Prediction 2534
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 3 for ES
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 211.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 48.00 | 1042.25 | 4683.2 | 16998.30 | 53503.12 |
| 2024-10-13 | 230.5 | 3.00 | 6.95 | 15.0 | 56.00 | 1105.00 | 5848.4 | 16948.30 | 60150.77 |
| 2024-10-20 | 261.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 17.0 | 60.00 | 1306.25 | 6383.7 | 20671.05 | 60763.00 |
| 2024-10-27 | 290.0 | 3.00 | 7.95 | 17.0 | 66.00 | 1500.25 | 7369.9 | 23769.30 | 62480.92 |
| 2024-11-03 | 299.5 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 22.0 | 69.75 | 1476.75 | 8529.9 | 22165.05 | 78942.65 |
| 2024-11-10 | 331.5 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 22.0 | 81.00 | 1881.00 | 10109.6 | 28277.30 | 84956.27 |
| 2024-11-17 | 360.0 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 25.0 | 87.00 | 1791.50 | 8249.3 | 34074.50 | 97341.35 |
| 2024-11-24 | 410.0 | 5.97 | 10.00 | 24.0 | 90.75 | 1919.25 | 11193.2 | 33373.70 | 95785.40 |
| 2024-12-01 | 441.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 25.0 | 96.00 | 2153.25 | 10061.7 | 36121.40 | 111803.65 |
| 2024-12-08 | 459.5 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 26.9 | 99.75 | 2108.50 | 11989.3 | 37348.50 | 121349.45 |
| 2024-12-15 | 484.5 | 6.97 | 13.95 | 32.0 | 107.00 | 2499.00 | 12338.1 | 45823.70 | 157794.90 |
| 2024-12-22 | 488.5 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 30.0 | 122.00 | 2636.00 | 13263.2 | 39665.25 | 117289.47 |
| 2024-12-29 | 535.5 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 33.0 | 122.75 | 2548.00 | 14872.6 | 44925.95 | 141741.40 |
| 2025-01-05 | 545.0 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 34.0 | 133.75 | 2841.25 | 14744.6 | 48631.65 | 146735.52 |
| 2025-01-12 | 607.0 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 36.9 | 135.75 | 3155.50 | 16219.0 | 52213.55 | 155793.42 |
| 2025-01-19 | 622.0 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 45.0 | 157.75 | 3216.75 | 16519.7 | 52136.70 | 192150.15 |
| 2025-01-26 | 667.5 | 10.97 | 21.00 | 41.9 | 151.00 | 3106.50 | 16197.3 | 55116.05 | 153138.95 |
| 2025-02-02 | 784.0 | 11.00 | 23.00 | 46.9 | 179.75 | 3626.25 | 19099.7 | 67786.80 | 188831.87 |
| 2025-02-09 | 727.0 | 13.00 | 27.00 | 51.0 | 176.50 | 3686.00 | 19513.2 | 70397.10 | 191327.95 |
| 2025-02-16 | 860.5 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 51.0 | 181.00 | 4360.75 | 21091.2 | 73017.55 | 198769.62 |
| 2025-02-23 | 872.0 | 12.00 | 26.95 | 55.0 | 206.00 | 4444.75 | 23263.7 | 73518.40 | 216711.45 |
| 2025-03-02 | 967.0 | 14.00 | 27.00 | 60.0 | 219.75 | 4730.25 | 26316.1 | 73718.65 | 269923.52 |
| 2025-03-09 | 907.5 | 15.97 | 29.00 | 66.0 | 217.00 | 4970.00 | 24712.7 | 74543.20 | 208977.65 |
| 2025-03-16 | 965.0 | 14.00 | 32.00 | 61.9 | 224.75 | 5058.25 | 27121.8 | 69014.20 | 218404.15 |
| 2025-03-23 | 904.0 | 15.00 | 29.00 | 61.0 | 215.00 | 4784.25 | 22615.9 | 81931.95 | 299458.60 |
| 2025-03-30 | 900.0 | 12.00 | 24.95 | 53.8 | 202.00 | 4429.25 | 22806.4 | 77541.20 | 236261.25 |
| 2025-04-06 | 882.0 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 58.0 | 216.75 | 4032.25 | 23705.7 | 61198.35 | 283016.27 |
| 2025-04-13 | 876.5 | 14.00 | 29.00 | 52.0 | 195.00 | 4093.75 | 20587.4 | 63251.80 | 206213.90 |
| 2025-04-20 | 799.0 | 12.00 | 25.00 | 47.0 | 173.00 | 4228.50 | 19865.0 | 70639.80 | 197370.87 |
| 2025-04-27 | 765.0 | 13.00 | 24.95 | 52.0 | 177.00 | 3561.50 | 17062.9 | 60901.00 | 169266.60 |
| 2025-05-04 | 670.0 | 9.00 | 18.00 | 42.9 | 163.75 | 3381.50 | 16522.8 | 55714.50 | 164057.42 |
| 2025-05-11 | 620.5 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 43.0 | 156.00 | 3177.50 | 17022.5 | 56429.55 | 170852.25 |
| 2025-05-18 | 584.0 | 7.97 | 15.00 | 38.0 | 134.75 | 3025.75 | 15035.7 | 44649.80 | 142486.67 |
| 2025-05-25 | 506.5 | 8.00 | 15.95 | 31.0 | 115.00 | 2761.25 | 13645.9 | 37758.25 | 97627.05 |
| 2025-06-01 | 452.0 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 32.0 | 108.75 | 2302.00 | 13126.1 | 35508.05 | 114888.67 |
| 2025-06-08 | 428.5 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 26.0 | 96.75 | 2162.25 | 10619.7 | 39968.55 | 113593.17 |
| 2025-06-15 | 372.5 | 6.97 | 12.00 | 26.0 | 88.00 | 1859.00 | 10009.0 | 31979.05 | 102071.52 |
| 2025-06-22 | 345.5 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 22.0 | 82.75 | 1773.50 | 8915.4 | 25337.45 | 85139.07 |
| 2025-06-29 | 303.5 | 4.00 | 9.95 | 23.0 | 70.00 | 1361.00 | 7222.0 | 26826.45 | 65805.57 |
| 2025-07-06 | 254.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 18.0 | 59.00 | 1304.25 | 7479.2 | 20449.10 | 56682.62 |
| 2025-07-13 | 235.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 13.0 | 56.00 | 1127.25 | 5851.2 | 17463.95 | 48711.35 |
| 2025-07-20 | 217.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 14.0 | 50.00 | 985.75 | 5653.6 | 20487.50 | 52832.02 |
| 2025-07-27 | 188.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 12.0 | 47.00 | 895.25 | 4370.1 | 14565.45 | 41075.30 |
| 2025-08-03 | 170.0 | 2.98 | 5.00 | 11.9 | 42.75 | 831.75 | 4825.6 | 15227.30 | 47463.05 |
| 2025-08-10 | 160.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 9.0 | 34.00 | 763.25 | 4252.6 | 13908.90 | 40366.42 |
| 2025-08-17 | 143.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 10.0 | 35.00 | 810.25 | 4511.5 | 10942.95 | 28891.72 |
| 2025-08-24 | 141.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 34.00 | 654.25 | 3706.1 | 11033.00 | 30290.57 |
| 2025-08-31 | 126.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 32.00 | 673.75 | 3623.1 | 11750.80 | 35652.32 |
| 2025-09-07 | 138.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 35.00 | 732.50 | 3832.9 | 14579.80 | 38070.05 |
| 2025-09-14 | 146.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 34.00 | 789.50 | 3674.7 | 11089.40 | 32379.37 |
| 2025-09-21 | 166.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 37.00 | 817.25 | 4366.2 | 13114.10 | 42846.87 |
| 2025-09-28 | 182.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 10.0 | 39.00 | 996.25 | 4581.2 | 13546.85 | 43902.00 |
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