Prediction 2514
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation test 2 for PB
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 129.0 | 25.00 | 33.00 | 46.0 | 76.00 | 218.00 | 359.1 | 503.35 | 637.15 |
| 2023-10-15 | 118.5 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 40.0 | 69.00 | 201.25 | 332.0 | 472.15 | 661.35 |
| 2023-10-22 | 109.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 38.0 | 62.00 | 180.25 | 286.1 | 393.10 | 578.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 99.0 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 35.0 | 58.00 | 169.00 | 274.0 | 363.10 | 539.08 |
| 2023-11-05 | 93.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 34.0 | 54.00 | 151.25 | 256.0 | 376.05 | 528.48 |
| 2023-11-12 | 88.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 33.0 | 52.00 | 150.00 | 248.0 | 362.05 | 480.48 |
| 2023-11-19 | 81.5 | 15.97 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 50.00 | 141.00 | 232.1 | 324.00 | 489.00 |
| 2023-11-26 | 81.0 | 16.00 | 21.95 | 28.0 | 47.00 | 141.25 | 233.0 | 330.05 | 425.05 |
| 2023-12-03 | 84.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 29.0 | 48.00 | 141.00 | 239.2 | 334.10 | 471.48 |
| 2023-12-10 | 82.5 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 50.00 | 142.00 | 237.1 | 328.15 | 438.15 |
| 2023-12-17 | 85.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 30.0 | 51.00 | 146.25 | 242.0 | 327.05 | 476.05 |
| 2023-12-24 | 91.0 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 34.0 | 53.00 | 155.25 | 262.0 | 354.00 | 468.07 |
| 2023-12-31 | 98.0 | 22.00 | 28.00 | 37.9 | 58.00 | 164.00 | 277.0 | 401.05 | 600.08 |
| 2024-01-07 | 110.0 | 24.00 | 30.00 | 39.9 | 66.00 | 186.00 | 302.1 | 440.10 | 673.12 |
| 2024-01-14 | 124.5 | 24.98 | 35.00 | 46.0 | 73.00 | 216.25 | 367.1 | 485.10 | 685.08 |
| 2024-01-21 | 141.5 | 29.00 | 40.00 | 52.0 | 86.00 | 240.00 | 384.0 | 551.10 | 742.00 |
| 2024-01-28 | 167.0 | 32.00 | 46.00 | 62.0 | 99.00 | 282.00 | 480.0 | 704.15 | 936.73 |
| 2024-02-04 | 193.5 | 37.98 | 51.00 | 70.0 | 109.00 | 315.00 | 537.1 | 827.30 | 1158.15 |
| 2024-02-11 | 217.0 | 47.00 | 61.00 | 81.0 | 129.00 | 366.00 | 604.0 | 857.15 | 1225.10 |
| 2024-02-18 | 235.0 | 44.98 | 64.00 | 86.0 | 137.00 | 400.00 | 669.0 | 1080.10 | 1461.17 |
| 2024-02-25 | 271.0 | 57.00 | 73.00 | 98.0 | 158.00 | 450.25 | 760.1 | 1037.20 | 1395.50 |
| 2024-03-03 | 284.0 | 62.00 | 78.00 | 107.0 | 177.00 | 482.00 | 814.3 | 1083.00 | 1519.35 |
| 2024-03-10 | 309.0 | 68.00 | 89.95 | 117.9 | 188.75 | 534.00 | 870.6 | 1271.00 | 1668.20 |
| 2024-03-17 | 326.0 | 69.97 | 87.00 | 120.9 | 200.00 | 536.25 | 910.5 | 1350.40 | 1887.75 |
| 2024-03-24 | 359.0 | 74.97 | 94.95 | 126.0 | 208.00 | 618.50 | 1036.0 | 1541.10 | 2240.32 |
| 2024-03-31 | 391.5 | 84.00 | 104.95 | 135.9 | 223.00 | 652.00 | 1097.2 | 1720.40 | 2357.72 |
| 2024-04-07 | 404.0 | 83.97 | 109.00 | 142.0 | 238.00 | 701.00 | 1205.0 | 1658.35 | 2316.07 |
| 2024-04-14 | 436.0 | 92.00 | 118.00 | 167.9 | 252.75 | 753.25 | 1260.0 | 1876.30 | 2672.25 |
| 2024-04-21 | 463.5 | 90.00 | 121.95 | 168.0 | 275.75 | 801.00 | 1404.1 | 1942.25 | 2667.07 |
| 2024-04-28 | 491.0 | 98.00 | 125.95 | 171.9 | 280.00 | 847.00 | 1403.0 | 2012.00 | 2495.12 |
| 2024-05-05 | 512.0 | 103.00 | 134.00 | 182.0 | 293.00 | 846.25 | 1472.1 | 2143.95 | 2952.85 |
| 2024-05-12 | 496.0 | 102.95 | 140.00 | 187.8 | 295.00 | 860.25 | 1465.2 | 2019.35 | 2776.03 |
| 2024-05-19 | 489.5 | 111.00 | 141.00 | 184.0 | 298.00 | 883.50 | 1514.6 | 2215.30 | 3390.28 |
| 2024-05-26 | 489.5 | 110.97 | 138.95 | 184.9 | 290.00 | 828.25 | 1441.1 | 2058.40 | 2954.15 |
| 2024-06-02 | 476.0 | 96.00 | 122.00 | 168.9 | 286.00 | 786.25 | 1320.2 | 1851.20 | 2640.03 |
| 2024-06-09 | 469.0 | 94.97 | 130.00 | 176.0 | 277.00 | 771.00 | 1361.1 | 1883.20 | 2933.05 |
| 2024-06-16 | 431.0 | 96.97 | 127.90 | 168.9 | 267.00 | 748.25 | 1265.1 | 1900.00 | 2545.12 |
| 2024-06-23 | 426.5 | 89.00 | 116.00 | 156.0 | 252.50 | 716.25 | 1127.4 | 1688.70 | 2443.05 |
| 2024-06-30 | 391.5 | 88.97 | 113.00 | 152.0 | 239.00 | 668.00 | 1065.1 | 1579.10 | 2465.47 |
| 2024-07-07 | 383.0 | 83.00 | 105.95 | 143.0 | 229.00 | 643.25 | 1091.9 | 1513.55 | 2085.25 |
| 2024-07-14 | 361.0 | 73.97 | 97.00 | 129.9 | 210.00 | 607.25 | 1022.4 | 1510.35 | 2103.10 |
| 2024-07-21 | 341.0 | 69.00 | 92.95 | 124.0 | 206.75 | 582.25 | 975.3 | 1389.20 | 1851.20 |
| 2024-07-28 | 308.5 | 67.00 | 85.95 | 111.0 | 183.00 | 541.25 | 897.1 | 1268.25 | 1760.38 |
| 2024-08-04 | 304.0 | 63.95 | 85.00 | 115.0 | 179.00 | 516.00 | 847.2 | 1183.35 | 1550.17 |
| 2024-08-11 | 276.5 | 62.00 | 77.95 | 102.0 | 161.00 | 464.50 | 760.6 | 1016.30 | 1475.40 |
| 2024-08-18 | 250.5 | 52.98 | 67.00 | 90.0 | 148.00 | 420.00 | 686.1 | 930.15 | 1303.08 |
| 2024-08-25 | 237.0 | 47.92 | 64.00 | 86.9 | 137.00 | 394.25 | 649.1 | 920.15 | 1350.08 |
| 2024-09-01 | 213.0 | 46.98 | 60.95 | 80.0 | 126.00 | 350.00 | 560.3 | 828.20 | 1136.42 |
| 2024-09-08 | 197.0 | 42.00 | 54.95 | 70.0 | 114.00 | 332.25 | 557.5 | 753.05 | 1163.22 |
| 2024-09-15 | 170.0 | 37.00 | 46.00 | 63.0 | 100.00 | 289.00 | 484.0 | 668.15 | 949.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 152.0 | 32.00 | 42.95 | 57.0 | 93.00 | 264.25 | 421.1 | 570.00 | 828.42 |
| 2024-09-29 | 142.0 | 29.00 | 39.00 | 51.0 | 83.00 | 241.00 | 398.0 | 567.10 | 788.00 |
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