Prediction 2522
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 2 for RS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 43.0 | 80.05 | 140.05 |
| 2023-10-15 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 17.00 | 41.0 | 89.05 | 160.03 |
| 2023-10-22 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 19.00 | 45.0 | 93.05 | 166.25 |
| 2023-10-29 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 19.00 | 48.0 | 93.00 | 198.07 |
| 2023-11-05 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 22.00 | 57.0 | 112.00 | 205.12 |
| 2023-11-12 | 11.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 25.00 | 60.0 | 124.05 | 232.32 |
| 2023-11-19 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 29.00 | 71.1 | 144.05 | 268.02 |
| 2023-11-26 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 35.00 | 85.0 | 174.10 | 383.02 |
| 2023-12-03 | 17.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 41.00 | 105.0 | 198.05 | 353.50 |
| 2023-12-10 | 19.5 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 45.00 | 115.0 | 210.05 | 450.05 |
| 2023-12-17 | 20.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 9.00 | 50.00 | 129.0 | 248.10 | 499.12 |
| 2023-12-24 | 23.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 55.00 | 139.1 | 259.05 | 503.02 |
| 2023-12-31 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 54.00 | 139.1 | 264.30 | 495.15 |
| 2024-01-07 | 27.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.75 | 59.00 | 152.1 | 305.05 | 628.23 |
| 2024-01-14 | 31.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 73.00 | 174.1 | 333.00 | 589.10 |
| 2024-01-21 | 36.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 17.00 | 85.00 | 211.3 | 387.10 | 757.67 |
| 2024-01-28 | 42.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 19.00 | 104.00 | 273.3 | 544.30 | 933.08 |
| 2024-02-04 | 56.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 25.00 | 138.00 | 341.2 | 656.15 | 1375.40 |
| 2024-02-11 | 73.5 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 18.0 | 35.00 | 188.25 | 490.2 | 897.00 | 1519.35 |
| 2024-02-18 | 105.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 46.00 | 251.00 | 600.2 | 1062.50 | 1866.33 |
| 2024-02-25 | 150.0 | 16.98 | 24.00 | 35.9 | 67.00 | 345.00 | 820.2 | 1527.40 | 2663.62 |
| 2024-03-03 | 208.5 | 22.00 | 29.95 | 44.9 | 92.75 | 472.00 | 1197.2 | 2174.20 | 4042.03 |
| 2024-03-10 | 276.0 | 30.00 | 41.00 | 62.9 | 127.00 | 667.25 | 1588.8 | 2968.90 | 5922.75 |
| 2024-03-17 | 352.5 | 35.00 | 48.00 | 80.0 | 155.00 | 887.50 | 2071.3 | 4062.30 | 8732.02 |
| 2024-03-24 | 415.0 | 44.00 | 62.00 | 93.9 | 197.00 | 1021.50 | 2524.2 | 4987.90 | 8793.80 |
| 2024-03-31 | 480.0 | 50.00 | 66.00 | 108.0 | 213.00 | 1149.25 | 2895.2 | 5491.50 | 9627.80 |
| 2024-04-07 | 524.5 | 53.95 | 78.00 | 119.0 | 229.00 | 1315.25 | 3275.8 | 6854.45 | 13175.58 |
| 2024-04-14 | 519.5 | 53.98 | 77.95 | 114.9 | 230.00 | 1261.50 | 3497.4 | 6709.55 | 13001.62 |
| 2024-04-21 | 507.0 | 54.00 | 80.00 | 114.0 | 226.00 | 1297.00 | 3227.2 | 6449.20 | 13847.52 |
| 2024-04-28 | 464.0 | 47.00 | 69.00 | 96.0 | 199.00 | 1081.75 | 2742.5 | 5975.70 | 10538.52 |
| 2024-05-05 | 345.5 | 35.00 | 49.95 | 75.0 | 144.00 | 816.75 | 2139.5 | 4353.00 | 10348.42 |
| 2024-05-12 | 250.0 | 26.98 | 39.00 | 57.0 | 112.75 | 627.75 | 1744.0 | 3592.70 | 6027.98 |
| 2024-05-19 | 170.5 | 18.00 | 26.00 | 37.9 | 73.00 | 452.25 | 1129.3 | 2604.25 | 4998.00 |
| 2024-05-26 | 122.0 | 11.97 | 18.00 | 27.0 | 56.00 | 308.00 | 847.4 | 1767.15 | 3090.15 |
| 2024-06-02 | 83.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 19.0 | 37.75 | 215.50 | 572.1 | 1141.40 | 2844.45 |
| 2024-06-09 | 58.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 26.00 | 152.25 | 411.3 | 861.55 | 1769.00 |
| 2024-06-16 | 43.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 9.0 | 19.00 | 108.00 | 293.1 | 652.25 | 1267.20 |
| 2024-06-23 | 30.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 14.00 | 72.00 | 204.2 | 418.10 | 1080.20 |
| 2024-06-30 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 60.00 | 166.0 | 344.05 | 633.23 |
| 2024-07-07 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 8.00 | 45.00 | 132.1 | 249.00 | 539.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 36.00 | 98.0 | 187.00 | 373.50 |
| 2024-07-21 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 5.00 | 31.00 | 88.1 | 186.05 | 381.02 |
| 2024-07-28 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 26.00 | 66.1 | 145.05 | 296.27 |
| 2024-08-04 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 21.25 | 56.0 | 112.00 | 226.03 |
| 2024-08-11 | 8.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 18.00 | 48.0 | 107.20 | 214.05 |
| 2024-08-18 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 18.00 | 49.0 | 89.05 | 162.05 |
| 2024-08-25 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 42.0 | 94.10 | 168.07 |
| 2024-09-01 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 42.1 | 87.05 | 165.12 |
| 2024-09-08 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 40.0 | 79.00 | 154.15 |
| 2024-09-15 | 6.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 15.00 | 39.0 | 82.10 | 165.40 |
| 2024-09-22 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 41.0 | 85.00 | 158.03 |
| 2024-09-29 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.00 | 39.0 | 72.10 | 132.05 |
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