Prediction 2517
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 2 for PR
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 186.0 | 19.00 | 27.00 | 42.0 | 85.00 | 414.00 | 917.9 | 1520.60 | 2297.68 |
| 2023-10-15 | 209.0 | 23.00 | 34.00 | 49.9 | 95.00 | 453.25 | 948.2 | 1499.30 | 2644.80 |
| 2023-10-22 | 215.0 | 23.00 | 33.95 | 52.0 | 100.00 | 471.00 | 1113.0 | 1713.05 | 2969.60 |
| 2023-10-29 | 240.0 | 30.00 | 41.95 | 61.0 | 115.00 | 570.00 | 1239.5 | 2043.35 | 3234.00 |
| 2023-11-05 | 275.0 | 30.00 | 42.95 | 70.9 | 133.00 | 589.50 | 1359.1 | 2139.10 | 3252.57 |
| 2023-11-12 | 308.0 | 35.00 | 49.00 | 72.0 | 143.00 | 651.00 | 1451.1 | 2416.20 | 3557.47 |
| 2023-11-19 | 326.5 | 37.00 | 54.95 | 86.9 | 161.00 | 749.25 | 1602.6 | 2634.25 | 4014.75 |
| 2023-11-26 | 362.0 | 45.00 | 62.00 | 91.0 | 182.00 | 814.00 | 1801.5 | 2957.90 | 5082.73 |
| 2023-12-03 | 418.0 | 44.98 | 65.95 | 105.0 | 206.75 | 826.00 | 1845.4 | 3007.95 | 4549.32 |
| 2023-12-10 | 448.5 | 50.98 | 74.00 | 111.0 | 216.00 | 991.25 | 2059.9 | 3445.95 | 5502.52 |
| 2023-12-17 | 473.0 | 51.00 | 81.95 | 123.9 | 234.00 | 1003.50 | 2294.4 | 4068.25 | 6397.00 |
| 2023-12-24 | 529.0 | 64.97 | 91.00 | 139.0 | 259.75 | 1188.00 | 2556.8 | 3919.75 | 6707.27 |
| 2023-12-31 | 617.5 | 73.95 | 108.00 | 164.9 | 312.00 | 1285.25 | 2968.6 | 4663.10 | 7287.93 |
| 2024-01-07 | 745.0 | 82.00 | 116.00 | 177.0 | 351.00 | 1644.00 | 3445.0 | 5504.10 | 8459.55 |
| 2024-01-14 | 866.5 | 97.97 | 142.95 | 225.0 | 428.00 | 1971.00 | 4152.8 | 6611.20 | 12032.20 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1074.5 | 123.88 | 191.95 | 269.0 | 511.00 | 2421.25 | 5156.2 | 8434.50 | 13444.12 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1346.0 | 160.00 | 218.85 | 325.8 | 652.50 | 2905.00 | 6356.4 | 9805.60 | 15146.65 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1529.5 | 171.90 | 255.95 | 372.9 | 710.75 | 3389.50 | 7254.6 | 11979.50 | 17816.30 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1824.0 | 211.90 | 281.00 | 442.0 | 892.75 | 3865.00 | 8284.9 | 13726.75 | 23650.50 |
| 2024-02-18 | 2150.5 | 253.97 | 357.70 | 552.9 | 1047.75 | 4676.00 | 9816.8 | 15730.05 | 27622.50 |
| 2024-02-25 | 2431.5 | 303.90 | 411.90 | 614.0 | 1133.75 | 5162.75 | 11854.4 | 17514.20 | 29275.28 |
| 2024-03-03 | 2715.5 | 333.70 | 479.00 | 666.0 | 1260.50 | 5709.75 | 12668.8 | 19474.15 | 34248.47 |
| 2024-03-10 | 3012.0 | 376.00 | 502.90 | 771.8 | 1458.50 | 6237.50 | 13245.6 | 22373.15 | 34490.78 |
| 2024-03-17 | 3306.5 | 354.00 | 508.95 | 822.9 | 1539.50 | 6983.50 | 14638.2 | 23861.85 | 37509.50 |
| 2024-03-24 | 3425.0 | 369.98 | 562.65 | 865.9 | 1640.50 | 7254.25 | 15368.7 | 26150.90 | 44847.35 |
| 2024-03-31 | 3477.0 | 406.93 | 597.65 | 853.0 | 1671.00 | 7696.25 | 17925.2 | 29790.35 | 44959.37 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3576.5 | 408.00 | 605.80 | 876.8 | 1717.50 | 7997.50 | 16417.6 | 29431.80 | 47751.00 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3503.0 | 413.88 | 581.95 | 846.6 | 1637.00 | 7501.00 | 16644.7 | 25331.05 | 38349.47 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3338.5 | 379.85 | 516.75 | 799.0 | 1594.50 | 7115.00 | 14413.0 | 23857.55 | 38439.35 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2992.0 | 341.95 | 482.70 | 722.8 | 1451.00 | 6166.75 | 13412.6 | 20877.50 | 30168.95 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2443.5 | 309.00 | 436.75 | 606.7 | 1197.75 | 5101.75 | 11437.1 | 19103.05 | 32118.50 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1976.5 | 241.97 | 335.00 | 504.9 | 918.75 | 4120.50 | 9099.5 | 16322.10 | 24701.33 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1521.0 | 196.00 | 264.95 | 381.0 | 729.00 | 3302.75 | 7111.0 | 12681.85 | 19487.97 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1180.5 | 139.97 | 207.95 | 307.0 | 574.75 | 2644.75 | 5434.0 | 8371.25 | 14160.27 |
| 2024-06-02 | 965.0 | 101.90 | 154.95 | 225.8 | 442.00 | 1977.25 | 4268.7 | 7013.10 | 10483.52 |
| 2024-06-09 | 713.0 | 81.00 | 114.00 | 174.9 | 343.75 | 1523.75 | 3179.0 | 5326.00 | 8344.08 |
| 2024-06-16 | 526.0 | 57.98 | 83.00 | 140.0 | 247.75 | 1140.00 | 2477.4 | 4428.70 | 6430.20 |
| 2024-06-23 | 411.5 | 50.98 | 70.00 | 105.9 | 199.00 | 903.25 | 1905.5 | 3231.90 | 5054.52 |
| 2024-06-30 | 326.0 | 40.98 | 60.95 | 86.9 | 159.00 | 672.00 | 1541.2 | 2532.65 | 3827.82 |
| 2024-07-07 | 258.5 | 33.00 | 48.00 | 68.0 | 131.00 | 536.25 | 1214.4 | 2236.00 | 3610.30 |
| 2024-07-14 | 220.0 | 24.00 | 34.95 | 51.0 | 104.00 | 478.00 | 965.1 | 1642.70 | 2656.75 |
| 2024-07-21 | 178.5 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 46.0 | 86.00 | 405.25 | 863.1 | 1433.10 | 2252.45 |
| 2024-07-28 | 148.5 | 18.00 | 27.00 | 38.9 | 73.00 | 338.00 | 690.2 | 1159.15 | 1880.40 |
| 2024-08-04 | 140.5 | 15.00 | 24.00 | 34.0 | 64.00 | 300.00 | 667.4 | 1048.75 | 1646.25 |
| 2024-08-11 | 128.0 | 15.00 | 20.00 | 31.0 | 61.00 | 283.75 | 634.2 | 1075.20 | 1732.03 |
| 2024-08-18 | 127.0 | 14.97 | 20.95 | 31.9 | 60.00 | 277.25 | 588.1 | 983.65 | 1458.78 |
| 2024-08-25 | 122.0 | 15.00 | 21.00 | 32.0 | 61.00 | 272.25 | 557.3 | 959.60 | 1651.90 |
| 2024-09-01 | 120.5 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 29.0 | 59.00 | 264.00 | 636.2 | 1075.60 | 1750.53 |
| 2024-09-08 | 133.5 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 33.9 | 62.75 | 293.00 | 598.1 | 978.20 | 1731.20 |
| 2024-09-15 | 135.0 | 17.00 | 24.00 | 36.0 | 65.00 | 314.25 | 650.3 | 1022.65 | 1875.30 |
| 2024-09-22 | 149.0 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 36.0 | 73.75 | 339.00 | 700.1 | 1168.55 | 2040.60 |
| 2024-09-29 | 168.0 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 39.9 | 79.00 | 361.75 | 766.2 | 1354.15 | 1967.15 |
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