Prediction 2515
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 2 for PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 284.0 | 52.00 | 67.00 | 94.0 | 160.00 | 522.50 | 1003.1 | 1445.45 | 1963.88 |
| 2023-10-15 | 281.5 | 45.98 | 63.00 | 88.0 | 150.75 | 540.25 | 1012.6 | 1474.95 | 2105.15 |
| 2023-10-22 | 268.5 | 44.00 | 61.00 | 87.0 | 147.75 | 501.25 | 931.2 | 1360.15 | 2072.05 |
| 2023-10-29 | 265.0 | 40.00 | 59.00 | 82.9 | 140.75 | 491.00 | 878.2 | 1355.05 | 1796.10 |
| 2023-11-05 | 256.0 | 41.98 | 58.00 | 83.0 | 142.00 | 494.50 | 901.6 | 1365.20 | 1969.22 |
| 2023-11-12 | 266.0 | 45.98 | 59.00 | 81.0 | 142.75 | 498.25 | 927.8 | 1383.15 | 1909.92 |
| 2023-11-19 | 260.0 | 41.98 | 56.00 | 79.0 | 138.00 | 499.25 | 859.2 | 1346.00 | 1786.50 |
| 2023-11-26 | 246.0 | 44.00 | 55.95 | 77.0 | 135.00 | 461.00 | 851.1 | 1386.65 | 1883.03 |
| 2023-12-03 | 234.5 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 76.0 | 131.00 | 468.25 | 833.2 | 1208.00 | 1782.70 |
| 2023-12-10 | 240.0 | 40.00 | 55.00 | 76.0 | 129.75 | 447.25 | 848.5 | 1278.10 | 1816.28 |
| 2023-12-17 | 232.0 | 39.98 | 54.00 | 74.0 | 130.00 | 425.25 | 794.3 | 1232.10 | 1645.33 |
| 2023-12-24 | 229.5 | 40.00 | 52.00 | 76.0 | 128.75 | 422.25 | 775.5 | 1115.10 | 1611.10 |
| 2023-12-31 | 237.0 | 40.98 | 55.00 | 77.0 | 130.00 | 448.25 | 827.1 | 1166.25 | 1951.17 |
| 2024-01-07 | 247.0 | 42.98 | 57.00 | 84.0 | 138.00 | 467.00 | 857.5 | 1245.05 | 1717.05 |
| 2024-01-14 | 253.0 | 45.00 | 63.00 | 89.9 | 144.75 | 473.00 | 925.5 | 1292.35 | 1905.88 |
| 2024-01-21 | 277.5 | 51.00 | 66.00 | 91.0 | 153.00 | 520.50 | 1004.0 | 1384.75 | 1928.40 |
| 2024-01-28 | 289.0 | 52.00 | 67.00 | 94.0 | 161.00 | 564.00 | 1009.2 | 1434.30 | 1998.03 |
| 2024-02-04 | 319.5 | 55.00 | 74.00 | 103.0 | 176.00 | 588.00 | 1109.1 | 1628.30 | 2278.32 |
| 2024-02-11 | 347.5 | 55.98 | 83.95 | 113.0 | 193.75 | 642.50 | 1178.5 | 1706.15 | 2340.12 |
| 2024-02-18 | 381.5 | 66.00 | 86.00 | 122.9 | 210.75 | 683.25 | 1239.1 | 1806.70 | 2344.38 |
| 2024-02-25 | 407.5 | 67.00 | 96.00 | 134.0 | 217.00 | 739.25 | 1381.0 | 2054.25 | 2811.35 |
| 2024-03-03 | 426.0 | 79.97 | 104.95 | 144.0 | 244.00 | 798.25 | 1417.0 | 2046.40 | 2758.07 |
| 2024-03-10 | 476.5 | 91.95 | 119.95 | 161.9 | 272.00 | 868.50 | 1579.1 | 2265.00 | 3108.75 |
| 2024-03-17 | 502.5 | 93.00 | 122.95 | 162.0 | 291.75 | 921.00 | 1744.1 | 2524.30 | 3413.60 |
| 2024-03-24 | 549.5 | 95.97 | 129.95 | 183.0 | 302.00 | 1011.75 | 1855.1 | 2894.20 | 3871.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 578.5 | 110.97 | 146.00 | 202.0 | 332.00 | 1076.25 | 1898.3 | 2873.45 | 3746.15 |
| 2024-04-07 | 624.0 | 114.00 | 155.00 | 216.0 | 364.75 | 1073.25 | 1969.4 | 2924.05 | 4058.00 |
| 2024-04-14 | 662.5 | 118.95 | 155.85 | 220.0 | 374.00 | 1225.00 | 2236.2 | 3322.10 | 4519.02 |
| 2024-04-21 | 676.5 | 128.97 | 169.95 | 229.8 | 382.75 | 1222.00 | 2288.0 | 3297.40 | 4351.25 |
| 2024-04-28 | 702.5 | 135.00 | 183.00 | 243.9 | 411.00 | 1299.00 | 2341.6 | 3576.10 | 4956.23 |
| 2024-05-05 | 726.5 | 139.97 | 182.95 | 253.9 | 429.75 | 1347.75 | 2523.3 | 3442.15 | 4891.57 |
| 2024-05-12 | 746.0 | 140.97 | 180.95 | 255.8 | 425.75 | 1333.50 | 2310.8 | 3430.95 | 4817.32 |
| 2024-05-19 | 730.5 | 138.78 | 186.95 | 259.0 | 416.00 | 1328.75 | 2316.1 | 3391.70 | 5006.20 |
| 2024-05-26 | 680.5 | 136.97 | 178.00 | 232.8 | 393.00 | 1258.25 | 2291.9 | 3305.05 | 4307.15 |
| 2024-06-02 | 665.5 | 127.00 | 161.95 | 224.9 | 380.75 | 1285.00 | 2275.1 | 3203.10 | 4154.12 |
| 2024-06-09 | 647.0 | 124.97 | 155.95 | 212.0 | 377.50 | 1184.50 | 2205.6 | 3094.05 | 4278.40 |
| 2024-06-16 | 627.5 | 122.95 | 155.95 | 224.0 | 355.75 | 1116.00 | 2064.3 | 2925.05 | 4220.12 |
| 2024-06-23 | 587.5 | 104.00 | 142.00 | 198.9 | 330.00 | 1092.00 | 1982.5 | 2960.10 | 4076.07 |
| 2024-06-30 | 535.5 | 91.00 | 127.00 | 174.0 | 299.00 | 991.00 | 1858.4 | 2675.65 | 3549.00 |
| 2024-07-07 | 510.5 | 95.97 | 127.90 | 178.0 | 287.75 | 930.50 | 1693.2 | 2644.65 | 3551.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 481.5 | 81.00 | 108.95 | 155.0 | 265.75 | 871.25 | 1652.6 | 2408.45 | 3776.10 |
| 2024-07-21 | 444.0 | 71.97 | 102.95 | 138.9 | 235.00 | 831.25 | 1551.2 | 2229.25 | 3187.62 |
| 2024-07-28 | 431.5 | 73.00 | 98.00 | 133.9 | 229.00 | 841.00 | 1485.5 | 2271.40 | 3285.00 |
| 2024-08-04 | 399.5 | 72.97 | 96.00 | 132.0 | 219.75 | 750.25 | 1376.2 | 2040.70 | 2907.05 |
| 2024-08-11 | 388.5 | 63.00 | 83.00 | 122.9 | 208.00 | 718.00 | 1314.9 | 1982.00 | 2718.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 365.0 | 63.98 | 84.00 | 115.9 | 201.75 | 692.00 | 1336.3 | 1971.35 | 2747.00 |
| 2024-08-25 | 353.0 | 58.00 | 78.95 | 107.0 | 187.00 | 669.00 | 1201.1 | 1811.10 | 2547.57 |
| 2024-09-01 | 329.0 | 51.98 | 70.00 | 101.0 | 179.75 | 613.00 | 1187.9 | 1787.05 | 2483.72 |
| 2024-09-08 | 321.0 | 52.00 | 70.00 | 93.9 | 165.00 | 609.50 | 1177.2 | 1804.05 | 2373.18 |
| 2024-09-15 | 301.0 | 49.00 | 66.95 | 93.0 | 164.00 | 568.00 | 1113.3 | 1633.25 | 2263.60 |
| 2024-09-22 | 302.5 | 48.00 | 67.00 | 95.0 | 165.00 | 547.50 | 1089.3 | 1655.20 | 2253.22 |
| 2024-09-29 | 294.5 | 51.98 | 65.00 | 91.0 | 157.00 | 545.00 | 1072.3 | 1634.50 | 2189.05 |
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