Prediction 2528

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Beat it
Author Leo Bastos
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

Validation test 3 for AL


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 97.0 10.00 15.00 24.0 46.00 208.25 446.1 714.20 1105.28
2024-10-13 99.0 10.00 14.00 22.0 46.00 208.25 455.3 726.20 1146.03
2024-10-20 88.0 7.00 12.00 20.0 43.00 201.25 426.2 679.05 940.88
2024-10-27 83.0 7.00 12.00 19.0 39.00 177.00 376.0 600.10 907.08
2024-11-03 76.0 7.00 11.00 18.0 36.00 177.25 350.2 583.20 855.20
2024-11-10 72.0 6.00 10.00 17.0 33.00 161.25 327.2 541.10 871.48
2024-11-17 64.0 6.00 9.00 15.0 31.00 146.25 322.0 507.15 768.05
2024-11-24 61.0 6.00 8.00 13.0 29.00 133.00 294.1 455.05 795.30
2024-12-01 59.0 5.00 8.00 13.0 27.00 125.25 271.1 422.05 634.60
2024-12-08 56.0 4.00 7.00 11.0 25.00 117.00 260.1 420.05 632.02
2024-12-15 52.0 5.00 8.00 12.0 24.00 113.00 237.0 397.05 571.55
2024-12-22 52.0 5.00 7.00 12.0 24.00 112.00 256.1 385.05 556.12
2024-12-29 57.0 5.00 8.00 13.0 26.00 119.25 271.1 406.10 637.15
2025-01-05 63.0 5.00 8.00 14.0 28.00 132.00 283.0 456.00 734.48
2025-01-12 65.0 5.00 8.00 14.0 30.00 141.00 298.1 490.00 692.40
2025-01-19 67.0 6.97 10.00 16.0 33.00 144.00 297.3 509.05 719.00
2025-01-26 75.0 8.00 12.00 17.0 35.00 162.00 332.1 538.10 898.40
2025-02-02 84.0 8.00 13.00 20.0 39.00 180.00 367.0 534.15 871.27
2025-02-09 92.0 8.00 12.00 20.0 42.00 202.00 409.1 677.05 988.15
2025-02-16 103.0 9.97 13.00 21.0 47.00 216.00 467.1 730.45 1079.03
2025-02-23 111.0 11.00 17.00 27.0 53.00 232.00 487.1 834.20 1225.17
2025-03-02 124.0 12.97 17.00 28.9 59.00 265.00 521.3 820.15 1330.40
2025-03-09 132.0 12.00 19.00 28.0 60.00 287.00 647.2 942.75 1484.08
2025-03-16 138.0 13.00 19.95 32.0 64.00 302.00 609.1 906.60 1375.30
2025-03-23 145.5 15.00 22.00 35.0 71.00 347.00 702.1 1121.45 1733.33
2025-03-30 164.0 16.00 25.00 39.0 77.00 354.25 784.4 1266.05 2038.00
2025-04-06 187.0 18.00 26.00 41.0 87.00 399.00 833.3 1410.45 2066.20
2025-04-13 194.5 22.00 30.00 44.9 92.00 420.00 897.2 1446.30 2382.20
2025-04-20 213.0 23.00 31.00 50.0 100.00 476.00 970.8 1478.80 2392.88
2025-04-27 230.0 23.00 33.95 52.0 106.50 511.25 1021.1 1511.35 2175.88
2025-05-04 245.5 27.95 37.00 57.0 119.00 518.50 1169.2 1810.00 2763.85
2025-05-11 261.0 26.98 43.00 63.0 125.00 580.75 1191.4 1826.10 2846.30
2025-05-18 274.0 25.00 40.00 63.0 130.00 615.25 1318.2 2000.10 2717.00
2025-05-25 292.0 31.98 43.95 68.0 132.00 653.25 1344.5 2077.20 3008.15
2025-06-01 292.0 32.98 47.00 72.9 136.00 614.00 1318.8 2094.10 3193.30
2025-06-08 284.0 33.00 47.00 72.0 137.00 669.25 1373.2 2134.65 3078.97
2025-06-15 302.0 29.00 44.00 68.9 143.00 671.50 1360.3 2212.50 3362.22
2025-06-22 270.0 28.00 41.00 64.0 130.00 584.25 1251.0 1948.50 3185.28
2025-06-29 270.0 31.00 42.00 62.0 132.00 620.75 1349.3 2114.10 3182.07
2025-07-06 275.5 28.98 44.00 64.0 129.75 616.00 1275.0 2014.05 3022.25
2025-07-13 254.0 24.00 34.95 57.0 117.00 568.25 1104.0 1806.05 2974.70
2025-07-20 237.5 24.00 36.00 57.0 110.00 523.25 1144.0 1867.10 2729.50
2025-07-27 217.5 26.98 35.95 51.0 101.00 480.50 977.8 1541.35 2492.78
2025-08-03 203.0 20.00 30.00 48.9 98.00 446.00 1016.2 1543.75 2233.00
2025-08-10 184.0 20.98 29.00 43.0 85.00 379.25 827.3 1421.00 2256.00
2025-08-17 175.0 18.00 26.00 41.9 80.00 390.25 803.0 1198.50 1892.47
2025-08-24 158.5 13.97 22.00 35.0 72.00 337.00 733.9 1211.50 1722.08
2025-08-31 139.0 14.00 23.00 34.0 68.00 320.00 698.1 1192.15 1826.35
2025-09-07 136.0 13.00 18.00 30.0 63.00 286.00 611.4 911.05 1427.53
2025-09-14 121.0 11.97 17.00 25.9 55.00 259.00 559.0 911.10 1268.42
2025-09-21 119.5 12.00 17.00 26.0 56.75 250.00 532.1 855.50 1435.15
2025-09-28 104.5 11.97 15.95 24.0 48.00 224.25 498.0 855.05 1437.00
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