Prediction 2542
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 3 for PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 280.0 | 51.00 | 69.00 | 95.0 | 155.00 | 509.25 | 887.6 | 1269.10 | 1828.15 |
| 2024-10-13 | 283.0 | 52.00 | 67.00 | 93.0 | 155.00 | 503.25 | 892.2 | 1300.05 | 1870.20 |
| 2024-10-20 | 266.0 | 52.00 | 65.00 | 92.0 | 152.00 | 487.00 | 907.2 | 1319.40 | 1884.03 |
| 2024-10-27 | 255.0 | 50.00 | 65.00 | 86.0 | 143.75 | 467.25 | 849.2 | 1244.10 | 1833.08 |
| 2024-11-03 | 245.5 | 50.00 | 62.95 | 83.9 | 134.75 | 449.25 | 788.0 | 1176.25 | 1661.20 |
| 2024-11-10 | 249.0 | 48.00 | 63.00 | 87.0 | 141.00 | 466.75 | 817.8 | 1185.15 | 1523.40 |
| 2024-11-17 | 247.0 | 46.95 | 60.00 | 82.0 | 137.75 | 454.25 | 799.0 | 1109.65 | 1742.05 |
| 2024-11-24 | 239.0 | 42.00 | 56.00 | 81.0 | 136.00 | 424.00 | 731.0 | 1129.05 | 1620.28 |
| 2024-12-01 | 234.0 | 42.98 | 56.95 | 76.0 | 125.00 | 433.25 | 748.3 | 1061.10 | 1462.08 |
| 2024-12-08 | 222.5 | 40.98 | 54.00 | 76.0 | 130.00 | 414.00 | 704.0 | 1045.10 | 1561.03 |
| 2024-12-15 | 220.0 | 39.00 | 50.00 | 69.0 | 121.00 | 397.00 | 719.1 | 989.00 | 1362.30 |
| 2024-12-22 | 217.0 | 38.98 | 51.00 | 70.0 | 121.00 | 396.25 | 690.4 | 1011.05 | 1505.05 |
| 2024-12-29 | 224.0 | 38.00 | 55.00 | 75.0 | 120.00 | 402.00 | 719.1 | 1029.35 | 1382.08 |
| 2025-01-05 | 233.0 | 41.98 | 57.00 | 79.0 | 134.00 | 435.00 | 808.0 | 1108.10 | 1574.17 |
| 2025-01-12 | 252.5 | 50.00 | 62.00 | 85.9 | 141.00 | 465.50 | 821.1 | 1270.20 | 1699.45 |
| 2025-01-19 | 273.0 | 51.00 | 65.95 | 90.0 | 156.00 | 495.25 | 849.1 | 1234.80 | 1823.08 |
| 2025-01-26 | 295.0 | 57.00 | 73.00 | 100.0 | 167.00 | 533.00 | 914.0 | 1334.00 | 1839.10 |
| 2025-02-02 | 330.0 | 63.98 | 81.00 | 109.0 | 182.00 | 588.50 | 1046.3 | 1448.05 | 2064.12 |
| 2025-02-09 | 368.5 | 69.00 | 93.00 | 124.0 | 210.75 | 672.25 | 1151.4 | 1767.95 | 2645.97 |
| 2025-02-16 | 422.5 | 78.00 | 101.00 | 137.0 | 234.00 | 751.25 | 1340.4 | 1892.85 | 2629.88 |
| 2025-02-23 | 455.5 | 90.00 | 119.00 | 156.0 | 254.75 | 837.50 | 1424.1 | 2008.10 | 2788.45 |
| 2025-03-02 | 513.0 | 92.00 | 125.00 | 180.0 | 284.75 | 898.25 | 1625.7 | 2289.20 | 3290.28 |
| 2025-03-09 | 559.0 | 114.95 | 149.90 | 201.9 | 321.00 | 1001.00 | 1828.2 | 2615.70 | 3682.25 |
| 2025-03-16 | 576.0 | 125.00 | 160.00 | 205.9 | 339.50 | 1046.75 | 1821.0 | 2734.35 | 3980.18 |
| 2025-03-23 | 610.0 | 124.97 | 166.90 | 223.0 | 358.50 | 1091.00 | 1970.4 | 2970.60 | 4373.73 |
| 2025-03-30 | 677.0 | 114.00 | 166.00 | 223.9 | 375.00 | 1196.25 | 1975.3 | 2908.10 | 4429.00 |
| 2025-04-06 | 678.5 | 136.00 | 182.00 | 241.9 | 402.50 | 1210.00 | 2077.0 | 2954.25 | 4227.45 |
| 2025-04-13 | 735.0 | 136.00 | 189.95 | 253.0 | 419.75 | 1276.00 | 2113.5 | 3046.90 | 4329.57 |
| 2025-04-20 | 746.0 | 145.00 | 190.00 | 258.0 | 442.00 | 1361.00 | 2346.1 | 3419.25 | 5109.02 |
| 2025-04-27 | 764.0 | 152.00 | 199.00 | 272.9 | 453.75 | 1334.00 | 2292.2 | 3203.90 | 4777.60 |
| 2025-05-04 | 786.0 | 151.97 | 186.95 | 273.0 | 460.50 | 1382.00 | 2422.7 | 3617.50 | 4693.30 |
| 2025-05-11 | 795.0 | 160.95 | 213.95 | 286.9 | 451.00 | 1403.25 | 2373.0 | 3474.05 | 4703.52 |
| 2025-05-18 | 759.5 | 144.97 | 195.95 | 266.9 | 441.00 | 1321.25 | 2277.1 | 3242.60 | 4808.55 |
| 2025-05-25 | 739.0 | 150.97 | 196.95 | 251.0 | 419.75 | 1299.75 | 2308.3 | 3318.15 | 4993.20 |
| 2025-06-01 | 683.0 | 122.00 | 171.00 | 243.9 | 403.00 | 1243.00 | 2209.2 | 3194.80 | 4682.43 |
| 2025-06-08 | 655.5 | 139.00 | 172.00 | 230.0 | 389.00 | 1189.00 | 2163.6 | 3088.25 | 4660.50 |
| 2025-06-15 | 612.0 | 116.95 | 151.95 | 215.0 | 347.00 | 1110.00 | 1903.2 | 2626.30 | 3675.78 |
| 2025-06-22 | 602.5 | 111.97 | 154.00 | 217.0 | 345.75 | 1069.00 | 1900.4 | 2623.05 | 3714.15 |
| 2025-06-29 | 546.0 | 112.00 | 137.00 | 190.0 | 318.00 | 981.25 | 1698.1 | 2445.45 | 3616.35 |
| 2025-07-06 | 523.5 | 97.97 | 131.95 | 170.9 | 290.75 | 952.50 | 1681.2 | 2501.05 | 3280.00 |
| 2025-07-13 | 480.0 | 87.97 | 111.95 | 157.9 | 260.00 | 863.00 | 1497.7 | 2260.70 | 3465.65 |
| 2025-07-20 | 452.5 | 80.00 | 105.95 | 148.0 | 251.00 | 813.00 | 1472.5 | 2169.30 | 2861.07 |
| 2025-07-27 | 452.0 | 82.00 | 108.95 | 148.0 | 250.00 | 810.00 | 1393.5 | 2020.90 | 2827.85 |
| 2025-08-03 | 426.0 | 70.00 | 98.00 | 136.0 | 235.00 | 764.00 | 1337.1 | 1902.80 | 2639.45 |
| 2025-08-10 | 395.0 | 64.97 | 88.00 | 122.0 | 218.00 | 709.25 | 1212.7 | 1784.05 | 2589.47 |
| 2025-08-17 | 378.0 | 65.97 | 88.00 | 120.9 | 206.75 | 677.50 | 1227.2 | 1876.10 | 2630.07 |
| 2025-08-24 | 354.0 | 63.00 | 85.00 | 115.9 | 198.00 | 666.25 | 1172.4 | 1669.10 | 2350.25 |
| 2025-08-31 | 335.0 | 60.00 | 80.95 | 107.0 | 190.75 | 616.00 | 1165.0 | 1714.10 | 2369.60 |
| 2025-09-07 | 325.5 | 56.98 | 75.00 | 110.0 | 182.00 | 602.75 | 1089.8 | 1522.05 | 2076.12 |
| 2025-09-14 | 309.0 | 56.98 | 72.00 | 101.0 | 170.00 | 593.50 | 1054.2 | 1564.00 | 2401.30 |
| 2025-09-21 | 298.0 | 49.98 | 71.00 | 97.9 | 167.00 | 538.00 | 954.3 | 1342.30 | 2070.65 |
| 2025-09-28 | 287.0 | 52.98 | 70.00 | 94.0 | 155.00 | 540.25 | 1008.0 | 1508.10 | 1949.33 |
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