Prediction 2543
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 3 for PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 20.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 12.00 | 35.00 | 57.0 | 76.05 | 102.00 |
| 2024-10-13 | 19.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.75 | 32.00 | 50.1 | 69.00 | 92.00 |
| 2024-10-20 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 31.00 | 48.1 | 66.00 | 85.00 |
| 2024-10-27 | 17.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 29.00 | 48.0 | 63.05 | 88.03 |
| 2024-11-03 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 10.00 | 31.00 | 49.0 | 66.00 | 89.03 |
| 2024-11-10 | 18.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 32.00 | 52.0 | 70.00 | 96.00 |
| 2024-11-17 | 20.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 6.0 | 11.00 | 32.00 | 52.1 | 67.00 | 87.00 |
| 2024-11-24 | 20.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 11.75 | 33.25 | 55.0 | 75.00 | 103.03 |
| 2024-12-01 | 21.0 | 3.98 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 12.00 | 37.00 | 60.0 | 79.00 | 99.03 |
| 2024-12-08 | 22.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 13.00 | 38.00 | 60.0 | 82.00 | 109.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 42.00 | 71.0 | 99.05 | 130.03 |
| 2024-12-22 | 29.0 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 17.00 | 48.00 | 76.1 | 104.05 | 135.03 |
| 2024-12-29 | 34.0 | 6.00 | 9.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 59.00 | 96.0 | 129.05 | 164.03 |
| 2025-01-05 | 43.0 | 9.00 | 12.00 | 15.0 | 26.00 | 73.00 | 118.0 | 154.00 | 200.00 |
| 2025-01-12 | 53.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 20.0 | 32.00 | 89.00 | 144.0 | 192.00 | 232.07 |
| 2025-01-19 | 66.0 | 14.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 41.00 | 107.00 | 173.0 | 230.05 | 283.02 |
| 2025-01-26 | 83.0 | 20.00 | 26.00 | 34.0 | 51.00 | 135.00 | 215.1 | 291.05 | 378.00 |
| 2025-02-02 | 100.0 | 25.00 | 31.00 | 41.0 | 62.00 | 162.00 | 258.0 | 342.00 | 471.15 |
| 2025-02-09 | 114.0 | 28.00 | 35.95 | 46.0 | 71.75 | 187.00 | 298.0 | 384.05 | 529.12 |
| 2025-02-16 | 140.0 | 38.98 | 47.00 | 60.0 | 87.75 | 217.00 | 349.0 | 472.20 | 592.08 |
| 2025-02-23 | 162.0 | 42.00 | 54.00 | 67.0 | 101.00 | 251.00 | 390.1 | 536.00 | 738.00 |
| 2025-03-02 | 184.0 | 48.98 | 62.00 | 81.0 | 122.75 | 295.00 | 458.1 | 603.05 | 778.08 |
| 2025-03-09 | 214.0 | 55.00 | 68.95 | 90.0 | 133.00 | 347.00 | 540.1 | 732.00 | 958.52 |
| 2025-03-16 | 246.0 | 67.97 | 79.95 | 102.9 | 156.00 | 380.00 | 588.1 | 774.10 | 1006.17 |
| 2025-03-23 | 265.0 | 75.97 | 93.95 | 116.0 | 172.75 | 412.25 | 677.0 | 930.10 | 1198.05 |
| 2025-03-30 | 303.0 | 77.00 | 97.00 | 125.0 | 188.75 | 474.00 | 754.8 | 1008.00 | 1374.62 |
| 2025-04-06 | 308.0 | 79.97 | 99.00 | 135.0 | 201.00 | 496.25 | 784.6 | 1044.45 | 1369.15 |
| 2025-04-13 | 332.0 | 90.97 | 118.00 | 147.9 | 212.00 | 524.25 | 836.1 | 1064.00 | 1479.95 |
| 2025-04-20 | 350.0 | 85.97 | 117.00 | 149.0 | 225.00 | 546.25 | 852.0 | 1136.15 | 1416.03 |
| 2025-04-27 | 351.0 | 96.00 | 117.00 | 150.0 | 227.00 | 549.25 | 855.3 | 1142.15 | 1511.05 |
| 2025-05-04 | 348.0 | 96.00 | 118.00 | 147.0 | 228.00 | 555.00 | 843.5 | 1186.60 | 1480.53 |
| 2025-05-11 | 340.0 | 92.00 | 115.00 | 145.0 | 218.00 | 530.00 | 773.1 | 1060.40 | 1381.35 |
| 2025-05-18 | 302.0 | 83.00 | 104.00 | 133.0 | 197.00 | 473.25 | 743.3 | 959.15 | 1250.67 |
| 2025-05-25 | 275.5 | 82.00 | 95.95 | 122.0 | 178.00 | 440.25 | 682.1 | 920.10 | 1161.20 |
| 2025-06-01 | 249.5 | 65.00 | 84.00 | 107.0 | 157.00 | 390.00 | 596.0 | 819.00 | 1032.00 |
| 2025-06-08 | 226.0 | 64.00 | 77.95 | 98.0 | 146.00 | 345.00 | 523.0 | 692.05 | 941.08 |
| 2025-06-15 | 198.0 | 55.00 | 68.00 | 84.0 | 129.00 | 309.00 | 459.1 | 600.15 | 741.48 |
| 2025-06-22 | 171.0 | 46.98 | 59.00 | 75.0 | 112.00 | 268.25 | 407.0 | 528.05 | 695.25 |
| 2025-06-29 | 150.0 | 41.98 | 49.00 | 63.9 | 97.00 | 234.00 | 357.0 | 487.10 | 628.10 |
| 2025-07-06 | 134.0 | 36.00 | 45.00 | 56.0 | 83.00 | 205.00 | 318.0 | 413.15 | 535.12 |
| 2025-07-13 | 116.0 | 32.00 | 38.00 | 50.0 | 75.00 | 177.00 | 275.0 | 375.05 | 533.30 |
| 2025-07-20 | 103.0 | 26.00 | 34.00 | 44.0 | 64.00 | 158.00 | 257.0 | 354.00 | 453.07 |
| 2025-07-27 | 88.0 | 22.00 | 28.00 | 37.0 | 57.00 | 144.25 | 229.0 | 318.05 | 404.07 |
| 2025-08-03 | 80.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 32.0 | 51.00 | 128.00 | 204.0 | 288.10 | 402.50 |
| 2025-08-10 | 68.0 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 28.0 | 44.00 | 112.00 | 180.1 | 257.05 | 328.12 |
| 2025-08-17 | 58.0 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 25.0 | 37.00 | 97.00 | 150.0 | 212.00 | 297.02 |
| 2025-08-24 | 49.0 | 11.00 | 14.00 | 19.0 | 31.00 | 80.00 | 119.1 | 164.10 | 222.07 |
| 2025-08-31 | 41.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 16.0 | 25.00 | 65.25 | 103.0 | 143.00 | 193.00 |
| 2025-09-07 | 34.0 | 8.00 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 21.00 | 55.00 | 91.1 | 125.05 | 164.05 |
| 2025-09-14 | 30.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 17.00 | 48.00 | 84.0 | 110.10 | 157.00 |
| 2025-09-21 | 26.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 9.0 | 15.00 | 41.00 | 67.0 | 91.05 | 124.05 |
| 2025-09-28 | 22.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 13.00 | 37.00 | 58.0 | 80.05 | 114.05 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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