 329.00 | 819.25 | 1621.2 | 2671.90 | 4647.38 |
| 2023-10-29 | 511.5 | 176.97 | 210.00 | 254.0 | 335.75 | 906.00 | 1686.2 | 2893.25 | 4837.40 |
| 2023-11-05 | 564.5 | 192.97 | 221.00 | 272.9 | 376.75 | 948.00 | 1746.5 | 3111.55 | 4813.05 |
| 2023-11-12 | 612.0 | 221.00 | 258.95 | 307.9 | 418.00 | 1006.25 | 1976.3 | 3261.15 | 5411.70 |
| 2023-11-19 | 687.5 | 234.93 | 273.00 | 334.0 | 453.75 | 1125.25 | 1945.1 | 3270.35 | 6116.30 |
| 2023-11-26 | 759.0 | 277.00 | 316.00 | 375.0 | 512.00 | 1240.25 | 2253.4 | 3928.05 | 7589.40 |
| 2023-12-03 | 848.0 | 310.98 | 354.00 | 420.9 | 575.00 | 1386.75 | 2520.4 | 3868.20 | 7538.85 |
| 2023-12-10 | 980.0 | 350.98 | 404.95 | 483.0 | 664.00 | 1557.75 | 3147.1 | 4911.25 | 7742.27 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1141.5 | 404.00 | 479.00 | 559.8 | 747.75 | 1828.50 | 3432.2 | 4825.85 | 8467.62 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1349.5 | 492.98 | 560.95 | 673.9 | 931.00 | 2143.50 | 3867.0 | 6305.30 | 10703.12 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1650.0 | 598.00 | 705.90 | 830.8 | 1142.00 | 2661.25 | 4531.2 | 7708.80 | 11768.25 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2042.0 | 757.00 | 880.90 | 1062.8 | 1424.75 | 3159.00 | 5654.4 | 8713.55 | 14637.60 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2544.5 | 949.88 | 1099.95 | 1301.9 | 1734.50 | 4000.50 | 6715.5 | 9675.15 | 17003.42 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2985.5 | 1185.97 | 1335.55 | 1586.0 | 2084.00 | 4628.50 | 8401.4 | 13021.15 | 18582.97 |
| 2024-01-28 | 3601.0 | 1290.95 | 1490.65 | 1805.9 | 2448.75 | 5697.00 | 9873.3 | 14573.45 | 20414.67 |
| 2024-02-04 | 4081.5 | 1551.90 | 1735.95 | 2064.6 | 2757.50 | 6343.25 | 11235.7 | 16720.15 | 29440.50 |
| 2024-02-11 | 4677.5 | 1765.90 | 1998.40 | 2356.9 | 3176.00 | 7323.25 | 12493.4 | 19781.55 | 31264.60 |
| 2024-02-18 | 5292.0 | 1923.90 | 2216.65 | 2717.8 | 3635.75 | 8292.25 | 13975.8 | 20435.15 | 34840.35 |
| 2024-02-25 | 5711.5 | 2116.70 | 2425.05 | 2844.9 | 3912.25 | 9064.25 | 15800.9 | 24988.80 | 36561.50 |
| 2024-03-03 | 6339.5 | 2342.80 | 2643.40 | 3146.7 | 4269.75 | 9956.00 | 17491.4 | 27112.45 | 44724.20 |
| 2024-03-10 | 6701.0 | 2398.90 | 2855.90 | 3446.8 | 4672.50 | 10563.50 | 18732.6 | 28507.95 | 44812.40 |
| 2024-03-17 | 6996.5 | 2648.43 | 2978.00 | 3557.8 | 4864.00 | 11269.50 | 19425.7 | 29066.95 | 46258.53 |
| 2024-03-24 | 7553.0 | 2737.32 | 3206.60 | 3843.2 | 5201.25 | 11982.75 | 21178.0 | 32835.15 | 51783.10 |
| 2024-03-31 | 7741.0 | 2854.45 | 3429.85 | 4058.8 | 5339.50 | 12410.25 | 22282.7 | 34570.00 | 57403.92 |
| 2024-04-07 | 7983.0 | 2815.82 | 3322.00 | 4006.8 | 5449.00 | 12576.25 | 21837.9 | 34180.05 | 53493.02 |
| 2024-04-14 | 7692.5 | 2774.62 | 3314.05 | 3954.8 | 5230.75 | 12756.00 | 21783.8 | 36472.90 | 53076.07 |
| 2024-04-21 | 7435.0 | 2721.88 | 3125.30 | 3770.7 | 5153.25 | 12015.75 | 19977.9 | 31060.00 | 48637.93 |
| 2024-04-28 | 6889.5 | 2523.75 | 2950.90 | 3458.8 | 4636.75 | 10765.50 | 18330.6 | 27091.50 | 44157.20 |
| 2024-05-05 | 6029.0 | 2227.65 | 2535.00 | 3124.4 | 4194.00 | 9490.75 | 16712.8 | 25829.75 | 38038.12 |
| 2024-05-12 | 5103.5 | 1906.55 | 2151.55 | 2561.0 | 3476.50 | 7967.75 | 14135.9 | 23027.30 | 32939.93 |
| 2024-05-19 | 4075.5 | 1531.92 | 1766.95 | 2169.9 | 2827.00 | 6532.50 | 11503.7 | 18133.95 | 27194.32 |
| 2024-05-26 | 3247.5 | 1200.85 | 1379.00 | 1674.0 | 2244.50 | 5052.25 | 9136.1 | 14951.80 | 24902.28 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2503.5 | 871.95 | 1033.00 | 1294.8 | 1773.00 | 3951.25 | 7172.6 | 10781.55 | 16934.17 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1927.5 | 736.92 | 847.95 | 1002.0 | 1368.75 | 2982.75 | 5192.3 | 7674.20 | 13165.45 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1489.0 | 538.98 | 638.70 | 765.0 | 1015.00 | 2337.25 | 3865.5 | 5713.45 | 9836.60 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1150.5 | 445.85 | 501.95 | 595.9 | 808.75 | 1784.00 | 3136.5 | 4778.70 | 7742.30 |
| 2024-06-30 | 898.0 | 347.98 | 399.95 | 464.9 | 619.00 | 1427.50 | 2417.8 | 3678.50 | 5988.70 |
| 2024-07-07 | 744.0 | 284.00 | 327.00 | 380.0 | 516.00 | 1144.25 | 1893.2 | 2832.75 | 4392.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 604.5 | 232.97 | 271.95 | 317.0 | 421.00 | 960.00 | 1611.6 | 2570.45 | 3992.55 |
| 2024-07-21 | 530.0 | 195.97 | 224.00 | 268.9 | 365.00 | 793.00 | 1404.2 | 2106.25 | 3941.45 |
| 2024-07-28 | 466.5 | 172.00 | 197.00 | 232.9 | 318.00 | 746.75 | 1286.1 | 1895.45 | 2862.93 |
| 2024-08-04 | 429.0 | 153.95 | 174.95 | 215.0 | 289.00 | 677.50 | 1191.0 | 1882.95 | 2852.15 |
| 2024-08-11 | 411.0 | 155.97 | 177.95 | 205.0 | 281.00 | 638.00 | 1087.0 | 1757.30 | 2959.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 389.0 | 136.00 | 162.00 | 195.0 | 269.00 | 626.50 | 1104.4 | 1677.35 | 2605.38 |
| 2024-08-25 | 386.5 | 142.00 | 164.95 | 196.0 | 266.00 | 623.25 | 1125.7 | 1801.05 | 2821.43 |
| 2024-09-01 | 399.0 | 137.00 | 158.00 | 188.0 | 268.00 | 638.25 | 1110.1 | 1841.65 | 3007.05 |
| 2024-09-08 | 398.0 | 146.00 | 169.00 | 203.0 | 271.00 | 658.00 | 1181.3 | 1839.00 | 2866.78 |
| 2024-09-15 | 404.0 | 146.97 | 166.95 | 204.9 | 276.75 | 667.00 | 1162.0 | 1761.10 | 3148.72 |
| 2024-09-22 | 417.0 | 149.00 | 176.00 | 208.0 | 287.00 | 687.00 | 1285.1 | 2091.40 | 3746.32 |
| 2024-09-29 | 437.0 | 145.97 | 176.00 | 211.9 | 293.00 | 714.25 | 1322.1 | 1977.55 | 3907.32 |
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