Prediction 2523
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 2 for SC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 33.00 | 94.0 | 203.05 | 433.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 36.00 | 102.1 | 215.05 | 392.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 14.5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 40.00 | 112.0 | 213.55 | 406.23 |
| 2023-10-29 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 40.00 | 118.0 | 237.00 | 484.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 18.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 48.00 | 125.0 | 245.10 | 603.62 |
| 2023-11-12 | 20.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 52.00 | 140.0 | 260.10 | 502.05 |
| 2023-11-19 | 24.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 62.00 | 165.1 | 325.20 | 684.25 |
| 2023-11-26 | 28.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 71.00 | 217.4 | 451.35 | 923.42 |
| 2023-12-03 | 33.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 14.00 | 84.25 | 258.3 | 556.20 | 1027.85 |
| 2023-12-10 | 37.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 16.00 | 98.00 | 260.1 | 534.10 | 1372.10 |
| 2023-12-17 | 43.5 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 18.00 | 107.25 | 295.2 | 602.30 | 1299.35 |
| 2023-12-24 | 46.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 20.00 | 123.00 | 350.1 | 751.35 | 1320.08 |
| 2023-12-31 | 52.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 22.00 | 131.00 | 417.0 | 806.45 | 1795.20 |
| 2024-01-07 | 56.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 24.00 | 146.25 | 444.3 | 994.40 | 2227.82 |
| 2024-01-14 | 59.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 25.00 | 160.00 | 452.0 | 985.25 | 1981.17 |
| 2024-01-21 | 68.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 30.75 | 203.25 | 587.4 | 1202.55 | 2382.85 |
| 2024-01-28 | 83.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 17.0 | 33.75 | 239.00 | 661.1 | 1395.55 | 3318.35 |
| 2024-02-04 | 98.0 | 9.97 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 42.00 | 263.25 | 807.0 | 1917.70 | 4322.90 |
| 2024-02-11 | 124.5 | 10.97 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 53.00 | 342.00 | 1108.1 | 2297.50 | 5040.30 |
| 2024-02-18 | 153.0 | 15.00 | 21.95 | 32.0 | 63.00 | 410.50 | 1174.2 | 3082.55 | 6410.30 |
| 2024-02-25 | 199.0 | 17.00 | 24.00 | 37.0 | 81.00 | 553.25 | 1878.5 | 4049.50 | 8715.05 |
| 2024-03-03 | 248.0 | 22.00 | 33.00 | 51.0 | 108.00 | 713.25 | 2217.6 | 4941.15 | 11746.45 |
| 2024-03-10 | 320.5 | 28.00 | 40.95 | 62.9 | 126.75 | 891.25 | 2679.7 | 5718.65 | 11568.67 |
| 2024-03-17 | 419.0 | 37.98 | 51.00 | 80.0 | 168.00 | 1135.25 | 3721.9 | 8772.95 | 20405.40 |
| 2024-03-24 | 485.0 | 42.98 | 66.00 | 103.9 | 213.75 | 1424.50 | 4568.5 | 10996.10 | 28375.80 |
| 2024-03-31 | 598.0 | 55.00 | 84.00 | 120.0 | 249.75 | 1762.50 | 5475.2 | 12169.65 | 31904.58 |
| 2024-04-07 | 665.5 | 68.00 | 93.00 | 138.0 | 286.00 | 1948.75 | 6608.1 | 15647.45 | 38973.12 |
| 2024-04-14 | 734.0 | 67.97 | 98.95 | 151.0 | 302.00 | 1978.25 | 7015.0 | 17422.10 | 44003.17 |
| 2024-04-21 | 774.0 | 69.97 | 100.95 | 156.0 | 319.00 | 2009.50 | 6843.2 | 17849.45 | 47526.47 |
| 2024-04-28 | 672.5 | 61.00 | 87.00 | 138.0 | 278.50 | 2067.25 | 6808.7 | 17548.40 | 32155.40 |
| 2024-05-05 | 598.5 | 59.98 | 78.95 | 123.9 | 253.75 | 1808.25 | 6858.0 | 16510.80 | 33430.45 |
| 2024-05-12 | 520.0 | 44.00 | 65.00 | 98.0 | 212.00 | 1634.25 | 5329.4 | 13082.75 | 35846.95 |
| 2024-05-19 | 410.0 | 40.00 | 56.00 | 80.9 | 169.00 | 1231.75 | 4339.7 | 12591.10 | 36942.07 |
| 2024-05-26 | 320.0 | 28.00 | 42.95 | 64.0 | 130.00 | 918.50 | 3578.3 | 9449.75 | 17482.42 |
| 2024-06-02 | 245.5 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 44.9 | 98.00 | 740.50 | 2478.3 | 6948.30 | 18535.35 |
| 2024-06-09 | 192.0 | 16.00 | 24.00 | 37.0 | 76.00 | 559.50 | 2097.1 | 4791.05 | 11104.33 |
| 2024-06-16 | 131.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 28.0 | 55.00 | 385.00 | 1339.7 | 3125.25 | 9913.00 |
| 2024-06-23 | 100.5 | 8.00 | 12.00 | 20.0 | 41.00 | 291.25 | 1006.2 | 2488.05 | 5890.43 |
| 2024-06-30 | 74.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 31.00 | 220.00 | 722.0 | 1943.45 | 4619.12 |
| 2024-07-07 | 52.0 | 4.00 | 6.95 | 10.9 | 22.00 | 146.00 | 518.0 | 1327.20 | 3322.10 |
| 2024-07-14 | 41.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 17.00 | 114.00 | 363.1 | 905.50 | 1679.50 |
| 2024-07-21 | 31.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 13.00 | 89.25 | 294.3 | 695.75 | 1789.70 |
| 2024-07-28 | 27.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 74.00 | 219.2 | 481.25 | 1109.50 |
| 2024-08-04 | 22.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 66.00 | 213.1 | 435.30 | 968.95 |
| 2024-08-11 | 19.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 8.00 | 52.00 | 168.0 | 361.30 | 801.12 |
| 2024-08-18 | 17.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 48.00 | 158.0 | 359.40 | 733.42 |
| 2024-08-25 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 43.00 | 131.1 | 309.15 | 539.20 |
| 2024-09-01 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 38.00 | 121.0 | 260.05 | 577.25 |
| 2024-09-08 | 13.5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 37.25 | 108.0 | 254.45 | 574.23 |
| 2024-09-15 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 36.00 | 102.0 | 249.00 | 503.70 |
| 2024-09-22 | 14.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.75 | 35.00 | 96.0 | 194.05 | 382.20 |
| 2024-09-29 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 34.00 | 96.1 | 194.20 | 341.05 |
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