Prediction 2537
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 3 for MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 697.5 | 221.00 | 255.90 | 308.0 | 444.00 | 1225.75 | 2421.4 | 3852.10 | 7221.40 |
| 2024-10-13 | 708.5 | 207.00 | 242.00 | 311.9 | 452.00 | 1247.00 | 2480.3 | 4068.95 | 6373.30 |
| 2024-10-20 | 728.0 | 227.90 | 269.00 | 321.9 | 463.75 | 1302.00 | 2754.4 | 4642.70 | 7428.62 |
| 2024-10-27 | 791.5 | 238.97 | 281.00 | 347.9 | 502.00 | 1407.50 | 2924.2 | 5201.10 | 8471.20 |
| 2024-11-03 | 846.5 | 265.98 | 310.00 | 382.0 | 534.75 | 1531.25 | 3110.1 | 5103.85 | 8430.12 |
| 2024-11-10 | 941.5 | 301.00 | 355.85 | 418.9 | 594.75 | 1698.00 | 3252.7 | 5828.15 | 9695.97 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1040.0 | 318.00 | 381.95 | 468.9 | 666.50 | 1867.50 | 4100.5 | 7119.90 | 10812.20 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1181.5 | 352.95 | 432.00 | 537.9 | 753.50 | 2008.75 | 4182.7 | 7728.20 | 13234.60 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1315.0 | 417.95 | 485.00 | 588.8 | 849.75 | 2345.50 | 4739.0 | 8105.80 | 13804.25 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1534.0 | 475.93 | 549.95 | 671.6 | 963.00 | 2708.50 | 5275.9 | 8501.10 | 13920.92 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1793.0 | 552.88 | 675.95 | 808.9 | 1152.50 | 3131.00 | 5793.3 | 9528.80 | 16240.35 |
| 2024-12-22 | 2135.5 | 692.83 | 786.95 | 972.9 | 1391.00 | 3712.25 | 7316.2 | 12002.00 | 20030.02 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2678.5 | 874.35 | 1012.90 | 1205.9 | 1709.75 | 4609.25 | 8746.9 | 14603.80 | 25304.55 |
| 2025-01-05 | 3346.0 | 1053.97 | 1243.90 | 1552.2 | 2134.75 | 5920.25 | 10632.6 | 17353.20 | 29988.17 |
| 2025-01-12 | 4211.0 | 1343.95 | 1550.90 | 1880.9 | 2700.50 | 7128.25 | 13504.9 | 20423.20 | 33195.03 |
| 2025-01-19 | 5087.0 | 1588.97 | 1900.75 | 2390.7 | 3297.50 | 8832.75 | 15893.8 | 25793.75 | 45447.75 |
| 2025-01-26 | 6107.5 | 2053.90 | 2359.70 | 2831.6 | 4056.75 | 10396.50 | 19919.6 | 32901.80 | 52753.45 |
| 2025-02-02 | 7246.5 | 2323.62 | 2711.95 | 3360.3 | 4695.75 | 12103.50 | 22685.0 | 39437.25 | 66624.38 |
| 2025-02-09 | 8316.5 | 2706.93 | 3174.15 | 3875.7 | 5423.75 | 14036.75 | 26747.9 | 46236.15 | 71521.97 |
| 2025-02-16 | 9486.0 | 2931.38 | 3591.95 | 4345.7 | 6103.25 | 16058.25 | 30787.0 | 50766.20 | 84170.70 |
| 2025-02-23 | 10315.5 | 3436.38 | 3941.80 | 4648.5 | 6664.25 | 18054.00 | 34674.5 | 57245.70 | 81279.75 |
| 2025-03-02 | 11199.5 | 3819.55 | 4356.90 | 5073.8 | 7394.75 | 19318.75 | 34663.4 | 58640.80 | 99811.37 |
| 2025-03-09 | 12125.0 | 3698.75 | 4415.65 | 5403.3 | 7731.75 | 21422.00 | 40694.4 | 65615.60 | 123500.75 |
| 2025-03-16 | 12893.5 | 4179.98 | 4829.45 | 5857.3 | 8237.25 | 21436.00 | 41606.3 | 73590.75 | 130413.27 |
| 2025-03-23 | 13341.0 | 4159.50 | 4831.80 | 5951.8 | 8597.00 | 22703.00 | 44979.6 | 66540.35 | 125508.97 |
| 2025-03-30 | 13383.0 | 4277.85 | 4975.75 | 6069.7 | 8657.00 | 22649.25 | 44629.0 | 76804.80 | 128733.07 |
| 2025-04-06 | 13295.5 | 4258.95 | 5050.85 | 6112.1 | 8618.75 | 23294.75 | 44620.8 | 69894.50 | 123429.22 |
| 2025-04-13 | 12971.0 | 4089.72 | 4677.75 | 5812.9 | 8246.75 | 21901.00 | 41157.8 | 68878.45 | 106387.55 |
| 2025-04-20 | 12065.0 | 3941.90 | 4565.65 | 5581.8 | 7842.00 | 20607.50 | 40884.3 | 64824.50 | 105608.30 |
| 2025-04-27 | 10700.0 | 3423.90 | 4046.55 | 4970.3 | 7113.75 | 18468.25 | 34951.0 | 54651.65 | 95002.80 |
| 2025-05-04 | 9429.0 | 3079.68 | 3604.00 | 4299.5 | 6013.75 | 15872.00 | 30081.1 | 47892.40 | 85479.45 |
| 2025-05-11 | 7920.5 | 2547.72 | 3022.50 | 3647.9 | 5035.00 | 13565.75 | 24986.5 | 40904.40 | 68452.10 |
| 2025-05-18 | 6349.0 | 1947.97 | 2396.05 | 2902.7 | 4183.75 | 10696.50 | 19446.1 | 30630.00 | 50012.88 |
| 2025-05-25 | 4967.0 | 1562.97 | 1965.00 | 2384.9 | 3233.50 | 8595.00 | 15373.7 | 23682.20 | 40198.85 |
| 2025-06-01 | 3880.0 | 1292.70 | 1490.75 | 1799.9 | 2538.75 | 6334.50 | 12143.0 | 18941.85 | 27525.75 |
| 2025-06-08 | 2948.5 | 927.80 | 1107.95 | 1393.6 | 1940.50 | 5206.00 | 9025.8 | 13962.00 | 23172.22 |
| 2025-06-15 | 2280.0 | 738.75 | 851.95 | 1035.8 | 1459.25 | 3841.50 | 7088.2 | 11100.55 | 19748.42 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1800.0 | 619.83 | 714.95 | 854.0 | 1172.00 | 3008.00 | 5406.4 | 8564.25 | 14630.23 |
| 2025-06-29 | 1422.5 | 467.98 | 560.95 | 676.9 | 932.75 | 2408.00 | 4274.6 | 7273.05 | 12031.10 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1164.0 | 401.98 | 450.95 | 531.8 | 742.00 | 1950.00 | 3439.2 | 5646.30 | 9211.30 |
| 2025-07-13 | 941.5 | 326.98 | 377.95 | 454.9 | 629.75 | 1568.25 | 2904.6 | 4534.05 | 8048.07 |
| 2025-07-20 | 858.5 | 270.00 | 323.95 | 385.9 | 547.50 | 1425.00 | 2603.1 | 4260.10 | 7214.73 |
| 2025-07-27 | 745.0 | 245.95 | 285.00 | 344.0 | 485.75 | 1250.25 | 2332.4 | 3865.05 | 6102.85 |
| 2025-08-03 | 683.0 | 221.95 | 263.00 | 318.0 | 449.75 | 1148.50 | 2160.9 | 3268.10 | 5405.38 |
| 2025-08-10 | 660.0 | 218.95 | 252.00 | 301.9 | 426.75 | 1087.75 | 2005.8 | 3084.70 | 4517.68 |
| 2025-08-17 | 626.0 | 201.97 | 235.00 | 284.0 | 404.00 | 1077.00 | 2003.1 | 3223.00 | 5161.20 |
| 2025-08-24 | 626.0 | 198.00 | 233.95 | 283.0 | 398.50 | 1051.00 | 1961.0 | 3270.35 | 5295.12 |
| 2025-08-31 | 632.5 | 196.97 | 236.95 | 291.0 | 399.00 | 1073.25 | 2088.2 | 3234.65 | 5244.40 |
| 2025-09-07 | 630.5 | 202.97 | 241.00 | 284.0 | 403.00 | 1099.75 | 2180.2 | 3717.25 | 5733.48 |
| 2025-09-14 | 642.5 | 203.97 | 237.95 | 293.0 | 416.00 | 1130.25 | 2418.6 | 3858.65 | 6348.38 |
| 2025-09-21 | 667.0 | 199.97 | 234.00 | 288.0 | 423.75 | 1205.00 | 2407.6 | 4075.20 | 6754.90 |
| 2025-09-28 | 681.0 | 220.95 | 257.85 | 311.0 | 439.75 | 1211.25 | 2426.5 | 4193.80 | 7286.18 |
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