Prediction 2544
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 3 for PR
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 255.0 | 27.98 | 41.00 | 60.0 | 118.75 | 564.00 | 1294.1 | 2475.80 | 4185.15 |
| 2024-10-13 | 281.5 | 29.00 | 42.00 | 61.0 | 123.00 | 630.25 | 1403.1 | 2308.30 | 4263.82 |
| 2024-10-20 | 293.0 | 32.00 | 44.00 | 70.0 | 139.00 | 688.75 | 1476.0 | 2677.45 | 4679.32 |
| 2024-10-27 | 312.0 | 32.98 | 46.95 | 74.9 | 143.75 | 722.25 | 1676.2 | 2903.65 | 4700.10 |
| 2024-11-03 | 358.0 | 41.98 | 56.95 | 82.9 | 164.75 | 794.00 | 1733.9 | 3159.85 | 5614.10 |
| 2024-11-10 | 419.5 | 41.92 | 59.00 | 94.0 | 186.00 | 959.25 | 2088.2 | 3877.30 | 6594.12 |
| 2024-11-17 | 488.0 | 52.00 | 72.95 | 112.0 | 215.00 | 1070.00 | 2426.7 | 4001.15 | 6710.10 |
| 2024-11-24 | 501.5 | 56.00 | 81.00 | 115.0 | 229.75 | 1163.25 | 2681.0 | 5035.80 | 8427.52 |
| 2024-12-01 | 571.0 | 60.00 | 91.00 | 136.9 | 279.75 | 1315.00 | 3025.2 | 5117.30 | 8182.18 |
| 2024-12-08 | 603.5 | 71.00 | 92.95 | 146.0 | 286.00 | 1367.75 | 3244.4 | 6053.90 | 10387.85 |
| 2024-12-15 | 715.0 | 73.97 | 101.95 | 150.9 | 323.00 | 1577.75 | 3377.4 | 6038.20 | 9688.55 |
| 2024-12-22 | 782.5 | 84.97 | 115.95 | 184.8 | 377.75 | 1752.75 | 3897.1 | 7524.00 | 14001.52 |
| 2024-12-29 | 934.5 | 94.00 | 148.95 | 215.9 | 427.00 | 2036.75 | 4647.8 | 8140.65 | 14314.90 |
| 2025-01-05 | 1082.0 | 108.97 | 163.95 | 257.0 | 508.75 | 2607.25 | 6093.3 | 9445.80 | 15917.67 |
| 2025-01-12 | 1362.0 | 155.97 | 204.00 | 317.0 | 641.75 | 2952.00 | 6578.0 | 10600.20 | 19145.78 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1609.0 | 161.00 | 253.00 | 394.8 | 746.00 | 3534.75 | 8072.5 | 14219.85 | 22150.65 |
| 2025-01-26 | 1913.0 | 207.97 | 306.80 | 469.9 | 918.25 | 4163.00 | 9678.7 | 16680.85 | 29415.67 |
| 2025-02-02 | 2342.0 | 255.97 | 350.80 | 554.8 | 1143.00 | 5365.75 | 12615.4 | 21857.00 | 32107.85 |
| 2025-02-09 | 2628.5 | 340.00 | 443.00 | 687.0 | 1284.25 | 6280.50 | 15091.9 | 25912.35 | 41107.67 |
| 2025-02-16 | 3187.5 | 361.98 | 523.70 | 780.3 | 1478.00 | 7122.50 | 15938.1 | 28455.45 | 45246.00 |
| 2025-02-23 | 3649.5 | 404.73 | 586.95 | 840.5 | 1694.75 | 8139.50 | 19199.1 | 32227.55 | 50799.65 |
| 2025-03-02 | 4451.0 | 515.62 | 700.80 | 988.7 | 2039.00 | 9431.50 | 22881.3 | 40314.65 | 72241.77 |
| 2025-03-09 | 4649.5 | 492.98 | 726.00 | 1099.3 | 2211.75 | 10598.75 | 23646.9 | 43416.95 | 72362.42 |
| 2025-03-16 | 5080.0 | 550.92 | 806.80 | 1169.9 | 2295.75 | 11310.75 | 26599.6 | 48224.00 | 73944.80 |
| 2025-03-23 | 5125.0 | 659.75 | 829.00 | 1268.4 | 2553.75 | 11732.75 | 27294.4 | 48844.15 | 80320.92 |
| 2025-03-30 | 5872.0 | 595.92 | 907.80 | 1300.7 | 2570.25 | 12974.00 | 30237.8 | 55948.25 | 91293.17 |
| 2025-04-06 | 5594.5 | 614.00 | 866.85 | 1350.8 | 2644.00 | 12722.75 | 29513.7 | 52176.85 | 76884.22 |
| 2025-04-13 | 5404.0 | 612.85 | 839.75 | 1310.9 | 2573.00 | 11533.50 | 25195.2 | 41249.15 | 72532.30 |
| 2025-04-20 | 4900.5 | 576.70 | 796.85 | 1165.5 | 2335.50 | 11454.00 | 25218.2 | 47460.55 | 85633.22 |
| 2025-04-27 | 4469.0 | 524.92 | 735.90 | 1095.7 | 2037.00 | 10105.00 | 21621.3 | 40818.95 | 83463.20 |
| 2025-05-04 | 3783.0 | 424.00 | 591.40 | 905.8 | 1713.25 | 8537.75 | 18705.1 | 34519.65 | 56374.07 |
| 2025-05-11 | 3148.5 | 376.98 | 517.90 | 783.7 | 1440.75 | 7023.25 | 15918.6 | 28804.50 | 54210.72 |
| 2025-05-18 | 2332.5 | 292.98 | 405.95 | 586.7 | 1056.75 | 5220.25 | 12286.0 | 23365.50 | 41829.22 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1787.0 | 198.97 | 291.90 | 425.8 | 827.75 | 4121.75 | 9891.1 | 17507.10 | 28789.30 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1380.0 | 153.00 | 220.95 | 323.0 | 645.75 | 3119.00 | 7157.6 | 12473.10 | 18989.42 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1083.5 | 117.00 | 167.95 | 257.8 | 528.50 | 2435.00 | 5496.2 | 9874.65 | 16074.23 |
| 2025-06-15 | 822.0 | 91.97 | 135.95 | 204.9 | 388.50 | 1911.50 | 4378.0 | 7375.85 | 12271.80 |
| 2025-06-22 | 633.5 | 76.00 | 105.90 | 155.9 | 293.00 | 1475.75 | 3233.5 | 6232.75 | 9908.52 |
| 2025-06-29 | 515.5 | 60.00 | 90.95 | 130.0 | 248.00 | 1148.25 | 2601.7 | 5708.65 | 8150.23 |
| 2025-07-06 | 413.0 | 44.00 | 60.95 | 101.9 | 189.00 | 875.75 | 2136.6 | 3446.30 | 5891.32 |
| 2025-07-13 | 337.5 | 35.00 | 54.00 | 78.0 | 159.75 | 761.50 | 1680.8 | 3270.50 | 5195.70 |
| 2025-07-20 | 278.0 | 31.98 | 44.00 | 64.0 | 132.00 | 628.25 | 1492.1 | 2489.25 | 4460.20 |
| 2025-07-27 | 239.0 | 27.00 | 39.95 | 59.0 | 113.00 | 555.25 | 1223.9 | 2097.50 | 4402.32 |
| 2025-08-03 | 228.0 | 26.00 | 36.00 | 54.0 | 105.75 | 485.75 | 1173.4 | 2012.35 | 3514.68 |
| 2025-08-10 | 200.0 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 47.9 | 92.00 | 460.25 | 1100.1 | 1874.45 | 3104.20 |
| 2025-08-17 | 192.5 | 23.00 | 33.00 | 48.0 | 92.00 | 426.00 | 957.5 | 1502.10 | 2863.43 |
| 2025-08-24 | 185.0 | 21.00 | 27.00 | 42.0 | 90.00 | 423.00 | 965.9 | 1770.30 | 3160.53 |
| 2025-08-31 | 191.0 | 21.00 | 30.00 | 46.0 | 92.00 | 424.00 | 945.2 | 1660.90 | 2954.95 |
| 2025-09-07 | 199.0 | 20.00 | 30.00 | 45.0 | 93.00 | 430.50 | 1044.2 | 1909.40 | 3201.55 |
| 2025-09-14 | 209.5 | 22.00 | 29.95 | 50.0 | 99.00 | 464.25 | 1023.2 | 1691.40 | 2813.22 |
| 2025-09-21 | 223.0 | 24.00 | 35.95 | 56.0 | 108.00 | 511.00 | 1221.2 | 1946.95 | 3287.40 |
| 2025-09-28 | 230.5 | 25.00 | 34.95 | 56.0 | 107.00 | 503.75 | 1159.1 | 1906.90 | 3127.35 |
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