Prediction 2513
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 2 for PA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 44.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 30.00 | 61.00 | 83.0 | 102.00 | 126.05 |
| 2023-10-15 | 45.0 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 23.0 | 32.00 | 63.00 | 87.0 | 107.00 | 134.03 |
| 2023-10-22 | 47.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 33.00 | 67.00 | 95.0 | 120.00 | 151.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 50.0 | 16.98 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 35.00 | 73.00 | 103.0 | 126.00 | 157.03 |
| 2023-11-05 | 55.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 28.0 | 38.00 | 79.00 | 110.0 | 136.05 | 169.00 |
| 2023-11-12 | 60.0 | 20.00 | 24.00 | 30.0 | 42.00 | 86.00 | 125.0 | 154.00 | 185.07 |
| 2023-11-19 | 65.0 | 21.98 | 26.00 | 32.0 | 45.00 | 94.00 | 134.0 | 170.00 | 204.00 |
| 2023-11-26 | 69.0 | 23.00 | 28.00 | 34.0 | 48.00 | 100.00 | 144.0 | 182.00 | 226.03 |
| 2023-12-03 | 71.0 | 24.00 | 29.00 | 37.0 | 50.00 | 104.00 | 145.0 | 190.00 | 247.05 |
| 2023-12-10 | 74.0 | 25.00 | 30.00 | 37.9 | 52.00 | 109.00 | 158.0 | 196.00 | 256.02 |
| 2023-12-17 | 78.0 | 27.00 | 32.00 | 39.0 | 54.00 | 111.00 | 164.0 | 209.05 | 263.05 |
| 2023-12-24 | 89.0 | 30.00 | 35.00 | 43.0 | 61.00 | 127.00 | 183.0 | 235.00 | 289.00 |
| 2023-12-31 | 105.0 | 37.00 | 45.00 | 54.0 | 74.00 | 152.00 | 219.1 | 267.05 | 335.15 |
| 2024-01-07 | 132.0 | 47.00 | 57.00 | 69.0 | 95.00 | 189.00 | 271.1 | 347.00 | 419.23 |
| 2024-01-14 | 164.5 | 56.00 | 68.00 | 82.0 | 114.75 | 236.00 | 333.1 | 411.05 | 504.07 |
| 2024-01-21 | 191.5 | 69.00 | 83.00 | 100.0 | 135.00 | 274.25 | 393.0 | 520.05 | 664.23 |
| 2024-01-28 | 216.0 | 68.97 | 87.95 | 106.9 | 150.00 | 308.00 | 447.1 | 563.05 | 726.17 |
| 2024-02-04 | 227.5 | 80.97 | 94.00 | 113.0 | 160.00 | 326.00 | 473.0 | 630.20 | 804.20 |
| 2024-02-11 | 231.0 | 84.97 | 99.00 | 116.0 | 159.00 | 332.25 | 468.1 | 581.40 | 727.02 |
| 2024-02-18 | 228.0 | 82.00 | 96.95 | 115.0 | 162.00 | 325.25 | 461.1 | 600.05 | 744.02 |
| 2024-02-25 | 224.0 | 77.97 | 91.95 | 113.0 | 155.00 | 329.25 | 481.1 | 617.10 | 765.05 |
| 2024-03-03 | 218.0 | 79.00 | 94.95 | 116.9 | 153.00 | 319.00 | 449.1 | 581.00 | 723.42 |
| 2024-03-10 | 214.0 | 73.00 | 85.95 | 106.0 | 151.00 | 310.00 | 427.3 | 566.10 | 710.17 |
| 2024-03-17 | 197.5 | 70.00 | 81.00 | 99.0 | 136.00 | 292.00 | 418.1 | 516.05 | 624.23 |
| 2024-03-24 | 191.0 | 65.97 | 77.00 | 96.0 | 132.00 | 267.00 | 387.1 | 491.10 | 647.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 180.0 | 59.00 | 69.00 | 86.0 | 122.00 | 257.00 | 370.0 | 470.55 | 621.00 |
| 2024-04-07 | 170.0 | 56.00 | 67.00 | 84.0 | 115.00 | 245.00 | 352.0 | 442.05 | 570.27 |
| 2024-04-14 | 157.0 | 54.00 | 66.00 | 80.0 | 110.75 | 231.00 | 344.1 | 434.00 | 524.27 |
| 2024-04-21 | 150.0 | 52.98 | 62.00 | 75.0 | 105.00 | 216.00 | 322.1 | 420.05 | 500.15 |
| 2024-04-28 | 140.0 | 47.00 | 58.00 | 72.0 | 96.00 | 200.00 | 294.1 | 382.05 | 484.00 |
| 2024-05-05 | 131.0 | 43.00 | 53.00 | 64.9 | 89.00 | 190.00 | 274.0 | 356.15 | 454.23 |
| 2024-05-12 | 119.0 | 42.00 | 49.00 | 60.0 | 82.00 | 167.00 | 238.0 | 295.05 | 367.00 |
| 2024-05-19 | 105.0 | 37.00 | 44.00 | 53.0 | 74.00 | 148.00 | 213.0 | 263.05 | 324.05 |
| 2024-05-26 | 90.0 | 32.00 | 38.95 | 46.9 | 64.00 | 134.00 | 189.0 | 240.05 | 303.02 |
| 2024-06-02 | 79.0 | 27.00 | 34.00 | 41.0 | 56.00 | 117.00 | 170.0 | 217.00 | 261.00 |
| 2024-06-09 | 71.5 | 26.00 | 30.00 | 37.0 | 49.00 | 102.00 | 145.0 | 185.05 | 223.07 |
| 2024-06-16 | 65.0 | 21.00 | 25.00 | 32.0 | 45.75 | 94.00 | 132.0 | 174.00 | 216.03 |
| 2024-06-23 | 58.5 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 29.0 | 40.00 | 84.00 | 119.0 | 145.00 | 175.03 |
| 2024-06-30 | 53.0 | 17.00 | 21.95 | 27.0 | 38.00 | 76.00 | 108.0 | 131.00 | 160.00 |
| 2024-07-07 | 49.0 | 16.98 | 21.00 | 25.0 | 35.00 | 70.00 | 97.1 | 121.00 | 154.03 |
| 2024-07-14 | 46.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 23.0 | 32.00 | 65.00 | 95.0 | 114.00 | 140.05 |
| 2024-07-21 | 46.0 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 23.0 | 32.00 | 64.00 | 90.0 | 112.05 | 134.00 |
| 2024-07-28 | 44.5 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.9 | 31.00 | 63.00 | 86.0 | 111.05 | 132.00 |
| 2024-08-04 | 45.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 64.00 | 89.0 | 111.00 | 136.03 |
| 2024-08-11 | 44.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 31.00 | 63.00 | 87.0 | 104.05 | 129.03 |
| 2024-08-18 | 43.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 21.0 | 30.00 | 61.00 | 84.0 | 104.00 | 136.03 |
| 2024-08-25 | 42.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 30.00 | 62.00 | 86.0 | 103.05 | 122.03 |
| 2024-09-01 | 41.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 58.00 | 80.0 | 100.05 | 126.03 |
| 2024-09-08 | 42.0 | 15.00 | 17.95 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 58.00 | 78.1 | 97.00 | 121.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 41.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 57.00 | 78.0 | 98.05 | 120.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 41.0 | 14.00 | 17.00 | 21.0 | 29.00 | 59.00 | 81.0 | 99.00 | 120.00 |
| 2024-09-29 | 42.0 | 15.00 | 18.00 | 22.0 | 30.00 | 60.00 | 83.0 | 100.00 | 122.00 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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