Prediction 2532
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 3 for CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 138.0 | 39.00 | 48.00 | 61.0 | 90.75 | 213.00 | 352.1 | 461.05 | 636.05 |
| 2024-10-13 | 123.0 | 38.00 | 46.00 | 58.0 | 81.75 | 199.25 | 313.3 | 442.15 | 613.35 |
| 2024-10-20 | 124.0 | 36.00 | 44.00 | 55.0 | 80.00 | 193.00 | 312.0 | 428.15 | 618.02 |
| 2024-10-27 | 120.0 | 35.00 | 43.95 | 53.0 | 79.00 | 192.00 | 319.0 | 451.10 | 648.38 |
| 2024-11-03 | 119.0 | 34.00 | 42.00 | 52.0 | 78.00 | 196.00 | 319.0 | 435.10 | 554.00 |
| 2024-11-10 | 117.0 | 34.98 | 42.00 | 52.0 | 74.00 | 191.00 | 298.1 | 399.10 | 537.02 |
| 2024-11-17 | 113.0 | 33.00 | 39.00 | 50.0 | 73.00 | 182.25 | 303.0 | 408.00 | 639.10 |
| 2024-11-24 | 109.0 | 32.00 | 40.00 | 49.0 | 71.00 | 180.00 | 298.0 | 404.00 | 573.15 |
| 2024-12-01 | 107.0 | 31.00 | 38.00 | 47.0 | 68.00 | 168.00 | 267.2 | 381.25 | 520.15 |
| 2024-12-08 | 103.0 | 30.00 | 35.95 | 44.0 | 66.00 | 166.00 | 270.1 | 394.10 | 544.02 |
| 2024-12-15 | 103.0 | 29.00 | 36.00 | 44.0 | 66.00 | 164.25 | 277.0 | 378.05 | 503.05 |
| 2024-12-22 | 107.0 | 27.98 | 35.00 | 45.0 | 67.00 | 168.00 | 278.1 | 388.00 | 519.05 |
| 2024-12-29 | 114.0 | 31.98 | 40.00 | 50.0 | 73.00 | 186.00 | 311.1 | 425.00 | 578.08 |
| 2025-01-05 | 136.0 | 40.00 | 49.00 | 60.0 | 86.00 | 217.25 | 350.1 | 497.25 | 648.05 |
| 2025-01-12 | 157.0 | 47.00 | 57.00 | 73.0 | 102.75 | 247.00 | 395.0 | 560.25 | 766.05 |
| 2025-01-19 | 190.0 | 57.00 | 69.00 | 87.0 | 126.00 | 295.25 | 493.0 | 668.00 | 881.05 |
| 2025-01-26 | 232.0 | 70.00 | 85.00 | 107.0 | 151.00 | 370.00 | 589.4 | 815.05 | 1154.08 |
| 2025-02-02 | 286.0 | 87.97 | 105.95 | 130.0 | 185.00 | 455.00 | 728.1 | 1001.25 | 1316.05 |
| 2025-02-09 | 350.0 | 107.00 | 126.95 | 157.0 | 231.00 | 548.00 | 854.1 | 1191.05 | 1601.97 |
| 2025-02-16 | 412.0 | 129.00 | 154.90 | 190.9 | 274.75 | 643.00 | 1036.7 | 1454.25 | 2023.08 |
| 2025-02-23 | 485.0 | 152.00 | 177.95 | 225.9 | 315.75 | 785.25 | 1194.0 | 1694.35 | 2185.32 |
| 2025-03-02 | 547.5 | 164.95 | 203.00 | 256.9 | 366.00 | 847.25 | 1358.3 | 1910.55 | 2570.10 |
| 2025-03-09 | 626.0 | 177.97 | 226.95 | 288.0 | 414.75 | 982.25 | 1524.5 | 2164.20 | 2819.53 |
| 2025-03-16 | 691.5 | 215.95 | 257.95 | 315.0 | 456.00 | 1107.25 | 1777.8 | 2463.30 | 3143.38 |
| 2025-03-23 | 761.0 | 245.95 | 289.95 | 360.9 | 513.00 | 1184.50 | 2061.0 | 2866.05 | 3950.97 |
| 2025-03-30 | 861.5 | 267.00 | 321.00 | 393.0 | 567.75 | 1354.25 | 2176.2 | 2773.10 | 4029.43 |
| 2025-04-06 | 924.0 | 276.98 | 340.00 | 439.0 | 627.75 | 1437.00 | 2285.4 | 3143.55 | 4464.62 |
| 2025-04-13 | 973.5 | 302.98 | 370.00 | 457.9 | 660.75 | 1552.25 | 2481.2 | 3538.50 | 4864.62 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1024.5 | 318.00 | 372.85 | 476.9 | 683.50 | 1650.00 | 2505.0 | 3223.30 | 4378.52 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1023.0 | 331.98 | 389.95 | 471.0 | 677.75 | 1577.50 | 2602.8 | 3529.30 | 5061.43 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1048.0 | 325.00 | 391.85 | 481.9 | 683.75 | 1590.25 | 2497.9 | 3440.35 | 4698.18 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1019.5 | 317.90 | 383.95 | 469.6 | 682.75 | 1580.50 | 2570.2 | 3428.95 | 4674.27 |
| 2025-05-18 | 960.5 | 314.98 | 382.95 | 454.8 | 647.00 | 1496.00 | 2340.2 | 3239.45 | 4417.02 |
| 2025-05-25 | 949.0 | 293.88 | 343.00 | 419.9 | 609.00 | 1446.75 | 2208.1 | 3171.65 | 4659.32 |
| 2025-06-01 | 867.0 | 278.00 | 331.95 | 418.9 | 588.00 | 1380.25 | 2130.1 | 2892.10 | 3885.18 |
| 2025-06-08 | 824.0 | 250.93 | 312.00 | 386.0 | 560.75 | 1294.50 | 2017.0 | 2749.30 | 3978.15 |
| 2025-06-15 | 755.5 | 242.00 | 288.95 | 351.9 | 502.00 | 1168.25 | 1771.2 | 2523.10 | 3517.40 |
| 2025-06-22 | 703.0 | 219.00 | 276.00 | 331.9 | 459.75 | 1111.00 | 1758.0 | 2431.25 | 3141.28 |
| 2025-06-29 | 645.5 | 200.95 | 237.95 | 302.9 | 428.00 | 1014.25 | 1618.3 | 2166.30 | 3028.30 |
| 2025-07-06 | 612.0 | 193.00 | 230.00 | 284.9 | 395.00 | 943.25 | 1516.5 | 2065.20 | 2751.70 |
| 2025-07-13 | 558.0 | 178.00 | 217.95 | 257.0 | 355.00 | 870.25 | 1366.1 | 1933.60 | 2522.47 |
| 2025-07-20 | 494.5 | 154.97 | 184.00 | 223.0 | 323.00 | 773.25 | 1243.2 | 1624.65 | 2193.15 |
| 2025-07-27 | 458.0 | 143.93 | 171.00 | 213.0 | 301.00 | 718.00 | 1107.3 | 1520.30 | 2040.30 |
| 2025-08-03 | 396.5 | 120.97 | 145.00 | 180.0 | 260.75 | 648.25 | 1023.2 | 1439.40 | 1822.65 |
| 2025-08-10 | 356.5 | 113.00 | 134.00 | 163.0 | 233.00 | 563.00 | 928.0 | 1278.05 | 1724.38 |
| 2025-08-17 | 307.0 | 99.00 | 114.00 | 139.0 | 207.00 | 498.00 | 777.5 | 1113.50 | 1544.22 |
| 2025-08-24 | 269.5 | 87.00 | 103.95 | 130.0 | 181.00 | 436.25 | 713.0 | 965.05 | 1280.30 |
| 2025-08-31 | 244.5 | 75.00 | 86.00 | 108.0 | 155.00 | 393.25 | 600.1 | 829.20 | 1122.17 |
| 2025-09-07 | 218.0 | 62.00 | 78.00 | 97.0 | 139.75 | 349.25 | 544.1 | 749.10 | 964.08 |
| 2025-09-14 | 184.0 | 56.98 | 69.95 | 84.0 | 120.75 | 302.25 | 476.1 | 646.10 | 778.35 |
| 2025-09-21 | 166.0 | 47.98 | 60.00 | 73.0 | 108.00 | 259.00 | 417.0 | 606.05 | 772.30 |
| 2025-09-28 | 149.0 | 44.00 | 54.00 | 68.0 | 98.00 | 235.25 | 374.0 | 509.05 | 713.23 |
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