Prediction 2525
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 2 for SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 678.0 | 218.00 | 262.00 | 316.9 | 448.00 | 1131.50 | 2057.1 | 3065.30 | 4926.20 |
| 2023-10-15 | 706.5 | 239.97 | 287.00 | 342.9 | 467.00 | 1116.00 | 2108.1 | 3182.90 | 4910.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 752.5 | 262.95 | 306.00 | 366.9 | 516.00 | 1253.00 | 2245.1 | 3475.25 | 5542.73 |
| 2023-10-29 | 817.0 | 282.98 | 321.95 | 399.9 | 550.75 | 1290.75 | 2373.4 | 3429.70 | 5310.43 |
| 2023-11-05 | 868.0 | 304.98 | 362.00 | 432.0 | 583.75 | 1396.50 | 2464.8 | 3674.25 | 5820.32 |
| 2023-11-12 | 941.0 | 325.00 | 386.00 | 455.9 | 625.00 | 1523.50 | 2621.6 | 4156.70 | 6232.60 |
| 2023-11-19 | 1001.5 | 345.98 | 411.95 | 506.9 | 687.00 | 1628.50 | 2875.3 | 4305.75 | 7617.52 |
| 2023-11-26 | 1102.5 | 385.90 | 454.95 | 540.0 | 737.00 | 1748.75 | 3192.1 | 5102.80 | 7365.68 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1229.0 | 421.98 | 483.85 | 589.9 | 805.50 | 1955.25 | 3673.6 | 5695.20 | 8460.58 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1379.0 | 473.00 | 553.95 | 656.9 | 934.75 | 2224.50 | 4061.6 | 6317.50 | 9996.08 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1548.5 | 507.90 | 606.00 | 742.8 | 1041.75 | 2528.75 | 4803.7 | 7593.30 | 10585.35 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1784.0 | 600.00 | 689.95 | 838.7 | 1186.00 | 3090.00 | 5598.9 | 8275.05 | 14067.70 |
| 2023-12-31 | 2169.5 | 685.98 | 815.90 | 997.6 | 1420.75 | 3834.25 | 6585.3 | 10423.35 | 18223.42 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2682.5 | 865.92 | 1008.95 | 1218.7 | 1700.75 | 4503.00 | 8476.5 | 14251.75 | 22579.22 |
| 2024-01-14 | 3190.0 | 992.92 | 1196.75 | 1472.7 | 2065.75 | 5430.00 | 10883.9 | 17190.50 | 26986.25 |
| 2024-01-21 | 3882.5 | 1243.70 | 1453.85 | 1724.4 | 2502.75 | 6681.25 | 12505.7 | 20005.40 | 31453.00 |
| 2024-01-28 | 4766.0 | 1446.95 | 1706.80 | 2066.5 | 2974.00 | 7975.50 | 14524.1 | 23947.40 | 39148.72 |
| 2024-02-04 | 5437.5 | 1717.95 | 1981.80 | 2417.7 | 3401.75 | 9469.00 | 17327.8 | 28096.35 | 40022.03 |
| 2024-02-11 | 6266.0 | 1960.92 | 2248.00 | 2764.2 | 3965.00 | 10359.00 | 19679.1 | 29707.55 | 47887.75 |
| 2024-02-18 | 6869.0 | 2290.93 | 2610.75 | 3231.0 | 4500.75 | 12096.25 | 23366.0 | 34336.20 | 57078.35 |
| 2024-02-25 | 7775.0 | 2358.35 | 2811.70 | 3532.5 | 4885.75 | 12839.25 | 23844.4 | 35890.10 | 59334.95 |
| 2024-03-03 | 8339.5 | 2773.82 | 3163.65 | 3894.5 | 5399.75 | 13746.50 | 24415.5 | 37944.30 | 56408.25 |
| 2024-03-10 | 8732.0 | 2871.95 | 3353.95 | 4123.4 | 5721.00 | 14556.75 | 25779.1 | 42250.05 | 75319.32 |
| 2024-03-17 | 9588.5 | 3214.35 | 3704.65 | 4447.0 | 6263.00 | 16205.00 | 29664.5 | 46474.70 | 82069.40 |
| 2024-03-24 | 10552.5 | 3425.82 | 4008.55 | 4810.2 | 6801.75 | 16966.00 | 29971.3 | 46398.30 | 74042.05 |
| 2024-03-31 | 10726.5 | 3603.50 | 4166.50 | 5057.1 | 6976.75 | 17039.50 | 31230.8 | 50680.40 | 78036.07 |
| 2024-04-07 | 10650.5 | 3708.80 | 4332.55 | 5104.8 | 7130.50 | 17861.25 | 31911.2 | 50687.35 | 79052.75 |
| 2024-04-14 | 10351.0 | 3744.22 | 4218.65 | 5200.4 | 7023.25 | 17229.00 | 31002.0 | 50255.35 | 74055.18 |
| 2024-04-21 | 9891.5 | 3530.97 | 3972.80 | 4936.0 | 6766.00 | 16196.25 | 27847.7 | 40074.25 | 58822.35 |
| 2024-04-28 | 9033.5 | 3125.07 | 3613.90 | 4305.8 | 6012.50 | 14920.25 | 25064.0 | 38935.55 | 65595.50 |
| 2024-05-05 | 7910.5 | 2669.38 | 3149.60 | 3891.9 | 5293.75 | 12788.50 | 21763.3 | 36974.60 | 56540.17 |
| 2024-05-12 | 6613.5 | 2273.95 | 2705.90 | 3221.9 | 4398.00 | 10453.25 | 18843.2 | 28782.45 | 47179.70 |
| 2024-05-19 | 5290.0 | 1838.83 | 2144.95 | 2546.8 | 3590.75 | 8633.50 | 14515.5 | 22966.15 | 37171.32 |
| 2024-05-26 | 4219.5 | 1562.90 | 1823.85 | 2090.0 | 2812.50 | 6852.75 | 11531.8 | 18303.85 | 29017.67 |
| 2024-06-02 | 3258.0 | 1107.85 | 1295.90 | 1516.0 | 2195.50 | 5358.50 | 9581.9 | 15677.65 | 23549.50 |
| 2024-06-09 | 2482.0 | 896.88 | 1048.90 | 1241.0 | 1690.75 | 4042.25 | 7121.6 | 10907.50 | 20031.65 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1914.0 | 672.98 | 782.90 | 944.9 | 1310.50 | 3176.75 | 5578.5 | 8709.55 | 14079.40 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1566.0 | 543.95 | 637.00 | 738.9 | 1046.00 | 2594.00 | 4526.5 | 6829.10 | 11378.85 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1243.5 | 421.98 | 506.70 | 596.0 | 836.00 | 2028.00 | 3623.3 | 5734.10 | 8471.98 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1034.0 | 367.95 | 414.95 | 500.9 | 668.50 | 1642.00 | 2806.6 | 4398.75 | 7725.62 |
| 2024-07-14 | 848.0 | 298.93 | 350.00 | 419.0 | 565.00 | 1370.50 | 2516.2 | 4106.30 | 6352.80 |
| 2024-07-21 | 742.5 | 246.95 | 294.95 | 347.9 | 488.00 | 1193.25 | 2107.4 | 3336.30 | 5419.45 |
| 2024-07-28 | 640.5 | 220.97 | 260.95 | 309.9 | 421.00 | 1057.00 | 1895.2 | 2830.20 | 4387.18 |
| 2024-08-04 | 585.0 | 195.97 | 230.95 | 278.0 | 375.75 | 962.00 | 1648.9 | 2613.85 | 3738.03 |
| 2024-08-11 | 540.5 | 185.97 | 216.00 | 260.0 | 359.75 | 883.00 | 1632.5 | 2688.65 | 3968.00 |
| 2024-08-18 | 506.0 | 180.00 | 205.00 | 247.0 | 339.00 | 826.50 | 1510.8 | 2396.30 | 3598.38 |
| 2024-08-25 | 513.5 | 179.97 | 204.95 | 239.0 | 340.00 | 828.00 | 1562.5 | 2286.85 | 3615.10 |
| 2024-09-01 | 512.5 | 176.95 | 208.90 | 245.0 | 339.75 | 830.25 | 1516.0 | 2245.35 | 3241.20 |
| 2024-09-08 | 545.0 | 180.00 | 213.95 | 258.0 | 356.50 | 843.25 | 1489.5 | 2316.05 | 3584.82 |
| 2024-09-15 | 563.5 | 190.97 | 220.00 | 261.0 | 368.00 | 900.00 | 1623.4 | 2442.10 | 3773.35 |
| 2024-09-22 | 594.0 | 199.00 | 240.00 | 275.0 | 380.00 | 978.00 | 1710.5 | 2646.40 | 4293.80 |
| 2024-09-29 | 623.0 | 219.00 | 253.95 | 306.8 | 419.00 | 1000.00 | 1852.4 | 2793.40 | 4638.30 |
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