Prediction 2538
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 99.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 30.0 | 52.75 | 187.25 | 375.5 | 563.25 | 919.38 |
| 2024-10-13 | 108.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 34.0 | 59.00 | 210.25 | 410.0 | 617.30 | 949.15 |
| 2024-10-20 | 125.0 | 19.00 | 26.95 | 37.0 | 65.00 | 252.00 | 481.1 | 727.20 | 1029.03 |
| 2024-10-27 | 139.0 | 22.00 | 30.95 | 45.0 | 75.00 | 272.00 | 505.2 | 796.20 | 1197.33 |
| 2024-11-03 | 163.0 | 26.00 | 34.00 | 47.0 | 86.00 | 322.25 | 636.1 | 935.20 | 1325.58 |
| 2024-11-10 | 187.0 | 28.98 | 40.00 | 57.0 | 100.00 | 363.00 | 678.2 | 1159.05 | 1720.17 |
| 2024-11-17 | 216.0 | 30.00 | 45.00 | 65.0 | 113.00 | 446.25 | 836.6 | 1238.05 | 1790.25 |
| 2024-11-24 | 223.0 | 40.00 | 53.00 | 72.0 | 117.00 | 440.25 | 922.1 | 1485.05 | 2233.12 |
| 2024-12-01 | 262.5 | 46.00 | 56.00 | 80.0 | 140.75 | 516.75 | 979.5 | 1598.05 | 2615.18 |
| 2024-12-08 | 284.0 | 46.00 | 63.00 | 88.0 | 149.00 | 570.25 | 1131.4 | 1635.30 | 2529.15 |
| 2024-12-15 | 310.0 | 51.98 | 69.00 | 96.0 | 156.75 | 641.25 | 1270.2 | 1975.60 | 2915.90 |
| 2024-12-22 | 349.5 | 61.98 | 80.95 | 111.0 | 187.75 | 720.25 | 1401.9 | 2160.00 | 3241.80 |
| 2024-12-29 | 413.0 | 71.00 | 95.95 | 131.0 | 212.75 | 853.25 | 1645.2 | 2447.60 | 3390.47 |
| 2025-01-05 | 486.0 | 77.00 | 110.00 | 155.0 | 256.00 | 920.25 | 1845.3 | 2799.40 | 4032.88 |
| 2025-01-12 | 547.5 | 100.00 | 133.95 | 182.9 | 298.75 | 1095.00 | 2257.2 | 3320.60 | 4852.12 |
| 2025-01-19 | 644.5 | 107.97 | 138.95 | 200.0 | 341.75 | 1228.00 | 2401.4 | 3811.45 | 5268.30 |
| 2025-01-26 | 714.5 | 120.00 | 166.95 | 229.0 | 384.00 | 1397.00 | 2807.4 | 4308.00 | 6756.25 |
| 2025-02-02 | 764.0 | 137.00 | 188.00 | 258.9 | 415.75 | 1475.00 | 3040.8 | 4689.50 | 7166.82 |
| 2025-02-09 | 854.0 | 144.00 | 201.95 | 274.0 | 466.50 | 1724.75 | 3360.3 | 5129.30 | 7199.48 |
| 2025-02-16 | 916.5 | 163.95 | 213.95 | 274.0 | 510.25 | 1748.25 | 3456.2 | 5316.60 | 7777.12 |
| 2025-02-23 | 921.5 | 165.97 | 218.00 | 301.9 | 494.00 | 1748.25 | 3204.0 | 5318.50 | 8154.15 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1001.0 | 179.00 | 223.00 | 308.9 | 524.75 | 1951.25 | 3945.5 | 6388.80 | 9477.08 |
| 2025-03-09 | 950.5 | 161.93 | 215.85 | 306.9 | 521.75 | 1904.25 | 3754.2 | 5463.85 | 7888.90 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1013.0 | 166.00 | 215.95 | 295.9 | 531.00 | 1978.25 | 3780.2 | 6127.30 | 8674.65 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1001.0 | 166.00 | 225.95 | 312.9 | 531.00 | 1876.00 | 3643.6 | 5399.20 | 8975.45 |
| 2025-03-30 | 984.5 | 148.00 | 198.95 | 294.0 | 528.25 | 1915.25 | 3837.9 | 5561.00 | 8885.70 |
| 2025-04-06 | 916.5 | 153.90 | 204.95 | 290.9 | 517.00 | 1783.50 | 3462.1 | 5212.65 | 8140.10 |
| 2025-04-13 | 874.5 | 138.97 | 198.95 | 273.0 | 472.00 | 1668.75 | 3326.8 | 4949.05 | 7572.50 |
| 2025-04-20 | 804.5 | 132.00 | 191.95 | 256.9 | 436.00 | 1562.50 | 3090.4 | 4780.85 | 8090.80 |
| 2025-04-27 | 736.5 | 123.95 | 161.90 | 219.9 | 373.50 | 1400.75 | 2818.5 | 4397.45 | 5938.12 |
| 2025-05-04 | 625.0 | 97.95 | 133.95 | 181.0 | 321.00 | 1213.50 | 2435.6 | 3906.55 | 5969.20 |
| 2025-05-11 | 527.0 | 83.97 | 112.95 | 160.0 | 280.00 | 1049.00 | 2036.7 | 3120.65 | 4966.32 |
| 2025-05-18 | 429.0 | 71.00 | 94.95 | 136.9 | 239.00 | 847.50 | 1632.2 | 2558.15 | 3892.62 |
| 2025-05-25 | 363.5 | 53.98 | 71.00 | 99.0 | 193.75 | 727.25 | 1344.4 | 2041.50 | 2952.05 |
| 2025-06-01 | 302.0 | 48.00 | 62.00 | 86.0 | 155.75 | 606.25 | 1119.5 | 1690.05 | 2427.88 |
| 2025-06-08 | 237.0 | 38.00 | 53.00 | 74.0 | 126.75 | 461.75 | 872.8 | 1506.00 | 2102.50 |
| 2025-06-15 | 203.5 | 30.98 | 42.95 | 59.0 | 107.00 | 405.00 | 775.2 | 1197.15 | 1705.85 |
| 2025-06-22 | 162.0 | 27.00 | 36.00 | 48.9 | 85.00 | 312.25 | 613.8 | 935.25 | 1623.60 |
| 2025-06-29 | 140.0 | 20.98 | 29.00 | 42.0 | 72.00 | 282.25 | 567.2 | 866.10 | 1419.30 |
| 2025-07-06 | 123.0 | 17.00 | 25.00 | 36.0 | 63.00 | 240.00 | 463.4 | 747.05 | 1040.12 |
| 2025-07-13 | 100.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 30.0 | 53.00 | 197.50 | 386.1 | 611.45 | 943.70 |
| 2025-07-20 | 89.0 | 13.97 | 20.00 | 27.0 | 48.00 | 173.00 | 352.2 | 539.10 | 770.12 |
| 2025-07-27 | 76.0 | 13.00 | 17.95 | 24.0 | 43.00 | 153.25 | 285.2 | 466.15 | 781.10 |
| 2025-08-03 | 70.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 23.0 | 39.00 | 148.00 | 276.0 | 437.20 | 620.15 |
| 2025-08-10 | 70.0 | 10.97 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 37.00 | 134.00 | 255.1 | 385.10 | 601.08 |
| 2025-08-17 | 67.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 35.00 | 127.00 | 238.1 | 356.05 | 572.38 |
| 2025-08-24 | 67.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 35.00 | 125.00 | 242.1 | 376.05 | 572.08 |
| 2025-08-31 | 68.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 20.0 | 37.00 | 133.00 | 259.0 | 404.25 | 589.42 |
| 2025-09-07 | 68.0 | 12.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 38.00 | 135.00 | 260.0 | 411.15 | 559.12 |
| 2025-09-14 | 72.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 38.00 | 144.00 | 267.1 | 412.00 | 583.50 |
| 2025-09-21 | 82.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 23.0 | 43.00 | 152.00 | 285.0 | 446.10 | 576.02 |
| 2025-09-28 | 87.0 | 13.00 | 18.00 | 26.0 | 46.00 | 162.25 | 312.0 | 491.35 | 774.27 |
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