Prediction 2533

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Beat it
Author Leo Bastos
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

Validation test 3 for DF


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 93.0 2.00 6.00 12.0 31.00 268.00 667.1 1181.65 2038.60
2024-10-13 91.0 3.00 6.00 11.0 31.00 247.25 648.1 1151.20 1924.05
2024-10-20 92.0 2.00 5.00 10.0 32.00 249.00 638.1 1118.05 1989.05
2024-10-27 90.0 2.98 5.00 11.0 30.00 253.00 655.3 1232.45 1794.28
2024-11-03 93.0 3.00 7.00 12.0 34.00 261.25 654.3 1111.75 1893.08
2024-11-10 100.5 3.00 7.00 13.0 35.00 284.00 723.2 1271.25 2040.97
2024-11-17 118.0 4.00 7.00 14.0 39.00 302.50 776.6 1527.15 2376.82
2024-11-24 124.0 4.00 7.00 16.0 43.00 364.00 942.0 1502.30 2818.68
2024-12-01 152.0 4.97 9.00 18.0 52.00 399.25 1023.2 1829.80 3099.15
2024-12-08 166.0 5.00 11.00 22.0 58.00 482.00 1261.1 2296.95 3684.97
2024-12-15 197.5 7.00 12.95 25.0 65.00 558.75 1434.6 2491.35 4019.10
2024-12-22 228.0 8.00 16.00 31.0 83.00 643.25 1540.6 2894.30 4943.27
2024-12-29 293.5 10.00 17.00 37.0 102.00 818.00 2043.2 3656.60 6295.95
2025-01-05 376.0 12.00 24.95 44.0 122.00 971.00 2590.4 4565.35 7419.32
2025-01-12 438.5 15.95 27.00 58.0 150.75 1195.00 3291.8 5344.10 10180.92
2025-01-19 518.5 18.00 36.00 65.9 188.00 1460.25 3429.0 6441.25 10687.12
2025-01-26 565.0 23.98 42.00 80.9 219.00 1667.25 4187.1 7191.35 11841.20
2025-02-02 698.0 25.00 43.95 88.0 231.00 1943.50 4715.2 8800.35 13641.38
2025-02-09 762.5 25.00 47.95 97.0 266.75 2012.75 5267.8 8970.50 15923.12
2025-02-16 795.5 28.95 48.95 98.0 278.75 2183.00 5558.9 10051.05 18123.45
2025-02-23 791.5 31.00 53.95 108.8 288.00 2255.75 6140.1 10012.70 16235.30
2025-03-02 846.5 29.98 60.95 117.0 297.00 2463.75 5911.6 10788.25 18047.28
2025-03-09 899.5 34.00 58.00 117.9 313.00 2484.00 6188.8 11523.15 18412.32
2025-03-16 888.0 31.98 54.00 112.9 304.00 2414.00 6711.2 11257.20 22713.82
2025-03-23 923.0 32.98 66.90 121.0 327.50 2639.25 6581.6 12362.35 20065.77
2025-03-30 930.0 35.00 66.00 124.0 334.75 2547.50 6697.1 12548.75 21171.95
2025-04-06 907.0 33.00 67.95 124.9 313.00 2636.75 6682.4 11363.75 18997.75
2025-04-13 949.5 32.98 61.95 119.0 320.75 2716.25 6166.8 11308.95 18803.95
2025-04-20 950.0 34.98 61.00 123.9 314.25 2618.25 6388.7 11795.60 19955.67
2025-04-27 942.0 35.98 65.00 122.0 320.50 2611.50 6962.1 11441.60 19288.08
2025-05-04 910.0 36.00 60.00 118.0 312.00 2388.00 6347.1 10661.30 20566.97
2025-05-11 871.5 28.98 54.95 106.0 299.75 2363.00 6243.8 11205.15 18191.15
2025-05-18 796.0 29.00 55.00 104.9 273.00 2251.25 5614.1 10817.10 16234.83
2025-05-25 768.5 29.00 48.00 95.9 253.75 1952.25 4940.6 9796.60 15889.25
2025-06-01 619.5 25.00 45.00 83.9 218.00 1657.75 4676.7 8091.95 13198.02
2025-06-08 524.5 16.98 33.00 65.0 185.00 1414.50 3805.9 6267.90 10068.73
2025-06-15 419.0 14.97 29.00 53.0 138.75 1171.00 2723.1 5227.00 8579.02
2025-06-22 339.5 13.00 23.00 44.0 122.00 941.00 2254.0 4227.25 6512.27
2025-06-29 255.5 10.00 16.95 32.9 89.75 727.25 1723.7 3317.25 5175.95
2025-07-06 204.5 6.00 12.95 25.0 77.00 563.50 1551.1 2722.15 4128.02
2025-07-13 176.5 6.00 12.00 21.9 59.00 487.50 1222.8 2023.10 3559.95
2025-07-20 143.5 5.00 9.00 17.0 47.00 398.00 1096.2 1867.10 3036.45
2025-07-27 133.0 5.00 9.00 17.0 47.00 354.00 936.2 1599.95 2631.57
2025-08-03 116.0 3.00 7.00 15.0 41.00 328.25 833.3 1441.05 2497.68
2025-08-10 111.0 3.00 7.00 15.0 40.00 310.25 825.6 1440.40 2120.97
2025-08-17 115.0 4.00 7.00 14.0 40.00 307.25 794.1 1484.15 2377.00
2025-08-24 108.0 3.00 6.00 13.0 39.00 300.00 782.4 1335.30 2044.12
2025-08-31 103.0 3.00 7.95 14.0 40.00 304.00 766.2 1353.00 2323.62
2025-09-07 114.0 4.00 7.00 15.0 41.00 305.00 854.3 1413.10 2336.10
2025-09-14 115.0 4.00 6.00 14.0 40.75 301.00 782.3 1452.05 2583.10
2025-09-21 104.0 3.00 7.00 14.0 38.00 306.25 791.5 1359.20 2254.70
2025-09-28 103.0 3.00 6.00 13.0 36.00 288.75 713.4 1301.40 2193.30
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