Prediction 2512
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation test 2 for MT
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 97.0 | 28.00 | 35.00 | 44.0 | 64.00 | 148.00 | 230.0 | 313.05 | 433.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 105.0 | 31.00 | 39.95 | 50.0 | 70.00 | 163.25 | 258.1 | 367.15 | 499.12 |
| 2023-10-22 | 117.0 | 37.00 | 44.00 | 57.0 | 80.00 | 188.25 | 304.1 | 430.20 | 603.30 |
| 2023-10-29 | 138.5 | 44.00 | 53.00 | 64.0 | 92.00 | 215.00 | 334.0 | 453.00 | 649.58 |
| 2023-11-05 | 159.0 | 47.00 | 58.00 | 74.0 | 107.75 | 252.00 | 419.0 | 620.10 | 896.20 |
| 2023-11-12 | 186.0 | 58.00 | 69.00 | 85.0 | 121.00 | 296.00 | 499.3 | 692.35 | 1048.25 |
| 2023-11-19 | 217.0 | 64.95 | 79.00 | 101.0 | 144.00 | 343.00 | 554.3 | 759.00 | 1069.20 |
| 2023-11-26 | 246.5 | 79.00 | 92.00 | 113.0 | 163.75 | 393.25 | 641.1 | 885.05 | 1266.80 |
| 2023-12-03 | 270.0 | 83.00 | 104.00 | 128.0 | 182.00 | 435.00 | 731.5 | 1012.10 | 1465.83 |
| 2023-12-10 | 303.0 | 94.00 | 111.00 | 136.9 | 199.75 | 472.00 | 786.6 | 1109.20 | 1707.42 |
| 2023-12-17 | 331.0 | 104.97 | 125.00 | 155.0 | 226.00 | 524.00 | 875.2 | 1228.25 | 1754.17 |
| 2023-12-24 | 369.0 | 119.97 | 142.00 | 176.0 | 248.00 | 585.25 | 944.4 | 1399.15 | 1980.38 |
| 2023-12-31 | 420.0 | 131.97 | 154.00 | 192.0 | 284.00 | 667.00 | 1084.7 | 1510.60 | 1984.80 |
| 2024-01-07 | 492.0 | 159.00 | 191.00 | 225.0 | 327.00 | 785.00 | 1227.4 | 1735.25 | 2503.70 |
| 2024-01-14 | 548.0 | 164.97 | 205.00 | 255.9 | 366.75 | 838.50 | 1317.2 | 1860.70 | 2520.55 |
| 2024-01-21 | 608.0 | 189.95 | 230.00 | 285.9 | 406.00 | 938.25 | 1527.6 | 2143.10 | 2876.55 |
| 2024-01-28 | 651.0 | 203.97 | 251.00 | 306.8 | 439.75 | 1002.25 | 1615.2 | 2228.45 | 3069.32 |
| 2024-02-04 | 704.0 | 221.97 | 263.00 | 326.0 | 472.00 | 1061.25 | 1648.0 | 2273.65 | 3313.22 |
| 2024-02-11 | 716.0 | 238.97 | 272.95 | 345.0 | 483.00 | 1089.00 | 1693.9 | 2382.45 | 3468.45 |
| 2024-02-18 | 734.5 | 236.97 | 293.00 | 358.0 | 504.00 | 1108.25 | 1678.2 | 2357.40 | 3113.10 |
| 2024-02-25 | 718.0 | 239.95 | 281.00 | 350.0 | 479.00 | 1088.00 | 1655.2 | 2206.80 | 3213.30 |
| 2024-03-03 | 715.0 | 240.97 | 286.95 | 350.8 | 487.00 | 1068.00 | 1670.4 | 2382.55 | 2999.95 |
| 2024-03-10 | 703.0 | 238.00 | 273.90 | 344.0 | 492.00 | 1064.00 | 1665.4 | 2236.70 | 3281.32 |
| 2024-03-17 | 681.0 | 229.95 | 278.95 | 342.9 | 473.00 | 1036.00 | 1620.3 | 2193.15 | 3232.07 |
| 2024-03-24 | 666.0 | 226.00 | 261.95 | 320.9 | 452.00 | 1006.50 | 1545.1 | 2200.60 | 3009.57 |
| 2024-03-31 | 667.5 | 217.93 | 259.95 | 320.0 | 453.00 | 1016.00 | 1600.5 | 2167.55 | 3151.70 |
| 2024-04-07 | 651.5 | 214.97 | 252.95 | 313.9 | 436.00 | 1010.75 | 1543.3 | 2088.25 | 2932.38 |
| 2024-04-14 | 629.5 | 214.97 | 259.80 | 319.0 | 439.75 | 969.00 | 1573.5 | 2255.15 | 3068.18 |
| 2024-04-21 | 619.0 | 202.00 | 242.95 | 296.9 | 420.75 | 950.25 | 1476.2 | 1980.60 | 2742.10 |
| 2024-04-28 | 600.0 | 202.90 | 237.90 | 291.7 | 406.75 | 914.25 | 1459.1 | 1898.15 | 2521.20 |
| 2024-05-05 | 559.0 | 185.97 | 223.95 | 263.9 | 378.75 | 876.00 | 1391.3 | 1937.65 | 2748.12 |
| 2024-05-12 | 525.0 | 167.00 | 192.95 | 236.9 | 340.00 | 807.00 | 1247.4 | 1811.80 | 2550.22 |
| 2024-05-19 | 464.5 | 154.00 | 177.95 | 223.0 | 311.00 | 736.50 | 1170.1 | 1666.05 | 2363.18 |
| 2024-05-26 | 419.0 | 128.97 | 155.95 | 188.0 | 272.00 | 665.50 | 1051.3 | 1498.35 | 2249.32 |
| 2024-06-02 | 362.0 | 118.00 | 140.00 | 170.0 | 241.00 | 575.00 | 965.7 | 1337.05 | 1822.00 |
| 2024-06-09 | 325.0 | 100.00 | 120.00 | 151.0 | 213.00 | 504.25 | 840.1 | 1187.05 | 1644.38 |
| 2024-06-16 | 275.0 | 79.00 | 101.00 | 125.9 | 185.00 | 432.00 | 689.1 | 990.35 | 1406.10 |
| 2024-06-23 | 234.0 | 72.97 | 90.00 | 109.0 | 156.00 | 367.00 | 588.3 | 784.20 | 1100.03 |
| 2024-06-30 | 200.0 | 65.97 | 79.95 | 95.0 | 134.75 | 305.25 | 511.0 | 691.05 | 1005.73 |
| 2024-07-07 | 168.0 | 52.00 | 63.95 | 79.0 | 113.00 | 269.00 | 436.0 | 635.05 | 895.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 145.0 | 47.00 | 54.95 | 70.0 | 99.00 | 223.00 | 370.1 | 510.20 | 710.23 |
| 2024-07-21 | 126.0 | 40.00 | 49.00 | 60.0 | 85.00 | 196.25 | 317.0 | 456.35 | 632.55 |
| 2024-07-28 | 112.0 | 35.00 | 43.00 | 53.9 | 77.00 | 179.00 | 286.1 | 398.05 | 594.02 |
| 2024-08-04 | 104.0 | 32.00 | 38.00 | 48.0 | 71.00 | 157.25 | 249.0 | 339.15 | 489.02 |
| 2024-08-11 | 98.0 | 31.98 | 38.00 | 46.0 | 65.00 | 148.00 | 234.2 | 339.10 | 454.02 |
| 2024-08-18 | 90.0 | 28.00 | 33.00 | 43.0 | 60.00 | 142.00 | 224.0 | 318.05 | 438.27 |
| 2024-08-25 | 86.0 | 26.00 | 32.00 | 39.0 | 57.75 | 129.00 | 207.0 | 301.05 | 389.10 |
| 2024-09-01 | 82.0 | 24.00 | 29.00 | 38.0 | 55.00 | 127.00 | 194.0 | 266.10 | 380.12 |
| 2024-09-08 | 79.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 37.0 | 53.00 | 118.00 | 195.0 | 266.05 | 375.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 82.0 | 25.00 | 29.95 | 37.0 | 54.00 | 124.00 | 193.2 | 272.10 | 373.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 83.0 | 25.98 | 31.00 | 38.0 | 56.00 | 127.25 | 212.1 | 275.05 | 371.00 |
| 2024-09-29 | 86.0 | 27.00 | 33.00 | 41.0 | 59.00 | 134.00 | 213.1 | 286.10 | 396.02 |
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