Prediction 2511
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 2 for MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 112.0 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 32.0 | 58.00 | 225.00 | 445.1 | 746.10 | 1101.25 |
| 2023-10-15 | 127.0 | 19.00 | 26.00 | 38.0 | 65.00 | 244.00 | 528.1 | 854.20 | 1339.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 134.0 | 18.00 | 27.00 | 38.0 | 69.00 | 277.00 | 536.2 | 886.10 | 1441.45 |
| 2023-10-29 | 158.5 | 24.00 | 32.00 | 46.0 | 81.00 | 319.00 | 632.4 | 1098.30 | 1650.40 |
| 2023-11-05 | 193.0 | 26.00 | 37.00 | 54.9 | 98.75 | 372.00 | 751.0 | 1135.05 | 1817.92 |
| 2023-11-12 | 207.0 | 30.00 | 42.00 | 60.0 | 111.00 | 415.25 | 899.1 | 1628.20 | 2368.22 |
| 2023-11-19 | 238.5 | 36.00 | 48.00 | 68.9 | 122.00 | 499.50 | 1099.2 | 1702.15 | 2729.20 |
| 2023-11-26 | 274.0 | 36.00 | 52.00 | 76.0 | 137.00 | 534.00 | 1114.2 | 1914.30 | 3180.35 |
| 2023-12-03 | 295.0 | 39.98 | 57.95 | 84.0 | 146.75 | 591.75 | 1235.1 | 2044.55 | 3293.75 |
| 2023-12-10 | 329.0 | 47.00 | 65.00 | 93.0 | 167.00 | 708.00 | 1476.7 | 2256.20 | 3588.70 |
| 2023-12-17 | 364.0 | 50.98 | 70.00 | 104.0 | 192.00 | 767.00 | 1637.1 | 2527.35 | 4036.32 |
| 2023-12-24 | 408.0 | 60.00 | 82.00 | 117.0 | 211.00 | 812.00 | 1807.4 | 3116.65 | 4850.00 |
| 2023-12-31 | 464.0 | 68.92 | 94.95 | 134.9 | 235.00 | 933.25 | 2038.4 | 3379.05 | 5745.77 |
| 2024-01-07 | 567.0 | 84.00 | 123.00 | 168.8 | 284.00 | 1111.75 | 2359.8 | 3829.40 | 5657.10 |
| 2024-01-14 | 641.5 | 98.00 | 139.95 | 192.0 | 332.75 | 1295.25 | 2795.3 | 4857.50 | 7931.93 |
| 2024-01-21 | 725.5 | 108.97 | 154.00 | 212.0 | 376.75 | 1465.75 | 3204.8 | 5590.60 | 9140.80 |
| 2024-01-28 | 808.5 | 137.97 | 172.00 | 236.0 | 417.75 | 1661.75 | 3278.6 | 5438.60 | 9054.45 |
| 2024-02-04 | 839.5 | 128.00 | 185.90 | 254.0 | 452.00 | 1758.75 | 3830.4 | 5997.05 | 9796.33 |
| 2024-02-11 | 912.0 | 152.97 | 194.95 | 269.0 | 470.00 | 1901.00 | 3785.1 | 5732.20 | 9443.73 |
| 2024-02-18 | 974.5 | 147.90 | 201.00 | 295.0 | 520.75 | 1951.25 | 3985.0 | 6353.85 | 9939.55 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1018.0 | 175.00 | 220.90 | 294.0 | 514.75 | 2002.50 | 3850.2 | 6144.65 | 10522.88 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1026.0 | 165.88 | 229.00 | 302.0 | 526.75 | 2035.00 | 4110.1 | 6743.80 | 11750.55 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1036.0 | 162.95 | 229.00 | 313.0 | 540.50 | 2189.25 | 4187.4 | 6877.55 | 9914.90 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1056.5 | 141.97 | 200.95 | 295.9 | 545.00 | 2109.25 | 4046.3 | 6203.75 | 10452.70 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1047.0 | 151.97 | 209.00 | 299.7 | 546.75 | 2210.50 | 4383.2 | 6923.35 | 10313.98 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1017.5 | 143.95 | 195.95 | 285.9 | 537.75 | 2015.50 | 4075.5 | 6335.10 | 10302.02 |
| 2024-04-07 | 984.0 | 154.00 | 197.95 | 286.9 | 504.00 | 1970.50 | 4136.1 | 6140.70 | 9725.20 |
| 2024-04-14 | 904.5 | 132.97 | 182.95 | 265.0 | 463.75 | 1838.25 | 3550.4 | 5639.10 | 8740.70 |
| 2024-04-21 | 822.0 | 127.97 | 169.85 | 236.0 | 421.75 | 1658.00 | 3394.6 | 5279.90 | 8331.23 |
| 2024-04-28 | 725.0 | 105.00 | 145.90 | 203.0 | 368.00 | 1521.00 | 3059.4 | 5079.90 | 8036.88 |
| 2024-05-05 | 640.5 | 90.92 | 120.00 | 180.0 | 327.00 | 1307.25 | 2715.0 | 4206.30 | 6330.48 |
| 2024-05-12 | 544.5 | 77.97 | 107.95 | 151.0 | 280.75 | 1102.50 | 2149.5 | 3835.50 | 6079.43 |
| 2024-05-19 | 451.0 | 68.97 | 90.00 | 132.0 | 235.00 | 881.00 | 1783.0 | 2998.35 | 4463.98 |
| 2024-05-26 | 363.0 | 47.00 | 67.00 | 99.0 | 187.00 | 748.00 | 1485.3 | 2342.50 | 3774.53 |
| 2024-06-02 | 295.0 | 46.00 | 60.95 | 86.9 | 156.00 | 570.00 | 1188.1 | 1977.10 | 3346.00 |
| 2024-06-09 | 252.0 | 39.00 | 53.00 | 75.0 | 135.00 | 502.00 | 1031.3 | 1614.85 | 2314.15 |
| 2024-06-16 | 211.0 | 32.00 | 43.00 | 58.0 | 106.75 | 430.50 | 924.5 | 1516.50 | 2571.78 |
| 2024-06-23 | 171.0 | 24.98 | 34.95 | 49.0 | 91.00 | 349.00 | 700.7 | 1168.05 | 1807.42 |
| 2024-06-30 | 148.0 | 22.98 | 30.00 | 42.0 | 74.00 | 301.25 | 659.2 | 1138.60 | 1688.20 |
| 2024-07-07 | 131.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 36.0 | 65.00 | 259.00 | 540.0 | 853.05 | 1361.95 |
| 2024-07-14 | 110.0 | 14.97 | 21.00 | 31.0 | 56.00 | 224.50 | 468.0 | 783.40 | 1276.30 |
| 2024-07-21 | 100.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 27.0 | 51.00 | 197.00 | 406.1 | 677.15 | 1115.38 |
| 2024-07-28 | 89.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 46.00 | 180.00 | 375.1 | 620.05 | 937.12 |
| 2024-08-04 | 82.0 | 11.00 | 16.00 | 25.0 | 43.00 | 170.25 | 340.1 | 576.10 | 923.27 |
| 2024-08-11 | 80.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 41.00 | 166.25 | 324.3 | 528.25 | 854.05 |
| 2024-08-18 | 81.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 41.00 | 164.25 | 300.1 | 463.15 | 770.50 |
| 2024-08-25 | 78.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 39.75 | 162.00 | 313.0 | 503.25 | 755.02 |
| 2024-09-01 | 78.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 24.0 | 41.00 | 161.00 | 331.0 | 511.10 | 900.08 |
| 2024-09-08 | 81.0 | 12.97 | 17.00 | 24.0 | 41.00 | 159.25 | 333.3 | 531.05 | 819.17 |
| 2024-09-15 | 87.0 | 11.97 | 17.00 | 25.9 | 45.00 | 180.00 | 352.0 | 540.60 | 800.10 |
| 2024-09-22 | 89.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 25.9 | 46.00 | 179.00 | 389.2 | 641.05 | 949.00 |
| 2024-09-29 | 101.5 | 15.00 | 20.00 | 30.0 | 53.00 | 200.00 | 408.3 | 678.60 | 1042.03 |
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