Prediction 2519
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 2 for RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 118.0 | 14.00 | 20.00 | 31.0 | 60.00 | 239.25 | 466.0 | 678.10 | 1037.45 |
| 2023-10-15 | 110.0 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 27.9 | 55.00 | 225.00 | 405.3 | 610.10 | 929.60 |
| 2023-10-22 | 97.0 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 26.0 | 50.00 | 208.00 | 387.2 | 555.05 | 767.33 |
| 2023-10-29 | 92.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 23.0 | 45.00 | 185.00 | 364.1 | 525.10 | 729.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 86.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 42.00 | 177.25 | 318.0 | 460.10 | 709.08 |
| 2023-11-12 | 80.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 21.0 | 40.00 | 165.25 | 340.1 | 482.05 | 664.02 |
| 2023-11-19 | 78.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 20.0 | 39.00 | 154.00 | 296.0 | 437.05 | 647.05 |
| 2023-11-26 | 74.0 | 8.97 | 12.00 | 18.9 | 37.00 | 151.00 | 306.0 | 451.05 | 664.27 |
| 2023-12-03 | 73.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 36.75 | 152.25 | 295.1 | 476.00 | 710.05 |
| 2023-12-10 | 76.0 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 18.9 | 38.00 | 159.25 | 308.3 | 445.15 | 604.48 |
| 2023-12-17 | 76.0 | 8.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 39.00 | 167.00 | 318.0 | 464.05 | 694.08 |
| 2023-12-24 | 86.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 43.00 | 175.00 | 343.2 | 534.05 | 753.12 |
| 2023-12-31 | 97.5 | 10.97 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 46.75 | 202.25 | 402.1 | 625.05 | 894.15 |
| 2024-01-07 | 116.5 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 28.0 | 55.00 | 237.00 | 468.7 | 755.00 | 1088.08 |
| 2024-01-14 | 134.0 | 16.00 | 23.95 | 36.0 | 67.00 | 271.25 | 522.1 | 817.00 | 1114.05 |
| 2024-01-21 | 152.0 | 18.00 | 28.00 | 40.0 | 75.00 | 331.50 | 699.1 | 989.05 | 1408.28 |
| 2024-01-28 | 190.5 | 21.98 | 32.00 | 48.0 | 92.00 | 386.50 | 821.0 | 1211.10 | 1693.53 |
| 2024-02-04 | 207.0 | 24.98 | 35.95 | 54.0 | 105.75 | 464.00 | 925.1 | 1431.30 | 2004.15 |
| 2024-02-11 | 256.0 | 32.00 | 42.00 | 59.9 | 127.00 | 514.00 | 1031.2 | 1713.35 | 2563.30 |
| 2024-02-18 | 301.5 | 33.00 | 51.00 | 73.0 | 143.00 | 601.50 | 1201.4 | 1709.05 | 2504.18 |
| 2024-02-25 | 296.5 | 36.98 | 53.00 | 79.0 | 147.75 | 645.25 | 1258.3 | 1940.40 | 2677.03 |
| 2024-03-03 | 348.0 | 48.98 | 65.00 | 91.0 | 175.75 | 701.25 | 1375.9 | 2106.55 | 3074.60 |
| 2024-03-10 | 371.5 | 44.00 | 67.95 | 102.0 | 180.00 | 747.25 | 1419.3 | 2322.40 | 3124.78 |
| 2024-03-17 | 381.0 | 46.00 | 63.00 | 96.0 | 183.00 | 767.25 | 1427.2 | 2230.35 | 3330.43 |
| 2024-03-24 | 403.5 | 51.00 | 70.95 | 106.9 | 195.00 | 829.00 | 1584.0 | 2364.45 | 3461.88 |
| 2024-03-31 | 427.0 | 49.00 | 71.00 | 111.0 | 211.75 | 862.25 | 1735.2 | 2539.85 | 3570.00 |
| 2024-04-07 | 443.5 | 54.98 | 78.95 | 113.0 | 218.00 | 913.50 | 1817.2 | 2679.15 | 4283.30 |
| 2024-04-14 | 460.0 | 60.98 | 85.00 | 121.0 | 231.75 | 959.00 | 1926.3 | 2902.05 | 4399.25 |
| 2024-04-21 | 473.5 | 60.98 | 89.95 | 126.0 | 231.00 | 956.00 | 1848.3 | 2766.30 | 3918.32 |
| 2024-04-28 | 512.0 | 61.00 | 89.00 | 130.0 | 246.00 | 1002.25 | 1924.5 | 2874.55 | 4057.12 |
| 2024-05-05 | 497.0 | 58.00 | 87.95 | 128.0 | 245.75 | 990.00 | 1895.1 | 3051.30 | 4224.85 |
| 2024-05-12 | 492.0 | 58.98 | 82.00 | 126.9 | 256.00 | 999.25 | 1884.1 | 2927.35 | 4288.07 |
| 2024-05-19 | 502.0 | 63.98 | 89.00 | 139.0 | 263.00 | 967.75 | 1825.9 | 2762.70 | 4135.80 |
| 2024-05-26 | 485.0 | 63.98 | 87.95 | 130.9 | 245.75 | 988.00 | 1941.0 | 2866.80 | 4295.00 |
| 2024-06-02 | 478.5 | 56.00 | 80.95 | 125.9 | 238.00 | 917.50 | 1776.9 | 2683.60 | 3815.40 |
| 2024-06-09 | 454.0 | 64.97 | 88.00 | 123.0 | 233.00 | 920.00 | 1705.8 | 2471.70 | 3730.10 |
| 2024-06-16 | 436.0 | 53.00 | 81.00 | 118.0 | 216.00 | 882.00 | 1652.5 | 2457.05 | 3455.53 |
| 2024-06-23 | 415.0 | 62.95 | 83.00 | 113.0 | 212.00 | 796.25 | 1498.3 | 2194.20 | 3427.07 |
| 2024-06-30 | 381.0 | 49.98 | 70.00 | 104.0 | 195.00 | 781.50 | 1461.2 | 2384.25 | 3425.28 |
| 2024-07-07 | 358.0 | 45.00 | 67.95 | 98.0 | 192.00 | 696.25 | 1322.1 | 1957.10 | 3020.88 |
| 2024-07-14 | 345.5 | 48.00 | 65.00 | 96.9 | 182.00 | 696.25 | 1202.4 | 1926.55 | 2723.43 |
| 2024-07-21 | 334.0 | 42.98 | 62.00 | 92.0 | 170.00 | 648.00 | 1200.1 | 1853.10 | 2522.28 |
| 2024-07-28 | 302.5 | 39.00 | 56.00 | 79.9 | 153.00 | 594.50 | 1169.7 | 1699.55 | 2401.12 |
| 2024-08-04 | 282.0 | 37.00 | 54.90 | 77.0 | 144.00 | 548.50 | 1051.0 | 1552.10 | 2226.68 |
| 2024-08-11 | 255.5 | 30.00 | 44.90 | 68.0 | 132.75 | 501.25 | 938.1 | 1377.50 | 1887.25 |
| 2024-08-18 | 231.0 | 25.00 | 38.95 | 60.0 | 115.00 | 447.25 | 848.0 | 1201.35 | 1741.00 |
| 2024-08-25 | 212.0 | 26.98 | 40.00 | 59.9 | 107.00 | 387.25 | 752.2 | 1166.15 | 1640.17 |
| 2024-09-01 | 188.0 | 23.00 | 35.00 | 51.0 | 94.00 | 372.00 | 705.8 | 1029.45 | 1506.00 |
| 2024-09-08 | 178.0 | 21.98 | 32.00 | 48.0 | 86.75 | 327.50 | 628.0 | 931.15 | 1356.03 |
| 2024-09-15 | 153.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 44.9 | 80.75 | 298.25 | 573.0 | 818.00 | 1340.03 |
| 2024-09-22 | 140.0 | 19.00 | 26.00 | 39.0 | 73.00 | 270.25 | 503.0 | 788.05 | 1116.25 |
| 2024-09-29 | 128.5 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 34.0 | 65.75 | 254.25 | 479.0 | 731.70 | 961.25 |
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