Prediction 2518
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 2 for RJ
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 69.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.9 | 28.00 | 144.00 | 318.8 | 592.05 | 902.62 |
| 2023-10-15 | 74.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 12.0 | 30.00 | 166.00 | 330.1 | 543.10 | 880.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 73.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 30.00 | 179.00 | 360.0 | 554.10 | 842.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 84.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 33.75 | 189.00 | 394.1 | 598.05 | 1051.33 |
| 2023-11-05 | 88.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 16.9 | 36.75 | 205.00 | 450.4 | 713.35 | 1346.08 |
| 2023-11-12 | 98.0 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 17.0 | 41.00 | 230.00 | 482.1 | 774.10 | 1176.20 |
| 2023-11-19 | 104.5 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 18.0 | 44.00 | 237.00 | 495.1 | 825.15 | 1366.08 |
| 2023-11-26 | 114.0 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 20.0 | 49.75 | 281.25 | 549.1 | 886.05 | 1431.03 |
| 2023-12-03 | 129.5 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 21.0 | 54.00 | 294.25 | 608.1 | 1032.15 | 1549.25 |
| 2023-12-10 | 143.0 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 25.0 | 58.00 | 315.25 | 699.4 | 1126.30 | 1814.25 |
| 2023-12-17 | 153.0 | 9.00 | 15.00 | 27.0 | 65.75 | 342.00 | 751.3 | 1271.05 | 1745.08 |
| 2023-12-24 | 166.0 | 10.00 | 15.95 | 29.0 | 69.00 | 395.00 | 860.2 | 1390.35 | 2110.20 |
| 2023-12-31 | 183.5 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 32.0 | 76.00 | 426.00 | 949.6 | 1489.65 | 2222.35 |
| 2024-01-07 | 223.5 | 15.00 | 22.00 | 40.0 | 95.00 | 505.25 | 1042.1 | 1688.10 | 2363.70 |
| 2024-01-14 | 237.5 | 16.00 | 25.95 | 44.0 | 97.00 | 558.25 | 1167.3 | 1928.15 | 3107.47 |
| 2024-01-21 | 261.0 | 15.00 | 27.95 | 44.0 | 108.75 | 607.75 | 1275.5 | 1921.75 | 2886.70 |
| 2024-01-28 | 281.5 | 16.00 | 30.95 | 56.0 | 122.75 | 641.50 | 1345.1 | 2223.85 | 3315.07 |
| 2024-02-04 | 310.5 | 17.00 | 29.00 | 55.0 | 127.00 | 721.25 | 1472.4 | 2259.90 | 3779.47 |
| 2024-02-11 | 329.5 | 22.00 | 35.00 | 61.0 | 137.00 | 747.25 | 1607.0 | 2600.50 | 3705.68 |
| 2024-02-18 | 344.5 | 24.00 | 37.00 | 62.0 | 142.00 | 814.25 | 1793.4 | 2757.30 | 4116.12 |
| 2024-02-25 | 362.0 | 22.00 | 37.00 | 63.9 | 158.00 | 833.75 | 1910.5 | 3053.70 | 4496.57 |
| 2024-03-03 | 390.0 | 30.98 | 48.00 | 76.0 | 172.75 | 935.25 | 2078.5 | 3341.60 | 5126.12 |
| 2024-03-10 | 454.0 | 27.00 | 50.00 | 88.0 | 192.00 | 998.00 | 2126.7 | 3527.40 | 5439.05 |
| 2024-03-17 | 487.0 | 29.00 | 48.00 | 82.0 | 190.00 | 1069.25 | 2231.2 | 3837.70 | 5960.62 |
| 2024-03-24 | 514.5 | 33.00 | 54.95 | 89.0 | 212.00 | 1119.25 | 2347.4 | 3830.85 | 5906.00 |
| 2024-03-31 | 535.5 | 38.98 | 58.00 | 100.0 | 214.75 | 1234.00 | 2548.6 | 4094.25 | 6497.07 |
| 2024-04-07 | 549.0 | 37.00 | 60.00 | 102.0 | 238.00 | 1234.50 | 2726.7 | 4252.10 | 6863.50 |
| 2024-04-14 | 555.0 | 33.00 | 57.00 | 98.8 | 241.50 | 1339.00 | 2723.2 | 4440.20 | 6589.32 |
| 2024-04-21 | 552.0 | 33.00 | 52.95 | 96.0 | 235.75 | 1360.75 | 2938.0 | 4308.20 | 7321.57 |
| 2024-04-28 | 523.5 | 32.98 | 52.00 | 89.0 | 218.75 | 1193.25 | 2697.1 | 4406.20 | 7106.73 |
| 2024-05-05 | 516.0 | 30.98 | 52.95 | 96.9 | 225.50 | 1141.50 | 2472.6 | 4130.15 | 5991.02 |
| 2024-05-12 | 461.0 | 23.98 | 44.95 | 78.0 | 196.00 | 1070.75 | 2381.2 | 3822.45 | 6665.50 |
| 2024-05-19 | 432.5 | 27.00 | 50.00 | 77.9 | 177.00 | 986.75 | 2017.4 | 3500.10 | 5240.73 |
| 2024-05-26 | 364.0 | 24.98 | 38.00 | 66.0 | 158.75 | 837.00 | 1853.2 | 3142.85 | 4842.50 |
| 2024-06-02 | 329.5 | 19.00 | 35.00 | 62.9 | 140.00 | 752.25 | 1600.1 | 2557.45 | 3843.03 |
| 2024-06-09 | 279.0 | 17.00 | 28.00 | 49.0 | 121.00 | 639.50 | 1307.1 | 2241.30 | 3382.45 |
| 2024-06-16 | 244.5 | 13.97 | 23.00 | 44.0 | 103.00 | 549.50 | 1194.2 | 1996.20 | 3094.38 |
| 2024-06-23 | 202.5 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 35.0 | 90.75 | 438.00 | 952.2 | 1534.65 | 2573.28 |
| 2024-06-30 | 174.0 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 28.9 | 72.00 | 393.25 | 831.0 | 1344.05 | 2200.50 |
| 2024-07-07 | 148.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 26.0 | 65.00 | 345.25 | 727.6 | 1305.50 | 1958.20 |
| 2024-07-14 | 129.5 | 8.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 52.00 | 296.25 | 646.0 | 1033.00 | 1718.85 |
| 2024-07-21 | 117.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 20.0 | 49.00 | 252.25 | 549.3 | 908.00 | 1554.53 |
| 2024-07-28 | 96.0 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 17.0 | 41.00 | 221.25 | 476.0 | 794.10 | 1299.03 |
| 2024-08-04 | 88.0 | 4.00 | 8.95 | 15.0 | 38.00 | 197.00 | 435.1 | 702.65 | 1107.28 |
| 2024-08-11 | 79.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 15.0 | 33.00 | 178.00 | 387.1 | 609.05 | 999.23 |
| 2024-08-18 | 72.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 30.00 | 168.00 | 348.3 | 571.05 | 911.33 |
| 2024-08-25 | 68.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 12.0 | 28.00 | 151.25 | 306.2 | 500.15 | 879.05 |
| 2024-09-01 | 62.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 26.00 | 140.25 | 317.0 | 506.15 | 872.83 |
| 2024-09-08 | 61.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 26.00 | 142.00 | 302.1 | 492.05 | 736.20 |
| 2024-09-15 | 62.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 25.00 | 138.00 | 281.0 | 486.05 | 861.02 |
| 2024-09-22 | 65.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 27.00 | 142.00 | 306.1 | 516.00 | 813.25 |
| 2024-09-29 | 66.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 26.00 | 146.00 | 321.1 | 514.20 | 788.00 |
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