Prediction 2530
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Validation test 3 for AP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 23.00 | 62.0 | 117.00 | 174.05 |
| 2024-10-13 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 21.00 | 54.1 | 104.05 | 175.03 |
| 2024-10-20 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 19.00 | 51.0 | 91.15 | 162.12 |
| 2024-10-27 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 17.00 | 45.0 | 82.15 | 148.07 |
| 2024-11-03 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 16.00 | 39.0 | 76.10 | 130.05 |
| 2024-11-10 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 14.00 | 37.2 | 67.00 | 118.05 |
| 2024-11-17 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 34.0 | 60.00 | 110.00 |
| 2024-11-24 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 37.0 | 66.00 | 99.03 |
| 2024-12-01 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 34.0 | 59.00 | 94.03 |
| 2024-12-08 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 13.00 | 37.0 | 70.00 | 106.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 16.00 | 41.0 | 68.05 | 119.03 |
| 2024-12-22 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 19.00 | 48.0 | 82.10 | 149.03 |
| 2024-12-29 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 22.00 | 61.0 | 104.05 | 197.00 |
| 2025-01-05 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 29.00 | 72.0 | 142.05 | 247.15 |
| 2025-01-12 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 35.25 | 91.0 | 160.05 | 257.57 |
| 2025-01-19 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 40.00 | 104.0 | 177.05 | 323.15 |
| 2025-01-26 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 46.00 | 123.0 | 221.00 | 404.05 |
| 2025-02-02 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 51.00 | 130.0 | 232.05 | 405.07 |
| 2025-02-09 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 54.00 | 133.2 | 246.15 | 422.05 |
| 2025-02-16 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 58.00 | 149.2 | 275.10 | 497.12 |
| 2025-02-23 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 58.00 | 160.0 | 295.45 | 451.43 |
| 2025-03-02 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 59.00 | 161.2 | 279.10 | 467.40 |
| 2025-03-09 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 56.00 | 144.0 | 279.00 | 414.02 |
| 2025-03-16 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 50.00 | 138.0 | 237.05 | 413.05 |
| 2025-03-23 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 53.25 | 140.1 | 250.15 | 408.02 |
| 2025-03-30 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 49.00 | 126.2 | 253.05 | 403.00 |
| 2025-04-06 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 47.00 | 123.0 | 237.00 | 357.05 |
| 2025-04-13 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 43.00 | 113.1 | 209.00 | 344.20 |
| 2025-04-20 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4.75 | 39.00 | 101.0 | 200.40 | 396.12 |
| 2025-04-27 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 36.00 | 95.0 | 173.05 | 289.23 |
| 2025-05-04 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 34.00 | 90.0 | 182.05 | 288.07 |
| 2025-05-11 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 29.00 | 77.0 | 141.15 | 247.05 |
| 2025-05-18 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 29.00 | 74.0 | 131.05 | 230.10 |
| 2025-05-25 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 26.00 | 66.1 | 124.05 | 223.07 |
| 2025-06-01 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 24.00 | 65.0 | 122.05 | 195.07 |
| 2025-06-08 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 24.00 | 59.1 | 110.00 | 213.07 |
| 2025-06-15 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 22.00 | 61.0 | 109.15 | 173.03 |
| 2025-06-22 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 21.00 | 57.1 | 98.05 | 168.05 |
| 2025-06-29 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 21.00 | 55.1 | 93.00 | 156.12 |
| 2025-07-06 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 22.00 | 51.0 | 89.00 | 171.18 |
| 2025-07-13 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 21.00 | 56.0 | 102.00 | 171.10 |
| 2025-07-20 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 24.00 | 59.0 | 112.10 | 179.05 |
| 2025-07-27 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 25.00 | 64.0 | 114.00 | 217.15 |
| 2025-08-03 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 27.00 | 67.0 | 126.15 | 255.05 |
| 2025-08-10 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 29.25 | 74.0 | 137.10 | 251.03 |
| 2025-08-17 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 30.00 | 78.0 | 140.05 | 222.15 |
| 2025-08-24 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 34.00 | 84.1 | 155.00 | 249.00 |
| 2025-08-31 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 32.00 | 79.0 | 161.00 | 237.25 |
| 2025-09-07 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 31.25 | 82.0 | 151.00 | 276.07 |
| 2025-09-14 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 31.00 | 81.0 | 142.00 | 245.00 |
| 2025-09-21 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 30.00 | 79.1 | 140.05 | 252.03 |
| 2025-09-28 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 25.00 | 66.0 | 125.00 | 218.18 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
