Prediction 2516
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 2 for PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 33.00 | 53.0 | 76.05 | 105.03 |
| 2023-10-15 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 32.00 | 54.0 | 72.00 | 95.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 29.00 | 48.0 | 66.00 | 87.03 |
| 2023-10-29 | 16.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 28.00 | 49.0 | 71.00 | 93.00 |
| 2023-11-05 | 16.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 9.75 | 29.00 | 48.0 | 71.05 | 97.00 |
| 2023-11-12 | 17.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 31.00 | 52.0 | 71.00 | 104.03 |
| 2023-11-19 | 18.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 33.00 | 54.0 | 73.05 | 97.00 |
| 2023-11-26 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 33.00 | 57.0 | 80.05 | 108.03 |
| 2023-12-03 | 20.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 35.00 | 58.0 | 80.05 | 114.03 |
| 2023-12-10 | 21.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 6.9 | 12.00 | 38.00 | 64.1 | 90.00 | 124.03 |
| 2023-12-17 | 23.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 7.9 | 13.00 | 42.00 | 69.0 | 90.00 | 118.00 |
| 2023-12-24 | 27.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 48.00 | 78.0 | 106.10 | 151.03 |
| 2023-12-31 | 31.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 53.00 | 92.0 | 132.10 | 187.10 |
| 2024-01-07 | 40.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 13.0 | 23.00 | 69.00 | 113.0 | 161.05 | 224.07 |
| 2024-01-14 | 48.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 29.00 | 83.25 | 133.0 | 182.10 | 241.03 |
| 2024-01-21 | 59.0 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 98.00 | 159.0 | 221.00 | 280.07 |
| 2024-01-28 | 71.0 | 15.97 | 20.00 | 27.0 | 44.00 | 117.00 | 189.0 | 255.15 | 336.27 |
| 2024-02-04 | 82.0 | 20.00 | 24.00 | 32.0 | 51.00 | 137.00 | 218.1 | 295.00 | 406.10 |
| 2024-02-11 | 96.0 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 38.0 | 60.75 | 156.00 | 238.0 | 339.10 | 463.07 |
| 2024-02-18 | 110.0 | 26.00 | 34.00 | 45.0 | 67.00 | 175.00 | 276.1 | 399.20 | 563.05 |
| 2024-02-25 | 124.0 | 31.00 | 40.00 | 52.0 | 79.00 | 199.00 | 326.0 | 454.25 | 621.30 |
| 2024-03-03 | 148.0 | 36.98 | 46.00 | 60.0 | 89.00 | 243.25 | 379.2 | 505.15 | 691.12 |
| 2024-03-10 | 169.0 | 40.00 | 50.00 | 70.0 | 109.00 | 273.25 | 429.1 | 548.10 | 730.00 |
| 2024-03-17 | 195.0 | 53.00 | 65.00 | 84.0 | 127.00 | 316.25 | 486.1 | 703.10 | 976.27 |
| 2024-03-24 | 223.0 | 58.00 | 74.00 | 95.0 | 144.75 | 362.00 | 575.1 | 780.10 | 1088.10 |
| 2024-03-31 | 249.0 | 64.97 | 80.00 | 102.0 | 154.00 | 397.25 | 622.0 | 869.10 | 1174.17 |
| 2024-04-07 | 278.0 | 75.00 | 93.95 | 118.9 | 177.00 | 439.25 | 699.1 | 948.10 | 1223.30 |
| 2024-04-14 | 297.0 | 78.97 | 98.00 | 126.0 | 188.00 | 464.00 | 741.7 | 983.05 | 1271.00 |
| 2024-04-21 | 304.0 | 74.00 | 95.95 | 125.0 | 195.00 | 478.00 | 775.1 | 1082.20 | 1445.10 |
| 2024-04-28 | 307.5 | 86.97 | 105.00 | 133.0 | 198.00 | 484.00 | 754.3 | 993.10 | 1377.67 |
| 2024-05-05 | 301.0 | 88.00 | 105.95 | 132.0 | 195.00 | 482.00 | 769.6 | 1074.20 | 1419.62 |
| 2024-05-12 | 292.0 | 81.97 | 101.00 | 128.9 | 193.00 | 460.25 | 713.0 | 959.05 | 1251.90 |
| 2024-05-19 | 283.0 | 79.00 | 96.00 | 125.0 | 179.00 | 434.25 | 693.3 | 921.60 | 1292.42 |
| 2024-05-26 | 240.0 | 65.97 | 84.00 | 107.0 | 160.00 | 378.00 | 590.3 | 826.05 | 1052.42 |
| 2024-06-02 | 224.0 | 59.00 | 72.00 | 95.9 | 141.75 | 352.25 | 547.0 | 721.30 | 982.30 |
| 2024-06-09 | 201.0 | 54.00 | 68.95 | 85.9 | 125.00 | 310.50 | 488.0 | 678.05 | 936.05 |
| 2024-06-16 | 176.0 | 44.00 | 59.00 | 76.0 | 113.00 | 279.25 | 435.2 | 580.05 | 784.10 |
| 2024-06-23 | 153.5 | 42.00 | 53.95 | 67.0 | 100.00 | 247.25 | 382.2 | 521.15 | 730.20 |
| 2024-06-30 | 135.0 | 36.00 | 45.00 | 58.9 | 86.00 | 216.25 | 349.2 | 471.05 | 603.27 |
| 2024-07-07 | 121.5 | 31.98 | 40.00 | 51.0 | 76.00 | 191.25 | 309.0 | 401.10 | 550.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 108.5 | 27.00 | 35.00 | 46.0 | 68.00 | 172.00 | 278.2 | 388.05 | 514.05 |
| 2024-07-21 | 95.0 | 23.00 | 29.00 | 39.0 | 60.00 | 155.00 | 253.0 | 353.05 | 523.15 |
| 2024-07-28 | 85.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 36.0 | 52.00 | 141.00 | 235.0 | 335.15 | 451.23 |
| 2024-08-04 | 74.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 30.9 | 48.00 | 123.25 | 199.0 | 274.05 | 396.02 |
| 2024-08-11 | 66.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 26.0 | 40.00 | 108.00 | 180.0 | 246.10 | 327.10 |
| 2024-08-18 | 56.0 | 13.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 34.00 | 93.00 | 159.0 | 223.05 | 329.00 |
| 2024-08-25 | 45.0 | 11.00 | 13.00 | 18.0 | 28.00 | 79.00 | 132.0 | 180.05 | 245.03 |
| 2024-09-01 | 38.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 65.25 | 108.0 | 163.00 | 219.10 |
| 2024-09-08 | 32.0 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 20.00 | 54.00 | 86.1 | 128.05 | 177.07 |
| 2024-09-15 | 28.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 47.00 | 79.0 | 115.00 | 162.00 |
| 2024-09-22 | 24.0 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 14.00 | 40.25 | 64.0 | 92.00 | 136.03 |
| 2024-09-29 | 21.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 12.00 | 35.00 | 60.0 | 85.05 | 117.08 |
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