Prediction 2540
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 3 for PA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 51.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 35.00 | 75.00 | 110.0 | 145.05 | 183.05 |
| 2024-10-13 | 50.0 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 35.00 | 75.00 | 112.1 | 143.10 | 184.03 |
| 2024-10-20 | 51.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 36.00 | 77.00 | 111.0 | 144.05 | 182.00 |
| 2024-10-27 | 54.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 27.0 | 37.00 | 80.00 | 118.0 | 155.05 | 195.00 |
| 2024-11-03 | 60.0 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 29.0 | 41.00 | 87.00 | 125.0 | 164.05 | 218.00 |
| 2024-11-10 | 64.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 32.0 | 44.00 | 94.00 | 139.0 | 184.05 | 239.00 |
| 2024-11-17 | 70.0 | 22.00 | 27.00 | 33.0 | 47.00 | 102.00 | 151.0 | 197.00 | 259.02 |
| 2024-11-24 | 74.0 | 24.98 | 29.00 | 37.0 | 51.00 | 108.00 | 155.1 | 193.10 | 251.00 |
| 2024-12-01 | 77.0 | 24.98 | 30.00 | 37.0 | 53.00 | 114.00 | 168.1 | 225.05 | 272.02 |
| 2024-12-08 | 80.0 | 26.00 | 30.00 | 37.0 | 54.00 | 117.00 | 166.0 | 221.10 | 271.02 |
| 2024-12-15 | 82.0 | 25.00 | 32.00 | 40.0 | 56.00 | 122.25 | 178.0 | 226.10 | 288.07 |
| 2024-12-22 | 94.0 | 31.98 | 38.00 | 45.0 | 63.00 | 140.00 | 211.1 | 267.05 | 341.02 |
| 2024-12-29 | 115.5 | 38.00 | 46.00 | 56.0 | 79.00 | 165.00 | 250.0 | 310.05 | 412.10 |
| 2025-01-05 | 146.0 | 50.00 | 59.00 | 71.0 | 100.00 | 215.00 | 309.3 | 399.10 | 487.02 |
| 2025-01-12 | 185.0 | 59.00 | 73.00 | 87.0 | 123.75 | 269.25 | 392.0 | 475.00 | 620.05 |
| 2025-01-19 | 218.0 | 70.00 | 87.00 | 107.0 | 154.00 | 325.00 | 472.0 | 609.15 | 764.08 |
| 2025-01-26 | 249.0 | 85.00 | 98.00 | 120.0 | 166.00 | 356.00 | 526.2 | 701.05 | 859.02 |
| 2025-02-02 | 265.0 | 88.00 | 105.95 | 129.0 | 184.75 | 385.00 | 545.0 | 684.15 | 887.30 |
| 2025-02-09 | 277.0 | 93.97 | 109.90 | 138.9 | 197.00 | 416.00 | 604.0 | 761.05 | 932.17 |
| 2025-02-16 | 285.5 | 99.00 | 115.00 | 141.0 | 193.75 | 406.25 | 572.1 | 716.40 | 950.02 |
| 2025-02-23 | 287.0 | 95.00 | 117.00 | 141.0 | 200.00 | 416.00 | 590.2 | 733.10 | 965.23 |
| 2025-03-02 | 278.0 | 93.00 | 114.00 | 140.9 | 195.00 | 407.00 | 587.0 | 736.20 | 936.02 |
| 2025-03-09 | 277.0 | 94.00 | 114.00 | 136.0 | 192.00 | 404.00 | 565.1 | 689.00 | 874.12 |
| 2025-03-16 | 259.0 | 86.97 | 105.00 | 129.0 | 179.00 | 368.00 | 558.0 | 723.15 | 878.30 |
| 2025-03-23 | 242.0 | 77.97 | 95.00 | 119.9 | 170.00 | 354.25 | 502.1 | 677.00 | 837.17 |
| 2025-03-30 | 227.0 | 78.00 | 94.00 | 115.0 | 160.00 | 326.00 | 477.0 | 625.10 | 750.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | 217.0 | 70.00 | 86.95 | 106.0 | 146.00 | 316.25 | 456.1 | 580.15 | 747.10 |
| 2025-04-13 | 200.0 | 63.98 | 81.00 | 99.0 | 141.00 | 298.25 | 420.0 | 533.00 | 686.15 |
| 2025-04-20 | 191.0 | 63.00 | 76.00 | 92.0 | 129.00 | 281.00 | 404.1 | 510.05 | 622.05 |
| 2025-04-27 | 176.0 | 56.00 | 71.00 | 88.0 | 124.00 | 257.00 | 370.0 | 479.05 | 581.02 |
| 2025-05-04 | 161.0 | 51.00 | 63.95 | 79.0 | 112.00 | 237.00 | 337.0 | 425.15 | 513.02 |
| 2025-05-11 | 145.0 | 45.00 | 58.00 | 72.0 | 100.00 | 207.00 | 297.1 | 382.00 | 477.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | 128.0 | 41.98 | 51.00 | 61.0 | 87.00 | 182.00 | 263.0 | 340.00 | 414.18 |
| 2025-05-25 | 111.0 | 36.98 | 44.00 | 56.0 | 77.00 | 164.00 | 238.0 | 306.05 | 366.20 |
| 2025-06-01 | 100.0 | 34.00 | 41.00 | 49.9 | 68.00 | 146.00 | 220.0 | 275.10 | 339.15 |
| 2025-06-08 | 90.0 | 29.98 | 36.95 | 44.0 | 61.00 | 130.00 | 186.1 | 234.05 | 310.05 |
| 2025-06-15 | 79.0 | 25.00 | 31.00 | 39.0 | 54.00 | 114.00 | 161.1 | 207.00 | 284.00 |
| 2025-06-22 | 70.0 | 22.98 | 29.00 | 35.0 | 49.75 | 105.00 | 152.0 | 193.00 | 239.03 |
| 2025-06-29 | 66.0 | 21.98 | 26.00 | 32.0 | 44.00 | 94.00 | 142.0 | 179.10 | 239.00 |
| 2025-07-06 | 63.0 | 20.00 | 25.00 | 30.0 | 43.00 | 93.00 | 132.0 | 171.05 | 212.03 |
| 2025-07-13 | 61.0 | 20.00 | 23.00 | 29.0 | 41.00 | 89.00 | 129.0 | 166.00 | 223.03 |
| 2025-07-20 | 58.0 | 18.98 | 22.00 | 28.0 | 40.00 | 85.25 | 128.1 | 168.05 | 219.18 |
| 2025-07-27 | 58.0 | 19.00 | 23.00 | 28.0 | 39.00 | 84.00 | 125.0 | 160.00 | 211.10 |
| 2025-08-03 | 58.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 29.0 | 40.00 | 85.00 | 130.0 | 169.00 | 218.03 |
| 2025-08-10 | 58.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 28.0 | 39.00 | 87.00 | 127.0 | 163.10 | 212.03 |
| 2025-08-17 | 56.0 | 18.00 | 22.00 | 27.0 | 38.00 | 83.00 | 122.0 | 162.05 | 218.05 |
| 2025-08-24 | 54.0 | 16.00 | 20.00 | 26.0 | 37.00 | 80.00 | 119.1 | 159.00 | 204.00 |
| 2025-08-31 | 53.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 36.00 | 78.00 | 112.1 | 160.05 | 205.03 |
| 2025-09-07 | 52.0 | 17.00 | 20.00 | 25.0 | 35.00 | 75.00 | 111.0 | 145.10 | 197.03 |
| 2025-09-14 | 50.0 | 15.97 | 19.00 | 23.9 | 34.00 | 75.00 | 113.0 | 144.05 | 179.07 |
| 2025-09-21 | 50.5 | 15.97 | 19.95 | 25.0 | 34.00 | 75.00 | 110.0 | 145.00 | 188.00 |
| 2025-09-28 | 50.0 | 16.00 | 19.00 | 24.0 | 34.00 | 73.00 | 110.0 | 143.00 | 200.07 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
