Prediction 2520
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 2 for RO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 18.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 36.00 | 75.0 | 119.00 | 209.03 |
| 2023-10-15 | 21.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 43.00 | 86.0 | 142.05 | 224.18 |
| 2023-10-22 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 48.00 | 96.0 | 154.20 | 240.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 56.00 | 106.0 | 183.05 | 311.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 33.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 16.00 | 67.00 | 131.0 | 208.00 | 349.10 |
| 2023-11-12 | 39.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 20.00 | 77.00 | 164.0 | 265.00 | 417.12 |
| 2023-11-19 | 48.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 24.00 | 97.00 | 187.0 | 305.20 | 459.15 |
| 2023-11-26 | 55.0 | 8.00 | 10.95 | 15.0 | 28.00 | 109.00 | 221.2 | 361.10 | 685.02 |
| 2023-12-03 | 64.0 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 17.0 | 33.00 | 125.00 | 270.1 | 395.05 | 581.30 |
| 2023-12-10 | 72.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 37.00 | 139.00 | 277.6 | 489.05 | 762.55 |
| 2023-12-17 | 83.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 21.9 | 41.00 | 157.25 | 319.2 | 477.75 | 809.20 |
| 2023-12-24 | 92.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 25.0 | 45.75 | 185.00 | 379.0 | 574.15 | 865.30 |
| 2023-12-31 | 104.0 | 13.00 | 19.00 | 29.0 | 53.00 | 217.00 | 423.2 | 713.05 | 1216.15 |
| 2024-01-07 | 118.0 | 15.00 | 22.00 | 31.0 | 59.00 | 228.00 | 480.1 | 799.35 | 1414.12 |
| 2024-01-14 | 135.0 | 18.00 | 25.00 | 37.0 | 65.00 | 260.00 | 540.0 | 825.00 | 1338.12 |
| 2024-01-21 | 143.0 | 17.98 | 25.95 | 39.0 | 74.75 | 279.00 | 571.2 | 925.85 | 1520.15 |
| 2024-01-28 | 148.5 | 19.00 | 26.00 | 40.0 | 77.00 | 300.25 | 601.1 | 988.00 | 1505.03 |
| 2024-02-04 | 156.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 42.9 | 78.00 | 309.25 | 629.0 | 1062.25 | 1692.97 |
| 2024-02-11 | 156.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 43.0 | 79.00 | 303.25 | 606.1 | 1006.30 | 1812.22 |
| 2024-02-18 | 146.0 | 20.00 | 27.00 | 42.0 | 73.00 | 300.25 | 614.4 | 981.65 | 1613.28 |
| 2024-02-25 | 144.0 | 20.00 | 27.95 | 41.0 | 73.75 | 285.00 | 569.0 | 1001.00 | 1796.05 |
| 2024-03-03 | 140.0 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 36.0 | 70.00 | 277.00 | 539.1 | 852.45 | 1439.53 |
| 2024-03-10 | 129.0 | 18.00 | 24.00 | 36.0 | 66.00 | 267.25 | 514.1 | 831.35 | 1299.65 |
| 2024-03-17 | 123.0 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 32.0 | 61.00 | 237.00 | 503.0 | 817.25 | 1381.75 |
| 2024-03-24 | 110.0 | 14.00 | 21.00 | 30.9 | 54.75 | 220.00 | 452.3 | 749.65 | 1102.30 |
| 2024-03-31 | 98.0 | 12.97 | 17.95 | 26.0 | 49.75 | 208.00 | 411.1 | 685.15 | 1273.88 |
| 2024-04-07 | 93.0 | 11.00 | 16.00 | 25.0 | 47.00 | 189.00 | 368.0 | 649.05 | 1098.28 |
| 2024-04-14 | 85.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 24.0 | 44.00 | 168.25 | 348.4 | 558.10 | 935.17 |
| 2024-04-21 | 79.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 40.00 | 161.00 | 329.0 | 574.55 | 925.23 |
| 2024-04-28 | 72.0 | 8.97 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 35.00 | 143.00 | 298.0 | 493.10 | 825.05 |
| 2024-05-05 | 66.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 16.0 | 33.00 | 129.00 | 250.1 | 406.10 | 685.48 |
| 2024-05-12 | 61.0 | 8.00 | 11.95 | 16.0 | 30.00 | 122.00 | 243.1 | 412.10 | 643.25 |
| 2024-05-19 | 58.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 28.00 | 110.00 | 224.1 | 348.15 | 617.05 |
| 2024-05-26 | 51.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 25.00 | 103.00 | 204.0 | 347.20 | 574.25 |
| 2024-06-02 | 49.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 96.00 | 194.1 | 330.00 | 594.17 |
| 2024-06-09 | 45.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 23.00 | 91.00 | 187.0 | 309.00 | 517.25 |
| 2024-06-16 | 42.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 22.00 | 87.00 | 166.2 | 278.05 | 459.05 |
| 2024-06-23 | 42.0 | 4.97 | 7.00 | 12.0 | 20.00 | 84.00 | 178.1 | 281.05 | 439.10 |
| 2024-06-30 | 39.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 19.00 | 79.00 | 165.2 | 282.05 | 442.35 |
| 2024-07-07 | 36.0 | 4.97 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 18.00 | 74.00 | 147.1 | 253.00 | 406.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 34.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 17.00 | 68.00 | 143.4 | 247.00 | 412.23 |
| 2024-07-21 | 31.5 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 16.00 | 60.00 | 113.0 | 190.00 | 312.27 |
| 2024-07-28 | 28.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 58.00 | 117.1 | 201.00 | 311.32 |
| 2024-08-04 | 24.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 49.00 | 94.0 | 158.00 | 265.18 |
| 2024-08-11 | 21.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 41.00 | 84.0 | 135.05 | 232.12 |
| 2024-08-18 | 18.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 39.00 | 76.1 | 130.05 | 217.03 |
| 2024-08-25 | 17.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 35.00 | 67.0 | 112.00 | 191.03 |
| 2024-09-01 | 17.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 33.00 | 69.1 | 108.05 | 175.15 |
| 2024-09-08 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 31.00 | 63.0 | 110.00 | 176.00 |
| 2024-09-15 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 32.00 | 68.0 | 110.05 | 176.18 |
| 2024-09-22 | 16.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 34.00 | 65.0 | 107.05 | 181.10 |
| 2024-09-29 | 17.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 34.00 | 70.0 | 115.00 | 189.03 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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